MLB · resolved market

New York Yankees vs. New York Mets

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8daeebd9b8136dcd7718af674ed6a10b6ff0288fc77df2cc9b3f8c04ffa691ba

Rebuilt 5 hours ago.

Winning outcome: New York Metsof New York Yankees, New York Mets
Resolved: May 17, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,284,357
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,328,709

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,284,357 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 382 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xd959…daf7backed New York Yankees	63c	352,924$223,166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$223,165.58	41	51.2%21 W · 20 L	-3.8wins	-0.09per pick	60cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed New York Mets	52c	233,683$121,460 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112,222.84	239	48.5%116 W · 123 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bff…fc26backed New York Yankees	48c	200,000$96,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96,000	436	47%205 W · 231 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed New York Mets	39c	144,175$55,639 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88,535.51	10,846	51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L	+137.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed New York Mets	44c	112,968$50,125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62,842.13	2,293	48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L	-24.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked New York Yankees	47c	103,067$48,441 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48,441.41	411	49.1%202 W · 209 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed New York Mets	40c	99,964$39,985 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59,978.21	856	45.3%388 W · 468 L	+18.7wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+36.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a88…41ccbacked New York Yankees	47c	83,332$39,166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39,165.99	381	48.6%185 W · 196 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5234…4c4fbacked New York Mets	53c	56,912$30,234 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26,677.25	48	47.9%23 W · 25 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked New York Mets	53c	50,000$26,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23,500	1,385	49.5%685 W · 700 L	-4.9wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed New York Yankees	48c	40,000$19,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19,200	981	49.9%490 W · 491 L	-17.6wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ef0…df4abacked New York Mets	53c	25,023$13,262 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,760.87	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.47per pick	53cpaid	+88.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26f8…3452backed New York Yankees	21c	22,573$4,740 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,740.22	115	48.7%56 W · 59 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25e3…ab76backed New York Yankees	0c	19,428$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.79	27	18.5%5 W · 22 L	-1.9wins	-0.07per pick	25cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed New York Mets	52c	19,147$10,047 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,099.71	550	52.4%288 W · 262 L	+5.4wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed New York Yankees	0c	18,000$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	979	44.4%435 W · 544 L	-22.8wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-18%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed New York Mets	50c	14,599$7,314 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,284.84	1,660	50.1%832 W · 828 L	-22.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38f0…2768backed New York Mets	51c	13,179$6,726 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,452.95	149	43.6%65 W · 84 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked New York Mets	44c	10,257$4,542 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,714.62	2,969	48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L	-5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbd14…d62abacked New York Yankees	50c	10,059$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	243	44.4%108 W · 135 L	-11.1wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8fba…d08abacked New York Mets	50c	10,000$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,000	531	50.5%268 W · 263 L	+19.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x021c…232fbacked New York Mets	53c	9,600$5,088 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,512	178	53.4%95 W · 83 L	+4.7wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed New York Yankees	49c	9,184$4,536 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,536.43	3,453	51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L	+58.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9770…0ff5backed New York Mets	53c	8,900$4,717 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,183	119	52.9%63 W · 56 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked New York Yankees	54c	8,310$4,465 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,465.24	11,357	52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L	+209.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed New York Yankees	47c	8,184$3,847 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,846.62	604	51%308 W · 296 L	-2.3wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8cff…eeb8backed New York Yankees	1c	7,112$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.92	70	10%7 W · 63 L	-5.2wins	-0.07per pick	17cpaid	-56.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x558f…1a56backed New York Mets	35c	7,077$2,477 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,599.89	188	60.1%113 W · 75 L	+14.6wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+237.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed New York Mets	26c	6,977$1,809 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,167.52	12,247	46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L	-68.