TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf144…f2bb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
90
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Bundesliga, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Bundesliga at 52 out of 100; worst Premier League at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST3647.2%17 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-1.5)backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+122.2%+$36.67
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+143.9%+$35.98
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+132.6%+$39.77
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Will Newcastle United FC vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Manchester City FC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+127.3%+$38.18
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+170.3%+$110.68
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+78.6%+$31.43
Spread: Atalanta BC (-1.5)backed Atalanta BC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$17.74
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$23.57
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$33.33
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+354.5%+$70.91
Will Napoli win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$36.43
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Nov 6, 2025, EST1855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2025-11-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+75.4%+$18.86
Will AS Roma win on 2025-11-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+63.9%+$22.38
Will Malmö FF win on 2025-11-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will FC Red Bull Salzburg win on 2025-11-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+69.5%+$17.37
FC Utrecht vs. FC Porto: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2025-10-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$53.33
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2025-10-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$25.76
Nottingham Forest FC vs. FC Porto: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
AS Roma vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$20.56
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2025-10-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+150%+$45
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2025-10-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$16.88
Fenerbahçe SK vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-10-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$44.55
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2025-10-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will Real Betis win on 2025-10-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$34.75
Will AS Roma win on 2025-10-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will FCSB vs. BSC Young Boys end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Bologna win on 2025-10-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
All 18 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Oct 13, 2025, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick42cpaid-50.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Belgium win on 2025-10-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Switzerland win on 2025-10-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will Northern Ireland vs. Germany end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Iceland win on 2025-10-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2025-10-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Scotland win on 2025-10-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT+194.1%+$58.24
Will Croatia win on 2025-10-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Faroe Islands vs. Montenegro end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Finland win on 2025-10-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$26.92
All 9 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Oct 5, 2025, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.24per pick46cpaid-59.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Sep 19, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+60.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fever vs. Dreambacked Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT+284.6%+$99.62
Lynx vs. Valkyriesbacked Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Mercury vs. Libertybacked Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Dream vs. Feverbacked Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$78.21
All 4 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$45
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
All 3 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 16, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Clippers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$137
Lakers vs. Sunsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$327Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$327
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Sep 25, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Astros vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$281.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Sep 26, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Cardinalsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$245.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Oct 5, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Juventus win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.