TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5761…b74c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
49
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: MLB, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 56 out of 100; worst Tennis at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT2070%14 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Detroit Tigers vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Miami Marlins vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$15.19
Miami Marlins vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$4.28
New York Yankees vs. New York Metsbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-4.5)backed Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$7.21
San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+59.4%+$15.09
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+82.6%+$16.52
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Detroit Tigers vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$13.45
Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+64.3%+$24.24
Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$9.17
Athletics vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.49
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$17.61
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$26.21
New York Mets vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 10.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+35.6%+$5.25
Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)backed Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.58
Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.74
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.76
NRFI: Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$12.25
NRFI: Minnesota Twins vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$10.56
All 20 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT1850%9 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Set Handicap: Borges (-1.5) vs Atmane (+1.5)backed Atmane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Dino Prizmicbacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+98.5%+$15.76
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs. Thiago Agustin Tirante: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Over 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$6.57
Set Handicap: Rublev (-1.5) vs Basilashvili (+1.5)backed Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Karen Khachanov vs Dino Prizmicbacked Dino Prizmic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Set Handicap: Pegula (-1.5) vs Potapova (+1.5)backed Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$17.11
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Mariano Navone vs Hamad Medjedovicbacked Mariano Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Set 1 Winner: Tiafoe vs Pellegrinobacked Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Andrey Rublev vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$8.31
Set Handicap: Paul (-1.5) vs Darderi (+1.5)backed Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$12.36
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Hamad Medjedovic vs Joao Fonsecabacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Set 1 Winner: Medjedovic vs Fonsecabacked Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$10.14
Set Handicap: Rublev (-1.5) vs Kecmanovic (+1.5)backed Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$15.27
Madrid Open, Qualification: Dusan Lajovic vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.43
Madrid Open, Qualification: Quentin Halys vs Jaime Fariabacked Quentin Halys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.01
Barcelona Open: Rafael Jodar vs Arthur Filsbacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$9.37
Barcelona Open: Tomas Etcheverry vs Jack Draperbacked Jack Draper · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
Credit One Charleston Open: Ashlyn Krueger vs Caty McNallybacked Ashlyn Krueger · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+45.8%+$8.6
All 18 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$17.33
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.4
Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+42.3%+$16.76
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$22.05
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.54
All 5 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+38.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6.31
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Gilbert Burns vs. Mike Malott (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Gilbert Burns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.37
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-05-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.