TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x375e…6c94

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
402
Categories scored
33
Categories below 50
20

Best Category: Champions League, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 60 out of 100; worst NBA at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT8540%34 W · 51 L-8.4wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-18.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 85 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$373Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+975.3%+$3,635.36
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$141
Will the Los Angeles Clippers make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.37
Thunder vs. Knicksbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+63.9%+$39
Clippers vs. Mavericksbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+69.8%+$69.85
Kings vs. Timberwolvesbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$11.8
Trail Blazers vs. Rocketsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$13.03
76ers vs. Pistonsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$44.42
Heat vs. Knicksbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$53.91
Nets vs. Magicbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$14.11
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$83.1
Nuggets vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$11.6
Spread: Clippers (-4.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$71.76
Hawks vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$162.59
Timberwolves vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$49.1
Spread: Suns (-8.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Pelicans vs. Sunsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$11.1
Bucks vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$142.57
Cavaliers vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+81.8%+$75.29
Spurs vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$293Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$292.59
Wizards vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+118.3%+$43.35
Bucks vs. Mavericks: 1H Moneylinebacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$14.1
Trail Blazers vs. Magicbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$26.62
Lakers vs. Hornets: O/U 229.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$19.6
Lakers vs. Hornets: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+104.1%+$15.3
Showing 25 of 85 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST4161%25 W · 16 L+4.0wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+17.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NFL — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$373Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+322%+$1,202.09
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+69.5%+$56.59
49ers vs. Eagles: O/U 44.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$279Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+91.9%+$256.08
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+212.5%+$102
49ers vs. Colts: O/U 46.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+100%+$75
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$141
Packers vs. Giantsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+31.6%+$4.8
Spread: Packers (-1.5)backed Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+90.5%+$47.5
Eagles vs. Packers: O/U 45.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$54.9
Eagles vs. Packersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+96.9%+$49.2
Spread: Chargers (-4.5)backed Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$174
Spread: Chargers (-3.5)backed Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$55
Spread: Lions (-9.5)backed Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$11.2
Lions vs. Commandersbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+29.4%+$18.16
Spread: Seahawks (-6.5)backed Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$55.2
Spread: Seahawks (-7.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+109.4%+$62.7
Cardinals vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+33.6%+$100.5
Rams vs. 49ers: O/U 48.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+92.3%+$19.2
Cardinals vs. Seahawks: O/U 45.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+108.3%+$52
Jaguars vs. Texansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+39.4%+$82.03
Ravens vs. Vikingsbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+25.7%+$14.3
Bills vs. Dolphinsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+85.5%+$11.29
Patriots vs. Buccaneersbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+78.6%+$48.4
Saints vs. Panthersbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+62.1%+$58.59
Cardinals vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$44.4
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST3243.8%14 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Sharks (BO3)backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$56.99
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs ShindeN (BO3)backed Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+26.6%+$8.16
Counter-Strike: Game Hunters vs Prison Breakers (BO3)backed Prison Breakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+76.9%+$100
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs TheMongolz (BO3)backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+224.5%+$133.81
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$233Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$232.91
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$446Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+90.7%+$404.36
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3)backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$31.49
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3)backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$86
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+96%+$170.14
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 - Map 1 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$78.16
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$234
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs paiN (BO3)backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$399.66
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs paiN - Map 2 Winnerbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$271Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$271.25
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs paiN - Map 1 Winnerbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+121.9%+$136.03
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Virtus.pro (BO3)backed Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$166.89
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Virtus.pro - Map 2 Winnerbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$58.72
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Virtus.pro - Map 1 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,350Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$1,350.41
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs paiN (BO3)backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+96.1%+$49
