TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-11-05?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$362,323
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$399,915

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $362,323 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 314 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes34c60,000$20,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,10010543.8%46 W · 59 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3eac…4c8cbacked No59c36,002$21,241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,760.828241.5%34 W · 48 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c73…257cbacked Yes43c28,868$12,537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,537.1720%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c1c…a0a4backed Yes40c27,136$10,935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,934.633545.7%16 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid+7.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No60c26,888$16,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,755.1517853.9%96 W · 82 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Yes41c26,172$10,623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,622.989146.2%42 W · 49 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No60c20,645$12,422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,222.2114952.3%78 W · 71 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No71c17,675$12,467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,207.771,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked No57c16,834$9,595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,238.466653%35 W · 31 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No57c13,221$7,568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,652.3310051%51 W · 49 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+20%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x85d9…717bbacked No57c12,310$7,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,280.72259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+28.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No61c11,158$6,787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,370.6539746.9%186 W · 211 L+9.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed No75c7,462$5,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,892.693262.5%20 W · 12 L+4.7wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+11.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes40c6,522$2,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,640.2919028.9%55 W · 135 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Yes40c5,986$2,394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,394.414235.2%50 W · 92 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No68c5,370$3,646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,724.0658248.8%284 W · 298 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0d0f…a318backed Yes13c5,000$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6504228.6%12 W · 30 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-26.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Yes43c5,000$2,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1509348.4%45 W · 48 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Yes39c5,000$1,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,95014953%79 W · 70 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No57c5,000$2,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,149.989857.1%56 W · 42 L+6.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5cb6…76e0backed Yes38c4,227$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6001118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick29cpaid-26.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb1fe…9974backed Yes9c3,910$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.465038%19 W · 31 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-20.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No60c3,600$2,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,44018160.8%110 W · 71 L+18.5wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+31.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4c37…0631backed Yes45c3,353$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.36per pick56cpaid-70.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked No58c3,154$1,815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,339.318848.9%43 W · 45 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No58c2,537$1,466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,071.41,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3402…9446backed Yes40c2,500$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002751.9%14 W · 13 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed No59c2,480$1,463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,016.794346.5%20 W · 23 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf327…34dbbacked No59c2,356$1,390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$965.93250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8efe…7b44backed Yes43c2,325$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.72948.3%14 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed No70c2,279$1,593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$685.79336.6%34 W · 59 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes43c1,976$847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$846.5516136%58 W · 103 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No58c1,817$1,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$767.6722147.5%105 W · 116 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3de9…d669backed Yes44c1,640$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-34.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0353…c2ffbacked Yes43c1,613$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$687.754027.5%11 W · 29 L-6.9wins-0.17per pick45cpaid-34.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xd31c…dac9backed Yes41c1,500$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6102623.1%6 W · 20 L-4.1wins-0.16per pick39cpaid-42.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes32c1,401$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.5920343.3%88 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-30.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe071…f836backed Yes44c1,324$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587.29547.4%45 W · 50 L-7.1wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-12.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe4b1…a75ebacked Yes42c1,293$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5431315.4%2 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick27cpaid-64.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x942c…fb3abacked Yes42c1,191$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001844.4%8 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4da5…e32ebacked Yes42c1,190$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.15per pick41cpaid+70.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f37…7863backed Yes40c1,184$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.61457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes45c1,111$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008345.8%38 W · 45 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0dff…5431backed No64c1,079$686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.762100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+62%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7a7…d3abbacked Yes43c1,000$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3c2…26aabacked Yes33c1,000$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick39cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e85…1f81backed Yes35c1,000$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.271020%2 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-72%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcd36…a8acbacked Yes40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4003452.9%18 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88c7…9012backed Yes43c1,000$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4301070%7 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.22per pick48cpaid+49.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0c73…4c78backed Yes33c1,000$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+34.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36ea…be40backed No60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400850%4 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6868…08d7backed Yes39c1,000$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.30per pick42cpaid-79.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb0ff…ca90backed No67c965.5$647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.618151.9%42 W · 39 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37d8…b6ddbacked Yes41c882.93$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3625731.6%18 W · 39 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-19.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xabbd…f261backed Yes40c875$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3503943.6%17 W · 22 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78bc…2585backed Yes42c860$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.23938.5%15 W · 24 L-0.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No60c850.27$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.1144955.7%250 W · 199 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked No60c833.33$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.337240.3%29 W · 43 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3667…75ffbacked Yes42c800$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed No68c790.63$538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2539043.3%39 W · 51 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed No58c788.81$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.37052.9%37 W · 33 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4607…7811backed Yes17c779.25$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.73933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-31%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed No61c750$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.511649.1%57 W · 59 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9542…4295backed No58c749.99$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.991181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.9wins+0.26per pick56cpaid+45.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0e0c…b90abacked No55c749.98$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.494841.7%20 W · 28 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No58c678.3$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.137544%165 W · 210 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked No60c677$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.811950.4%60 W · 59 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf845…f3a8backed Yes45c666.67$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001060%6 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+51.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb37d…b5b3backed Yes40c625$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a13…db82backed No58c599.94$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.971060%6 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+41.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes43c565.12$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24126443.9%116 W · 148 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08b6…09d9backed Yes40c502.23$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.8950%0 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes38c500$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.114532.4%47 W · 98 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2157…5354backed Yes40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9644…d03bbacked No59c500$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2051457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20019755.3%109 W · 88 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc6e1…4f54backed No60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick63cpaid-31%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6673…8a4cbacked No57c499.99$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2153432.4%11 W · 23 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ebc…f31fbacked Yes40c499.98$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.99450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes41c487.8$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20028639.9%114 W · 172 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1947…94bcbacked No60c472.13$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.1316853.6%90 W · 78 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed Yes36c468.24$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1693647.2%17 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Yes43c465.12$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005850%29 W · 29 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes41c447.67$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.6412938%49 W · 80 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x79e8…1969backed Yes41c439.02$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+45.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed No57c438$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.345018%9 W · 41 L-4.4wins-0.09per pick27cpaid-33.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb125…69ebbacked Yes5c403.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.193417.6%6 W · 28 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick15cpaid-22.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x375e…6c94backed No58c400$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.51580%12 W · 3 L+3.7wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+47.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked No60c400$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16111245.5%51 W · 61 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Yes41c400$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1642259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.7wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+38%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9c54…f00ebacked Yes40c375$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501681.3%13 W · 3 L+3.4wins+0.21per pick60cpaid+28.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfd3b…51dabacked Yes41c364.02$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9bf…20b9backed Yes41c342.02$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.7640%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xda0f…f0e7backed No65c339.96$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.319046.7%42 W · 48 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x52b6…b02ebacked Yes42c321.43$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1351838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-24.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No63c317.33$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.3635860.6%217 W · 141 L+21.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x02c7…ee5cbacked Yes43c306.98$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1325152.9%27 W · 24 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4041…6f52backed Yes44c300$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13218334.4%63 W · 120 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8a0…f967backed Yes32c300$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$963043.3%13 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Yes41c292.68$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1206248.4%30 W · 32 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.