TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will FC Red Bull Salzburg win on 2025-11-06?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$62,161
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$67,491

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,161 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes60c15,050$9,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,03221237.3%79 W · 133 L-11.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No40c10,854$4,342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,341.569265.2%60 W · 32 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd7e4…f06fbacked No40c10,576$4,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,230.4330%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes59c6,257$3,688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,569.263,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed No41c5,595$2,294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,293.855532.7%18 W · 37 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-4.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Yes59c2,511$1,481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,029.9915151%77 W · 74 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56c6…f706backed Yes61c2,431$1,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$951.79475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+39.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b30…30cfbacked Yes60c1,902$1,141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$760.621020%2 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-67.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No48c1,819$867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$866.9984850.8%431 W · 417 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc974…eb16backed Yes59c999.99$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4101741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked No49c842.58$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.6310860.2%65 W · 43 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed No40c837.05$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.824843.8%21 W · 27 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5cb6…76e0backed Yes59c734.37$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.37475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+55.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b59…6445backed Yes54c722.73$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.462737%10 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-35%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked No39c700$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27313327.8%37 W · 96 L+0.1wins0.00per pick28cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked No40c676.98$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.796949.3%34 W · 35 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd14a…e912backed No39c665.72$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.632352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Yes49c530.92$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.273141.9%13 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a13…db82backed No40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5c9…41b5backed Yes47c500$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a95…686cbacked Yes57c479.96$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.361233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-14%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7104…afefbacked Yes61c409.84$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.841361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Yes49c367.35$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.3510757%61 W · 46 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes44c350$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19611226.8%30 W · 82 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes77c347.64$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.3474155.9%414 W · 327 L+19.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbbe8…0fedbacked No56c333.2$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.9920042%84 W · 116 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Yes55c332$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.4912545.6%57 W · 68 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed No40c300$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12010332%33 W · 70 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes59c300$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.2542844.9%192 W · 236 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4702…457fbacked Yes59c300$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1231553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+47.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed No39c262.04$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.23444.1%15 W · 19 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Yes61c245.9$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.92924.1%7 W · 22 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-30.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked No41c238.83$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.147848.7%38 W · 40 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked No42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005026%13 W · 37 L-8.0wins-0.16per pick42cpaid-48.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x0e0c…b90abacked Yes58c218.3$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.692544%11 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35b9…1d44backed No43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$866650%33 W · 33 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3cf…493bbacked Yes77c200$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462369.6%16 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick73cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3fe…4a24backed Yes60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$802850%14 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5422…6c3fbacked Yes60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$806446.9%30 W · 34 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked No39c199.32$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.786513.8%9 W · 56 L-6.3wins-0.10per pick23cpaid-50.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x63dc…c6dabacked Yes60c187$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x862c…a6acbacked No40c183$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe500…dba5backed No40c183$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1b7…f5e6backed Yes60c179$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35e8…0596backed Yes59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.49520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-66.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9ed…617ebacked Yes61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.93955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+19.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc71f…bd62backed No44c161.99$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.987533.3%25 W · 50 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5699…418dbacked Yes57c131.2$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.21369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x91e8…a953backed Yes55c128.49$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.82560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa2b…adcfbacked Yes47c127.66$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.66742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1346…8502backed No53c113.21$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602339.1%9 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+21.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes60c103$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.28743.7%38 W · 49 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x646c…3210backed No41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-32.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f79…7ed4backed No39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392114.3%3 W · 18 L-2.9wins-0.14per pick28cpaid-53.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc164…d0e3backed Yes60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xff7c…3e9fbacked No39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392425%6 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2816…0730backed No39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392330.4%7 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4108…a80dbacked Yes59c99.99$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.51643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes52c88$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.166139.3%24 W · 37 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-19.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf64…92bdbacked Yes59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.753259.4%19 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2738…6412backed Yes59c84$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.44366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d28…932abacked Yes59c80$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.81675%12 W · 4 L+3.3wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+40.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No38c75.8$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8224557.6%141 W · 104 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c0e…4838backed No41c75$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.75837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-27.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a5c…b3f2backed No41c73.98$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.5210143.6%44 W · 57 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x956c…13bebacked Yes60c71.2$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.48742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2149…3a74backed Yes60c66.67$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.67850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9817…28bcbacked No48c66.67$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+51.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes61c65.99$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.998453.6%45 W · 39 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb6b…7b61backed No53c60$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.83345.5%15 W · 18 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4a1…4799backed No42c59.52$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc994…833dbacked Yes59c59.32$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No21c58.06$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.252,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50bd…962abacked Yes59c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.751546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a3c…93d7backed Yes60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-33%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fbc…bdfbbacked Yes60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203834.2%13 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x65d3…d153backed No41c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.51258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49b2…4aeebacked No40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201414.3%2 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick23cpaid-29.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1761…502abacked Yes60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202040%8 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-28.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd8fe…ba40backed No40c49.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209446.8%44 W · 50 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x70df…bca8backed Yes61c49.18$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.18250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf144…f2bbbacked Yes59c42.37$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.371855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ed7…9839backed Yes60c42.12$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.85250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7362…3da0backed Yes60c41.67$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.67250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0909…91cabacked Yes61c40.98$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.983171%22 W · 9 L+4.9wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+21.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd072…f8b6backed Yes59c40$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.4933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-30.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe7fa…44e5backed Yes62c38.71$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.711540%6 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-29.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1dc6…0f52backed Yes54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.043053.3%16 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e10…70f4backed No46c35$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.19652.1%50 W · 46 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Yes59c33.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.98749.4%43 W · 44 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9318…a645backed Yes59c33.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.94065%26 W · 14 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+16.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x89cb…574cbacked Yes59c33.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.91546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes60c33.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.332958.6%17 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf79d…4350backed Yes60c33.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.33250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11f0…890dbacked Yes60c33.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.337850%39 W · 39 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x562d…7a9dbacked Yes60c33.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb7…0cd1backed Yes60c33.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.33250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x686a…c769backed Yes60c33.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.33250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce2e…c77bbacked Yes61c32.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.791154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9512…c0d3backed Yes61c32.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.79366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+11.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.