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs paiN - Map 2 Winnerbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$39.35
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$824Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+60.1%+$495.77
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs paiN - Map 1 Winnerbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+96.1%+$98
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+73.7%+$16.97
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Astralis (BO3)backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+37.6%+$82
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST2536%9 W · 16 L-3.1wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-27.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
College Football — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Alabama vs. Oklahomabacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+104.1%+$153
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers vs. Georgia Southernbacked Coastal Carolina Chanticleers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Memphis vs. East Carolinabacked Memphis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$20.5
Texas State vs. Southern Missbacked Southern Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$29.5
Iowa vs. USCbacked Iowa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$15.5
Clemson vs. Louisvillebacked Clemson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+210.7%+$61.04
Spread: Nebraska Cornhuskers (-1.5)backed UCLA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$68.9
Spread: Alabama (-9.5)backed LSU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$134.4
Spread: Florida Gators (-3.5)backed Kentucky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+100%+$60
Wake Forest vs. Virginiabacked Virginia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$89.5
Florida State vs. Clemsonbacked Clemson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+96.1%+$171.5
Texas State vs. Louisianabacked Texas State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$13.6
Auburn vs. Vanderbiltbacked Auburn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$253Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$253
Kansas vs. Arizonabacked Kansas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$92.8
Oregon vs. Iowabacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+27.8%+$4.35
Spread: Ball State (-1.5)backed Kent State Golden Flashes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$157.5
Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Ball Statebacked Kent State Golden Flashes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$379Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$379
Spread: Ball State (-2.5)backed Kent State Golden Flashes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$192
Miami (OH) vs. Ohiobacked Miami (OH) · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$467Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$467.42
Spread: Akron (-10.5)backed Akron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+92.3%+$48
O/U 49.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+86.9%+$46.5
North Carolina vs. Syracuse: O/U 45.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$25.5
O/U 46.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+93.5%+$29
Sam Houston Bearkats vs. Louisiana Techbacked Sam Houston Bearkats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
O/U 49.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.5
All 25 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST2441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maple Leafs vs. Devilsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$24.5
Canucks vs. Hurricanesbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$22.52
Islanders vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$12.4
Ducks vs. Red Wingsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$16.82
Capitals vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+100%+$10
Stars vs. Canadiensbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+57%+$65.38
Devils vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$18.4
Panthers vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+105.8%+$25.7
Panthers vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$14.3
Islanders vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$64.3
Predators vs. Rangersbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$22.2
Avalanche vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$24.61
Jets vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+185.7%+$19.5
Jets vs. Ducks: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+150%+$18
Jets vs. Ducksbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$28.2
Avalanche vs. Canucks: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$28.8
Blue Jackets vs. Flamesbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Utah vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+69.5%+$41
Jets vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+81.8%+$90
Predators vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+53.8%+$70
Canucks vs. Predatorsbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$980Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+104.1%+$1,020
Blue Jackets vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+77%+$87
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$23
Islanders vs. Hurricanesbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$293Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$293.07
All 24 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Nov 15, 2025, EST2138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-25.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Troy Trojans vs. Loyola Marymount Lionsbacked Troy Trojans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Michigan Wolverines vs. TCU Horned Frogsbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+66.7%+$8
California Golden Bears vs. Kansas State Wildcatsbacked Kansas State Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+38.9%+$5.36
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Alabama Crimson Tidebacked Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+114%+$12.58
Monmouth Hawks vs. Seton Hall Piratesbacked Seton Hall Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+28.2%+$12.13
Southern Miss Golden Eagles vs. South Carolina Gamecocksbacked South Carolina Gamecocks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+138.1%+$17.4
Providence Friars vs. Virginia Tech Hokiesbacked Providence Friars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$12.6
Eastern Washington Eagles vs. Colorado Buffaloesbacked Eastern Washington Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$31.92
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors vs. Oregon Ducksbacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$32.36
Navy Midshipmen vs. Presbyterian Blue Hosebacked Presbyterian Blue Hose · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Boston College Eagles vs. Florida Atlantic Owlsbacked Boston College Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$36
Youngstown State Penguins vs. Pittsburgh Panthersbacked Youngstown State Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Appalachian State Mountaineers vs. Central Michigan Chippewasbacked Central Michigan Chippewas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+81.8%+$90
