TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x084d…7e47

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
275
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Middle East, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 55 out of 100; worst Tennis at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT9848%47 W · 51 L-9.5wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-14%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Tennis — the 98 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stuttgart Open: Gauthier Onclin vs Fabian Marozsanbacked Gauthier Onclin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+123.7%+$61.87
Libema Open: Marin Cilic vs Denis Shapovalovbacked Marin Cilic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+61.4%+$55.24
Stuttgart Open: Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Martin Landalucebacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$53.43
Stuttgart Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Mattia Belluccibacked Alejandro Davidovich Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$33.55
Geneva Open, Qualification: James Duckworth vs Miguel Damasbacked James Duckworth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$43.18
Set Handicap: Ruud (-1.5) vs Darderi (+1.5)backed Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Martin Landaluce vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Set Handicap: Medvedev (-1.5) vs Tirante (+1.5)backed Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$41.69
Set Handicap: Rublev (-1.5) vs Basilashvili (+1.5)backed Basilashvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+28.5%+$8.54
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Andrey Rublev vs Nikoloz Basilashvilibacked Nikoloz Basilashvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Frances Tiafoe vs Andrea Pellegrinobacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.83
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Matteo Arnaldi vs Rafael Jodarbacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+37%+$29.41
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Learner Tien vs Alexander Bublikbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Set Handicap: Ruud (-1.5) vs Lehecka (+1.5)backed Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Hamad Medjedovic vs Joao Fonsecabacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$182.79
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Ben Sheltonbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Flavio Cobolli vs Terence Atmanebacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$38.89
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Ugo Humbert vs Vit Koprivabacked Vit Kopriva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Tallon Griekspoor vs Alexander Blockxbacked Alexander Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+49.1%+$29.46
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Jiri Leheckabacked Jiri Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$10.63
Madrid Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Marta Kostyukbacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+79.4%+$106.39
Madrid Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverevbacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$303Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$303.02
Madrid Open: Arthur Fils vs Jiri Leheckabacked Jiri Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Showing 25 of 98 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT7864.1%50 W · 28 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 78 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Málaga CF vs. UD Almería: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$54.31
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$161.59
Will Real Betis Balompié vs. Elche CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+70%+$33.61
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.49
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.69
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,466Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,465.63
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$164.93
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-04-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$21.04
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-04-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$491Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+41.7%+$204.63
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,281Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+33.2%+$425.12
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.68
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$196.88
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.23
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$37.46
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-04-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$84.43
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+25%+$45.22
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-03-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.57
Will Real Betis Balompié vs. RC Celta de Vigo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$23.5
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+146%+$28.24
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+40.4%+$40.36
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$14.94
Showing 25 of 78 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT2166.7%14 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$231.07
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$11.95
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.64
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$12.26
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.89
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.66
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$131.36
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$19.12
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,293Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+80%+$1,034.31
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$20.01
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$99.55
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$15.79
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$141.57
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+72.4%+$75.19
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+42.9%+$26.84
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+42.9%+$8.57
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+61.3%+$15.32
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-11-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$69
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$120
All 21 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT2060%12 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Celtics vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.11
Hawks vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.32
Celtics vs. Raptorsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+88.7%+$35.47
Spread: Timberwolves (-12.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+85.2%+$25.56
Spread: Lakers (-14.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Spread: Thunder (-14.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+103%+$30.9
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+25%+$2.5
Bulls vs. Pelicansbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$10.12
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+96.1%+$52.84
Spread: Thunder (-16.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Spread: Thunder (-16.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+108.3%+$54.17
Nuggets vs. Kingsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+31.3%+$37.55
Pistons vs. 76ersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+100%+$20
Celtics vs. Magicbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+43.3%+$17.33
Suns vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Spread: Thunder (-10.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Clippers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+75.4%+$15.09
Thunder vs. Trail Blazersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$20
76ers vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+85.2%+$17.04
Bucks vs. Pacersbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+44.5%+$22.25
All 20 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-36.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$324Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$324.28
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$156.46
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-05-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+100%+$111.84
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-03-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$56.66
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-03-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$189.18
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-03-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$374Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+27.3%+$101.87
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2025-12-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$27.9
Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2025-11-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2025-11-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+61.3%+$61.29
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. KKS Lech Poznań end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$33
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+26.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+557.9%+$518.98
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.53
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.89
Spread: Spain (-2.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$699Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$698.86
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$23.48
Spread: Canada (-1.5)backed Bosnia and Herzegovina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$554Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+37%+$204.75
Will Egypt win on 2026-01-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Northern Ireland win on 2025-11-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+28.2%+$11.28
All 9 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick67cpaid-26.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Real Madridbacked Olympiacos B.C. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$68.68
Valencia vs. Real Madridbacked Valencia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$497Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$496.71
Real Madrid vs. La Laguna Tenerifebacked Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$487Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$486.83
BC Dubai vs. Anadolu Efesbacked Anadolu Efes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.25
Panathinaikos vs. BC Dubaibacked Panathinaikos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+27.5%+$7.14
Barcelona vs. Virtus Bolognabacked Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+28.2%+$28.23
Paris Basketball vs. Panathinaikosbacked Paris Basketball · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$80.74
Valencia vs. Real Madridbacked Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$50
BC Dubai vs. KK Crvena Zvezdabacked BC Dubai · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+44.7%+$22.37
All 9 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 11, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+43.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Eagles vs. Packersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Seahawks (-6.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+88.7%+$88.68
Ravens vs. Vikingsbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+51.5%+$170
Spread: Ravens (-3.5)backed Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+132.6%+$66.28
All 4 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 15, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Clemson vs. Louisvillebacked Louisville · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Florida State vs. Clemsonbacked Florida State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Duke vs. UConnbacked Duke · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$223Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$222.94
All 3 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$269Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$478.99
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$721Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+176.5%+$1,273.11
All 2 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+121.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+64.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Werder Bremen vs. VfL Wolfsburg end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$70
Will Werder Bremen win on 2025-11-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+228.5%+$137.1
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+25.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+150.9%+$93.57
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Roma win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Will AC Milan vs. AS Roma end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$22
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Penguins vs. Predatorsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Stars vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris FC win on 2025-11-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+51.5%+$25.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 12, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.37
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.