NFL · resolved market
Spread: Seahawks (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2020c44d9adb0678286bb2bf5e92c015e8464bc3020363b40f50014a095e1dd0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Seahawksof Seahawks, Cardinals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $419,153
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $418,862
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $419,153 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed88…f3c4backed Seahawks | 56c | 113,143$62,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,209.71 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Cardinals | 47c | 57,000$26,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,790 | 111 | 68.5%76 W · 35 L | +18.5wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7189…b454backed Seahawks | 53c | 42,125$22,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,798.88 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +7.7wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Cardinals | 47c | 40,160$18,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,875.2 | 274 | 54.7%150 W · 124 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Seahawks | 53c | 30,000$15,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,100 | 136 | 54.4%74 W · 62 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5d…cc80backed Seahawks | 57c | 30,000$17,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,900 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Cardinals | 47c | 28,636$13,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,458.91 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Seahawks | 52c | 28,488$14,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,674.11 | 168 | 36.9%62 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9249…4f16backed Cardinals | 48c | 27,749$13,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,202.02 | 176 | 47.7%84 W · 92 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Cardinals | 48c | 24,880$11,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,930.09 | 335 | 53.4%179 W · 156 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Cardinals | 43c | 24,542$10,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,553.04 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Cardinals | 44c | 24,468$10,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,796.14 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…c9b4backed Seahawks | 53c | 18,868$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,867.92 | 181 | 40.9%74 W · 107 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Cardinals | 47c | 18,581$8,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,733.2 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Cardinals | 45c | 15,822$7,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,119.71 | 104 | 62.5%65 W · 39 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Cardinals | 46c | 13,000$6,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,010 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Cardinals | 45c | 12,407$5,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,583 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Cardinals | 45c | 11,732$5,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,306.93 | 834 | 47.1%393 W · 441 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Cardinals | 46c | 11,419$5,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,226.36 | 611 | 48.6%297 W · 314 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Cardinals | 49c | 10,019$4,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,908.51 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Cardinals | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,400 | 144 | 50%72 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Seahawks | 54c | 8,000$4,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,680 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42cb…8412backed Seahawks | 53c | 7,419$3,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,487.01 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Seahawks | 53c | 7,000$3,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,289.98 | 265 | 47.2%125 W · 140 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Cardinals | 44c | 5,788$2,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,546.58 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Cardinals | 45c | 5,075$2,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,283.75 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Cardinals | 48c | 4,500$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,160 | 257 | 44.4%114 W · 143 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Seahawks | 54c | 4,500$2,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,065 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Cardinals | 47c | 3,497$1,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,643.36 | 320 | 50.9%163 W · 157 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc701…f932backed Seahawks | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Seahawks | 53c | 2,344$1,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,107.54 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…abbabacked Cardinals | 45c | 2,100$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Cardinals | 47c | 2,100$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.25 | 544 | 51.7%281 W · 263 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Cardinals | 46c | 1,878$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.11 | 240 | 56.7%136 W · 104 L | +19.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Seahawks | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.85 | 76 | 61.8%47 W · 29 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Cardinals | 45c | 1,628$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.41 | 412 | 48.5%200 W · 212 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc7…cf77backed Seahawks | 57c | 1,501$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.64 | 81 | 44.4%36 W · 45 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb00…42e9backed Seahawks | 58c | 1,237$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.94 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Cardinals | 47c | 1,200$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc856…d209backed Cardinals | 47c | 1,133$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Seahawks | 54c | 1,018$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.28 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6d…9c5cbacked Seahawks | 52c | 998.99$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.51 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dae…f2f4backed Cardinals | 48c | 943.73$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe584…e6e2backed Seahawks | 54c | 925.46$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.71 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -8.3wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…e346backed Seahawks | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.19 | 214 | 54.7%117 W · 97 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21d8…ad91backed Seahawks | 56c | 736.36$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Seahawks | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.24 | 204 | 43.6%89 W · 115 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed Seahawks | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.04 | 126 | 34.1%43 W · 83 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Cardinals | 42c | 565.06$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.65 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Cardinals | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 568 | 52.3%297 W · 271 L | +26.