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed New York Mets	24c	6,448$1,535 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,912.86	6,116	55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L	+344.6wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed New York Mets	53c	6,000$3,150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,850	203	50.7%103 W · 100 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f08…5afbbacked New York Yankees	48c	5,820$2,794 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,793.56	143	40.6%58 W · 85 L	-6.6wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked New York Mets	20c	5,453$1,094 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,359.14	1,456	42.7%622 W · 834 L	-39.7wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed New York Mets	9c	5,001$449 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,551.11	1,522	34.7%528 W · 994 L	+27.1wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa742…68c5backed New York Yankees	43c	5,000$2,150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,149.99	95	60%57 W · 38 L	+5.0wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6db5…e279backed New York Mets	13c	4,841$645 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,196.54	141	52.5%74 W · 67 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed New York Yankees	47c	4,255$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,999.85	1,402	48.8%684 W · 718 L	-11.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed New York Yankees	47c	3,843$1,806 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,806.11	5,401	50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L	+17.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked New York Mets	53c	3,400$1,802 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,598	1,909	53.5%1,021 W · 888 L	+29.1wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28ae…9481backed New York Yankees	3c	3,200$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.99	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed New York Yankees	74c	3,156$2,324 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,324.2	4,553	49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L	-9.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked New York Yankees	59c	3,145$1,844 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,843.86	4,381	44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L	+77.8wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6dab…e5c0backed New York Yankees	2c	3,092$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.82	112	28.6%32 W · 80 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed New York Yankees	66c	3,007$1,979 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,979.17	2,021	39.5%798 W · 1,223 L	-25.7wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7585…ea79backed New York Mets	54c	3,000$1,620 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,380	45	42.2%19 W · 26 L	-4.0wins	-0.09per pick	51cpaid	-18%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed New York Yankees	50c	3,000$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	779	51.1%398 W · 381 L	+6.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ca1…ddcdbacked New York Mets	34c	3,000$1,020 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,980	90	35.6%32 W · 58 L	-3.6wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed New York Yankees	50c	3,000$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	2,104	51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L	+11.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed New York Mets	21c	2,767$584 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,182.4	3,792	45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L	-5.5wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb8c8…d8a4backed New York Yankees	49c	2,449$1,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,200	192	50%96 W · 96 L	+12.7wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+17.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9d57…18ddbacked New York Mets	56c	2,343$1,322 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,021.12	119	47.1%56 W · 63 L	-5.6wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed New York Mets	52c	2,222$1,155 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,066.56	1,352	50.8%687 W · 665 L	+13.3wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b29…9108backed New York Yankees	48c	2,083$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.4wins	-0.48per pick	48cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed New York Mets	54c	2,033$1,096 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$936.96	4,035	57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L	+72.2wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2b8…b908backed New York Yankees	47c	1,920$902 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$902.4	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6715…5085backed New York Mets	54c	1,852$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$851.85	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-1.4wins	-0.16per pick	49cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd065…93e8backed New York Yankees	45c	1,850$826 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$825.88	42	59.5%25 W · 17 L	+2.2wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+29.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed New York Mets	22c	1,680$367 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,312.9	1,510	39%589 W · 921 L	-16.5wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked New York Yankees	54c	1,525$829 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$829.32	5,234	56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L	+130.4wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3b5…a2a7backed New York Yankees	67c	1,503$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	69	42%29 W · 40 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked New York Yankees	49c	1,458$719 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$719.09	1,836	50.8%932 W · 904 L	-3.9wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed New York Yankees	42c	1,450$602 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$602.5	8,470	52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L	+510.0wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed New York Yankees	46c	1,439$658 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$657.95	95	35.8%34 W · 61 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked New York Mets	53c	1,371$727 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$644.56	1,912	53%1,014 W · 898 L	+42.5wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x92b5…fec6backed New York Mets	16c	1,295$207 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,088.58	30	53.3%16 W · 14 L	+4.9wins	+0.16per pick	37cpaid	+53%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked New York Yankees	56c	1,271$708 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$708.37	791	47.9%379 W · 412 L	+3.