South Alabama Jaguars vs. Toledo Rocketsbacked Toledo Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$21
Marshall Thundering Herd vs. Massachusetts Minutemenbacked Massachusetts Minutemen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$204
Arkansas State Red Wolves vs. Ohio Bobcatsbacked Ohio Bobcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$43.69
Troy Trojans vs. Kent State Golden Flashesbacked Troy Trojans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+132.6%+$114
Georgia State Panthers vs. Eastern Michigan Eaglesbacked Georgia State Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$39
Villanova Wildcats vs. BYU Cougarsbacked Villanova Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$34.65
Arizona Wildcats vs. Florida Gatorsbacked Florida Gators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$65
Bradley Braves vs. St. Bonaventure Bonniesbacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+156.4%+$103.7
All 21 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 11, 2025, EST2147.6%10 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-19.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AA Argentinos Juniors vs. CA Belgrano end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+40.2%+$8.6
Will CA Central Córdoba win on 2025-11-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+48.1%+$9.75
Spread: CA Independiente (-0.5)backed CD Riestra · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$57.61
Will CD Riestra win on 2025-11-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+49%+$32.9
Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2025-11-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$21.6
Will CD Godoy Cruz Antonio Tomba win on 2025-11-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+40.8%+$23.2
Will CA Sarmiento win on 2025-11-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$41.6
Will CF América win on 2025-11-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+49.3%+$85.8
Will CA Lanús win on 2025-11-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+38.9%+$28
Will CA Banfield vs. CA Lanús end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+61.3%+$38
Will Racing Club win on 2025-11-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+44.9%+$31
Will CA Central Córdoba vs. Racing Club end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$75
CA Central Córdoba vs. Racing Club: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$24.86
CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CA Huracán: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$47
Will SC Internacional vs. CA Mineiro end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Will SC Internacional win on 2025-11-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+194.1%+$27.46
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2025-11-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$52
Will EC Bahia win on 2025-11-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$135
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2025-11-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+132.6%+$57
Estudiantes de La Plata vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$67
Will Mirassol FC vs. Botafogo FR end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$35
All 21 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST1735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick43cpaid+0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ukraine win on 2025-11-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+75.4%+$8.6
Will Switzerland win on 2025-11-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$12.8
Will Scotland win on 2025-11-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+36.2%+$26.6
Will Brazil win on 2025-11-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$15.67
Will Kazakhstan vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+777.2%+$88.6
Will South Africa win on 2025-11-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$156.4
Will Australia win on 2025-11-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+65%+$39.4
Will Netherlands win on 2025-11-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+132.6%+$22.8
Will Slovakia win on 2025-11-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$41.3
Will Finland win on 2025-11-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$37.1
Will Korea Republic win on 2025-11-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$27.8
Will Japan win on 2025-11-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$80.96
Will Japan vs. Ghana end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$46.8
Will England win on 2025-11-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Will Albania win on 2025-11-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+29.6%+$11.43
Will Hungary win on 2025-11-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$68.02
Will Iceland win on 2025-11-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$58.6
All 17 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 10, 2025, EST1643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritzbacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$12.14
ATP World Tour Finals, Bjorn Borg Group: Alexander Zverev vs Ben Sheltonbacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$25.19
Open de Moselle: Vitaliy Sachko vs Alexander Bublikbacked Sachko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+614.3%+$279.5
WTA Finals, Serena Williams Group: Iga Swiatek vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Anisimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+170.8%+$126.14
Hellenic Championship: Alexandre Muller vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$559Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$558.73
Hellenic Championship: Yannick Hanfmann vs Vit Koprivabacked Kopriva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$354Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$354.15
Open de Moselle: Hugo Gaston vs Daniel Altmaierbacked Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+150%+$21.29
Open de Moselle: Clement Tabur vs Alexander Blockxbacked Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$10.09
Hellenic Championship: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Luciano Darderibacked Kecmanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+144.3%+$59.07
Open de Moselle: Arthur Cazaux vs Cameron Norriebacked Cazaux · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$276
Hellenic Championship: Eliot Spizzirri vs Nuno Borgesbacked Spizzirri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Open de Moselle: Flavio Cobolli vs Lorenzo Sonegobacked Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$67.67
Open de Moselle: Corentin Moutet vs Aleksandar Vukicbacked Vukic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+212.5%+$68
Hellenic Championship: Sebastian Korda vs Damir Dzumhurbacked Dzumhur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Hellenic Championship: Reilly Opelka vs Vit Koprivabacked Kopriva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+56.3%+$36
Open de Moselle: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Vitaliy Sachkobacked Sachko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+85.2%+$46
