NFL · resolved market
Cardinals vs. Seahawks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c7a4b51e4b97122dd86e78d6b1d36fee5b60afead5b1cbd7223c1d60adc7a12
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Seahawksof Cardinals, Seahawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,238,465
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,262,684
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,238,465 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 353 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d3b…c46bbacked Cardinals | 26c | 1,327,759$338,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338,639.87 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Seahawks | 74c | 169,961$126,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,541.6 | 335 | 53.4%179 W · 156 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Seahawks | 74c | 155,777$115,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,444.25 | 103 | 33%34 W · 69 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Seahawks | 75c | 135,584$101,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,202.69 | 446 | 52.9%236 W · 210 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Seahawks | 74c | 125,032$92,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,156.28 | 229 | 50.2%115 W · 114 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Seahawks | 75c | 104,133$77,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,180.65 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…0a01backed Cardinals | 25c | 91,680$22,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,930.93 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Seahawks | 76c | 83,800$63,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,112 | 100 | 61%61 W · 39 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Seahawks | 74c | 56,896$42,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,674.35 | 611 | 48.6%297 W · 314 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Seahawks | 75c | 54,988$41,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,747.02 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Seahawks | 75c | 50,486$37,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,856.36 | 244 | 56.6%138 W · 106 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Cardinals | 1c | 45,253$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.73 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Seahawks | 74c | 42,028$31,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,927.22 | 212 | 54.2%115 W · 97 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda4d…c8eebacked Cardinals | 0c | 41,498$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.86 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 19cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Cardinals | 25c | 40,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Seahawks | 74c | 40,000$29,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,400 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | +10.2wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Seahawks | 75c | 35,186$26,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,708.73 | 419 | 47.3%198 W · 221 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce2…e868backed Seahawks | 74c | 32,000$23,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,320 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Cardinals | 0c | 30,681$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.07 | 196 | 9.2%18 W · 178 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Seahawks | 76c | 30,446$23,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,306.95 | 104 | 62.5%65 W · 39 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Seahawks | 74c | 26,991$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,990.99 | 127 | 44.9%57 W · 70 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Seahawks | 74c | 26,247$19,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,823.16 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Cardinals | 25c | 23,188$5,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,796.99 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Seahawks | 74c | 20,960$15,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,416.53 | 412 | 48.5%200 W · 212 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Seahawks | 74c | 20,000$14,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,200 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Seahawks | 75c | 20,000$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Cardinals | 0c | 19,905$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 98 | 0%0 W · 98 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Seahawks | 74c | 19,194$14,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,019.53 | 318 | 54.7%174 W · 144 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked Cardinals | 0c | 18,906$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5646…3819backed Cardinals | 24c | 18,669$4,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,480.44 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x260c…7130backed Cardinals | 2c | 16,546$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Seahawks | 75c | 16,500$12,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,125 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc7…e411backed Seahawks | 75c | 15,060$11,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,765 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Seahawks | 76c | 14,022$10,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,407.68 | 313 | 50.2%157 W · 156 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Seahawks | 74c | 14,000$10,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,640 | 240 | 56.7%136 W · 104 L | +19.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Seahawks | 76c | 13,158$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,157.89 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Seahawks | 74c | 11,874$8,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,087.32 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Cardinals | 0c | 11,150$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 101 | 3%3 W · 98 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6eb…b89ebacked Cardinals | 0c | 10,320$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Cardinals | 4c | 10,199$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.98 | 257 | 44.4%114 W · 143 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe17…98e9backed Cardinals | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +6.3wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Cardinals | 2c | 9,536$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.42 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e7a…10c9backed Cardinals | 1c | 8,869$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.39 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0a…d070backed Cardinals | 23c | 8,688$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…c139backed Cardinals | 1c | 8,000$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 57 | 19.3%11 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfadc…472ebacked Seahawks | 76c | 7,833$5,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,913.25 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Cardinals | 8c | 6,800$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 144 | 38.9%56 W · 88 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Seahawks | 75c | 6,660$4,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,682.62 | 273 | 48.7%133 W · 140 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Seahawks | 75c | 6,400$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,599.93 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Cardinals | 1c | 6,316$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.18 | 148 | 6.8%10 W · 138 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 2cpaid | +296.