Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Rublev vs Basilashvili
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab20a243e101cf6d4f91ac15f1c79535edf560b9996cca41d005e8e8222bb469
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Basilashviliof Rublev, Basilashvili
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,229
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,861
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,229 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f75…af7ebacked Rublev | 74c | 6,716$4,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,950 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Basilashvili | 26c | 5,242$1,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,879.28 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…079ebacked Rublev | 19c | 2,612$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 416 | 45.4%189 W · 227 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Basilashvili | 46c | 1,156$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.08 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Basilashvili | 80c | 615.08$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.26 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked Basilashvili | 52c | 543.64$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.95 | 174 | 42.5%74 W · 100 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Rublev | 69c | 496.76$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.77 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Rublev | 50c | 477.02$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.99 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc908…2f61backed Rublev | 68c | 443.96$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -5.2wins | -0.13per pick | 61cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Basilashvili | 28c | 397.27$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.04 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1646…2f81backed Rublev | 13c | 343.08$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.93 | 317 | 49.5%157 W · 160 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc09a…f936backed Basilashvili | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.03 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +56%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Basilashvili | 74c | 202$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.91 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Basilashvili | 31c | 160.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.38 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Basilashvili | 31c | 150$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.5 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d3…acf8backed Basilashvili | 36c | 134.17$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.17 | 120 | 30%36 W · 84 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Rublev | 51c | 133.06$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.86 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f9…eb15backed Basilashvili | 42c | 118.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.01 | 157 | 51.6%81 W · 76 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Basilashvili | 69c | 116.47$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.56 | 653 | 46.4%303 W · 350 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e39…fe16backed Basilashvili | 33c | 109.09$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.09 | 710 | 21.3%151 W · 559 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Rublev | 34c | 105.88$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 303 | 39.9%121 W · 182 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf117…cf8dbacked Basilashvili | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Basilashvili | 30c | 101.4$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.99 | 1,510 | 37.7%569 W · 941 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Basilashvili | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 1,865 | 45.6%851 W · 1,014 L | +50.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed Basilashvili | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.05 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb4…9cb8backed Basilashvili | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x23ee…5345backed Basilashvili | 31c | 99.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.99 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +6.4wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…b497backed Rublev | 67c | 90$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.3 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -5.8wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Rublev | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 864 | 70%605 W · 259 L | +43.2wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…c407backed Basilashvili | 33c | 72.48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.56 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -5.2wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Basilashvili | 32c | 68.53$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.6 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Basilashvili | 78c | 58.59$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.99 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e25…db26backed Rublev | 65c | 56$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.32 | 825 | 60.5%499 W · 326 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…4403backed Basilashvili | 49c | 41.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Rublev | 48c | 40.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Rublev | 48c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Rublev | 48c | 24.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Rublev | 48c | 24.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 2,044 | 53.8%1,100 W · 944 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Rublev | 67c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 935 | 57.3%536 W · 399 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Rublev vs Basilashvilithis page
- Andrey Rublev vs. Nikoloz Basilashvili: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Andrey Rublev vs Nikoloz BasilashviliAndrey Rublev won
- Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Completed Match: Andrey Rublev vs Nikoloz BasilashviliYes won
- Rublev vs. Basilashvili: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Rublev vs. Basilashvili: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Set Handicap: Rublev (-1.5) vs Basilashvili (+1.5)Basilashvili won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.