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06fd…c0bebacked Seahawks | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.29per pick | 41cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4d…f0b8backed Seahawks | 53c | 499.81$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.21 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -9.4wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0936…085fbacked Seahawks | 54c | 425.96$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Cardinals | 46c | 419.99$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.04 | 244 | 56.6%138 W · 106 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd368…1889backed Seahawks | 53c | 400.03$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.85 | 138 | 42%58 W · 80 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…3cfcbacked Seahawks | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6941…efd5backed Seahawks | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 132 | 53%70 W · 62 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Seahawks | 53c | 344$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.4 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Cardinals | 47c | 340.43$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 280 | 47.5%133 W · 147 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161c…3b03backed Seahawks | 53c | 310$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.7 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ca…e8d0backed Seahawks | 54c | 309.44$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.34 | 71 | 31%22 W · 49 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -36%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cardinals | 47c | 305$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.4 | 394 | 47.7%188 W · 206 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68db…e12bbacked Cardinals | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 134 | 35.8%48 W · 86 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Cardinals | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 266 | 48.9%130 W · 136 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Seahawks | 59c | 259.77$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.78 | 110 | 47.3%52 W · 58 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Cardinals | 47c | 250.2$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.1 | 363 | 41.9%152 W · 211 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Cardinals | 48c | 240$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.2 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Seahawks | 51c | 230$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.7 | 594 | 53.7%319 W · 275 L | +24.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Seahawks | 56c | 217.39$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.39 | 175 | 47.4%83 W · 92 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d7…c17bbacked Seahawks | 57c | 216.28$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 117 | 59.8%70 W · 47 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Seahawks | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Cardinals | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd58b…48e8backed Cardinals | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Cardinals | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +6.4wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbf73…0436backed Cardinals | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Seahawks | 51c | 197$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.53 | 229 | 50.2%115 W · 114 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0298…93c4backed Seahawks | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 283 | 37.8%107 W · 176 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe52…32c5backed Cardinals | 47c | 188.68$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.68 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.21per pick | 47cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4627…b4b0backed Seahawks | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 58 | 69%40 W · 18 L | +7.7wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x084d…7e47backed Seahawks | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1306…edf8backed Seahawks | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.6wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5f24…a537backed Seahawks | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.3wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +91.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…643ebacked Seahawks | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Seahawks | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 127 | 55.1%70 W · 57 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x183a…d514backed Seahawks | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 143 | 55.2%79 W · 64 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x750f…4600backed Cardinals | 47c | 175.04$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbecd…9df4backed Seahawks | 59c | 169.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.89 | 143 | 47.6%68 W · 75 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe827…5209backed Seahawks | 54c | 160$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.6 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x41dc…bc3dbacked Cardinals | 47c | 159.85$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecf4…9979backed Seahawks | 54c | 151.28$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.1 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb376…f6a0backed Seahawks | 55c | 149.64$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.34 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9da3…a7efbacked Cardinals | 43c | 135.16$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.68 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e07…c0d4backed Seahawks | 56c | 133.82$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.88 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Cardinals | 48c | 132$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.93 | 414 | 50.5%209 W · 205 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x375e…6c94backed Cardinals | 46c | 120$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58a0…2b5bbacked Cardinals | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | -7.6wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8e07…3702backed Cardinals | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x646c…3210backed Seahawks | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5dd…b094backed Seahawks | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66fe…e123backed Seahawks | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Seahawks (-6.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)Seahawks won
- Cardinals vs. SeahawksSeahawks won
- Cardinals vs. Seahawks: O/U 44.5Over won
- Cardinals vs. Seahawks: O/U 45.5Over won
- Cardinals vs. Seahawks: O/U 46.5Over won
- Spread: Seahawks (-7.5)Seahawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.