Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Rublev (-1.5) vs Basilashvili (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x768ece1cb38bfc3af2e0c5b193a2457e3426d0ed61bf1f5a40e838be33e64170
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Basilashviliof Rublev, Basilashvili
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,259
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,967
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,259 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f3c…2f57backed Rublev | 51c | 8,715$4,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,406.54 | 307 | 40.7%125 W · 182 L | -23.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Basilashvili | 49c | 4,538$2,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,324.21 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…079ebacked Basilashvili | 54c | 4,070$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,869.77 | 416 | 45.4%189 W · 227 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Basilashvili | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040.12 | 724 | 52.6%381 W · 343 L | +34.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…b20cbacked Rublev | 52c | 3,834$2,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,010.79 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Rublev | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380 | 689 | 35%241 W · 448 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Basilashvili | 48c | 1,674$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865.31 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcebb…d72ebacked Rublev | 50c | 1,142$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.24 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Basilashvili | 50c | 882.17$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.09 | 423 | 41.4%175 W · 248 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Rublev | 50c | 682.65$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344 | 1,118 | 42.8%479 W · 639 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc60b…d9f7backed Basilashvili | 51c | 601.24$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.47 | 354 | 39.8%141 W · 213 L | -15.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked Basilashvili | 50c | 400$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202 | 419 | 55.8%234 W · 185 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Rublev | 51c | 200$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Basilashvili | 51c | 197.42$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.42 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1861…408dbacked Basilashvili | 51c | 197.3$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.85 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82db…7582backed Basilashvili | 54c | 181.44$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Rublev | 46c | 181.44$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.46 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Rublev | 51c | 141.92$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.75 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda39…1865backed Rublev | 50c | 120.16$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…b497backed Rublev | 46c | 106.81$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.3 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -5.8wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b75…6679backed Rublev | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Basilashvili | 49c | 100.02$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.01 | 1,510 | 37.7%569 W · 941 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked Rublev | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 583 | 59.2%345 W · 238 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Rublev | 48c | 99.97$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.98 | 1,245 | 51.9%646 W · 599 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Basilashvili | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 300 | 53.3%160 W · 140 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae9…facabacked Basilashvili | 54c | 91.06$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.09 | 198 | 56.1%111 W · 87 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…9007backed Basilashvili | 54c | 82.13$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 265 | 48.7%129 W · 136 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Rublev | 48c | 75$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1,001 | 45.4%454 W · 547 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Rublev | 49c | 73.47$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1,639 | 55.1%903 W · 736 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Basilashvili | 47c | 63.68$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.68 | 940 | 58.4%549 W · 391 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b04…f467backed Rublev | 49c | 60.16$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.48 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Basilashvili | 51c | 59$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.91 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e67…a39bbacked Basilashvili | 51c | 56.86$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe28a…9317backed Basilashvili | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ec…1cc8backed Basilashvili | 52c | 52.18$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.18 | 323 | 33.4%108 W · 215 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe321…b456backed Rublev | 50c | 52$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf5…e7c3backed Rublev | 51c | 50.22$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.42 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5761…b74cbacked Rublev | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Rublev | 46c | 48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Basilashvili | 52c | 46.31$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.31 | 1,428 | 48.2%689 W · 739 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…c2d0backed Basilashvili | 48c | 41.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.66 | 124 | 62.1%77 W · 47 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c6a…cbfbbacked Rublev | 48c | 40.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Rublev | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 118 | 52.5%62 W · 56 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x084d…7e47backed Basilashvili | 78c | 38.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.54 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | -9.5wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -14%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a1…5a4fbacked Basilashvili | 52c | 35.42$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.03 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x217d…737ebacked Rublev | 51c | 33.8$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.24 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdff6…0918backed Rublev | 53c | 33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.65 | 498 | 57%284 W · 214 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc15c…a6b0backed Rublev | 53c | 31.39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.79 | 287 | 58.5%168 W · 119 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Rublev | 41c | 30.37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x265e…327bbacked Basilashvili | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbffd…fab1backed Basilashvili | 52c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Basilashvili | 47c | 23.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.44 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Basilashvili | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1,240 | 41.2%511 W · 729 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x045c…5861backed Basilashvili | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.7 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Rublev (-1.5) vs Basilashvili (+1.5)this page
- Andrey Rublev vs. Nikoloz Basilashvili: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Andrey Rublev vs Nikoloz BasilashviliAndrey Rublev won
- Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Completed Match: Andrey Rublev vs Nikoloz BasilashviliYes won
- Rublev vs. Basilashvili: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Rublev vs. Basilashvili: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Rublev vs BasilashviliBasilashvili won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.