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf629…bda0backed Seahawks | 76c | 6,219$4,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,519.3 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Seahawks | 75c | 5,984$4,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,499.54 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Seahawks | 74c | 5,478$4,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,399.96 | 544 | 51.7%281 W · 263 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2092…b6d8backed Seahawks | 74c | 5,405$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,405.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Seahawks | 74c | 5,000$3,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44bc…c53ebacked Cardinals | 2c | 5,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x185e…7af6backed Cardinals | 1c | 4,640$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.08 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Cardinals | 2c | 4,566$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.21 | 142 | 15.5%22 W · 120 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…3aa5backed Cardinals | 25c | 4,535$1,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,133.83 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +38%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5a…78e9backed Cardinals | 1c | 4,426$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed Cardinals | 21c | 4,333$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.94 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x919a…bc17backed Cardinals | 1c | 4,294$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.7 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Seahawks | 75c | 4,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 223 | 49.8%111 W · 112 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…dd71backed Cardinals | 26c | 4,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72b2…52b3backed Cardinals | 3c | 3,931$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Cardinals | 25c | 3,899$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.47 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Seahawks | 75c | 3,785$2,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.01 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Cardinals | 0c | 3,750$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 567 | 9.9%56 W · 511 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked Cardinals | 25c | 3,396$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x596e…7b82backed Cardinals | 24c | 3,375$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Cardinals | 1c | 3,260$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.37 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a2…372abacked Seahawks | 75c | 3,200$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Seahawks | 74c | 3,099$2,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.05 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa5…3f52backed Cardinals | 1c | 3,088$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbe2…f885backed Cardinals | 0c | 3,060$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ae…7b92backed Cardinals | 4c | 2,873$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.93 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Seahawks | 74c | 2,764$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.28 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa727…8289backed Seahawks | 74c | 2,685$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.68 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfda…4fe6backed Cardinals | 25c | 2,680$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.99 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Seahawks | 76c | 2,647$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.22 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Cardinals | 25c | 2,626$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.51 | 834 | 47.1%393 W · 441 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Cardinals | 1c | 2,554$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.32 | 431 | 1.6%7 W · 424 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…a807backed Cardinals | 0c | 2,535$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b92…64efbacked Seahawks | 75c | 2,300$1,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Seahawks | 74c | 2,178$1,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.86 | 314 | 50%157 W · 157 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbac2…727bbacked Cardinals | 11c | 2,013$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8c…9390backed Seahawks | 76c | 2,000$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23e5…d41fbacked Cardinals | 26c | 2,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +77.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Seahawks | 73c | 1,987$1,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.52 | 141 | 54.6%77 W · 64 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Cardinals | 26c | 1,923$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.98 | 140 | 35%49 W · 91 L | -12.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Cardinals | 25c | 1,900$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.98 | 206 | 46.1%95 W · 111 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Seahawks | 74c | 1,800$1,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.78 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x132a…abe8backed Cardinals | 3c | 1,491$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.15 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5b…8882backed Cardinals | 2c | 1,476$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd5…13a0backed Seahawks | 75c | 1,400$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…491dbacked Seahawks | 76c | 1,336$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22af…ca2fbacked Cardinals | 25c | 1,336$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.01 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf05…70dabacked Seahawks | 75c | 1,333$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 147 | 63.9%94 W · 53 L | +12.0wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee0…37a4backed Seahawks | 75c | 1,300$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9325…f40abacked Cardinals | 26c | 1,300$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cardinals vs. Seahawksthis page
- 1H Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)Seahawks won
- Cardinals vs. Seahawks: O/U 44.5Over won
- Cardinals vs. Seahawks: O/U 45.5Over won
- Cardinals vs. Seahawks: O/U 46.5Over won
- Spread: Seahawks (-6.5)Seahawks won
- Spread: Seahawks (-7.5)Seahawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.