All 16 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST1580%12 W · 3 L+3.7wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+47.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Champions League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AFC Ajax vs. Galatasaray SK end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+35.1%+$26
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+211.3%+$108.59
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2025-11-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,707Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$1,707
Will Olympique de Marseille vs. Atalanta BC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$763Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+40.8%+$311.74
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-11-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$233Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+72%+$167.5
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+138.1%+$232
AFC Ajax vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+81.8%+$8.85
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed Club Brugge KV · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+78.6%+$41.8
Club Brugge KV vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$621Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$620.98
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+60.2%+$52.6
Will PSV win on 2025-11-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+60.4%+$105.4
Will Juventus FC win on 2025-11-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+44.9%+$31
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-11-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+63.9%+$132.59
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-11-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$24
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-11-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+124.1%+$110.15
All 15 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST1241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSV win on 2025-11-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$43.2
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2025-11-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$41.6
Will FC Midtjylland vs. Aarhus GF end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$28
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2025-11-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+96.1%+$10
Will Çaykur Rizespor win on 2025-11-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$17.47
Will FC Porto win on 2025-11-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$34.99
Will Moreirense FC win on 2025-11-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$33
Will FC Nordsjælland win on 2025-11-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+40.8%+$29
Will AFC Ajax win on 2025-11-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$32.5
Spread: AFC Ajax (-1.5)backed SC Heerenveen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$21
Spread: PSV (-2.5)backed Fortuna Sittard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.61
Will Rams Başakşehir FK vs. Kocaelispor end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$23
All 12 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+26.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+132.6%+$114
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+203%+$87.1
Will Osasuna win on 2025-11-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+66.4%+$79.11
Will Real Oviedo vs. Osasuna end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$32
Spread: Real Betis (-1.5)backed Mallorca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$44
Real Betis vs. Mallorca: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+100%+$50
Will Barcelona win on 2025-11-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$20.8
Spread: Barcelona (-2.5)backed Elche CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+66.8%+$60.95
Will Girona win on 2025-10-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$14
Will Getafe win on 2025-10-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.9
Getafe vs. Girona: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+86%+$18.91
All 11 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST1090%9 W · 1 L+3.1wins+0.31per pick59cpaid+69.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-11-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+33.3%+$5
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+244.8%+$230.75
Will Millwall FC win on 2025-11-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+29.9%+$5
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-11-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$274Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+42.5%+$116.3
Will Everton win on 2025-11-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$227Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+76.2%+$173
Sunderland AFC vs. Everton: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+100.7%+$105.35
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$45.6
Spread: Manchester United (-0.5)backed Nottingham Forest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$25.85
Will Hull City AFC win on 2025-11-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$35
Will Coventry City FC win on 2025-10-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+82.9%+$27.2
All 10 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+18%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+29.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick70cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-43.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick70cpaid-46.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
AI — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick63cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 10, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-29%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Most Wanted (BO3)backed Most Wanted · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+113%+$68.98
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$10.5
Dota 2: Team Public vs 4Pirates (BO3)backed Team Public · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$160.78
All 3 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Los Heretics (BO5)backed Los Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$40.5
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.05
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Oct 31, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Okhdood SC win on 2025-10-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
Will Al Hazem SC win on 2025-10-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+106.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$538Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+106.1%+$570.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 April 6-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$8.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$9.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Auckland FC win on 2025-11-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$231.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Kolkata Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.65
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.