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed New York Mets	52c	1,200$624 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$576	619	47.7%295 W · 324 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb2c2…e9bfbacked New York Mets	52c	1,110$577 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$532.8	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	-1.8wins	-0.08per pick	54cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x066e…ceb2backed New York Yankees	46c	1,100$506 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$506	252	40.1%101 W · 151 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x96ca…5a71backed New York Yankees	49c	1,020$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$499.8	252	47.6%120 W · 132 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2eed…85a9backed New York Mets	5c	1,010$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$959.5	53	39.6%21 W · 32 L	-2.8wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	+27.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed New York Yankees	49c	1,005$492 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$492.45	737	48.4%357 W · 380 L	-7.9wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a93…c3eabacked New York Yankees	49c	1,004$492 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$492	265	45.7%121 W · 144 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7265…8712backed New York Yankees	50c	1,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	85	57.6%49 W · 36 L	+4.5wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ae5…6079backed New York Yankees	50c	1,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	93	50.5%47 W · 46 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	0%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked New York Mets	53c	1,000$530 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$470	444	51.1%227 W · 217 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed New York Mets	52c	999.85$522 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$478.05	6,899	50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L	-7.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed New York Yankees	57c	936.46$534 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$533.66	1,121	44.1%494 W · 627 L	-32.4wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed New York Mets	56c	886.68$494 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$392.19	1,379	50.6%698 W · 681 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1831…6c99backed New York Mets	77c	869$668 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$201.34	475	89.1%423 W · 52 L	+84.9wins	+0.18per pick	71cpaid	+25%equal weight	69+0.17 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed New York Mets	48c	839.8$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$439.8	1,137	42.6%484 W · 653 L	+10.0wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d91…f592backed New York Yankees	78c	833$650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$649.74	75	37.3%28 W · 47 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfff3…e2c5backed New York Mets	6c	800$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$752	77	58.4%45 W · 32 L	+5.4wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+29.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f3b…9ed5backed New York Mets	54c	778.62$424 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$354.47	64	56.3%36 W · 28 L	+4.0wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c16…66cebacked New York Mets	23c	760.1$174 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$585.81	660	56.2%371 W · 289 L	+12.6wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked New York Mets	56c	758.02$424 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$333.53	447	44.1%197 W · 250 L	-6.5wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2348…c246backed New York Mets	53c	754.72$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$354.72	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed New York Mets	35c	728.49$255 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$473.52	1,215	47.6%578 W · 637 L	-19.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed New York Mets	53c	716$379 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$336.52	1,569	51.1%801 W · 768 L	+15.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed New York Yankees	53c	707.89$376 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$375.8	4,478	48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L	-47.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed New York Yankees	60c	701.82$420 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$420	347	56.5%196 W · 151 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fc0…08a7backed New York Mets	52c	630$328 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$302.4	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.48per pick	52cpaid	+92.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked New York Mets	53c	623.75$331 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$293.16	1,515	51.1%774 W · 741 L	+7.5wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed New York Mets	53c	616.3$327 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$289.66	383	53.5%205 W · 178 L	+7.3wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3920…23e7backed New York Mets	53c	613.21$325 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$288.21	251	49.8%125 W · 126 L	-4.2wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x685d…22d6backed New York Yankees	46c	610.87$281 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$281	115	47%54 W · 61 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc313…e128backed New York Mets	31c	590.77$181 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$409.85	379	41.2%156 W · 223 L	+10.1wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa535…9e5ebacked New York Mets	53c	564.15$299 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$265.15	467	49.5%231 W · 236 L	-12.0wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed New York Yankees	44c	563.9$249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.13	8,295	47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L	+72.4wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3252…1d21backed New York Yankees	45c	560.72$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	340	45%153 W · 187 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

New York Yankees vs. New York Metsthis page
New York Yankees vs. New York Mets: O/U 10.5Over won
New York Yankees vs. New York Mets: O/U 11.5Over won
New York Yankees vs. New York Mets: O/U 5.5Over won
New York Yankees vs. New York Mets: O/U 6.5Over won
New York Yankees vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5Over won
New York Yankees vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5Over won
New York Yankees vs. New York Mets: O/U 9.5Over won
Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)New York Yankees won
Spread: New York Mets (-2.5)New York Yankees won
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)New York Mets won
Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)New York Mets won
Spread: New York Yankees (-3.5)New York Mets won
Spread: New York Yankees (-4.5)New York Mets won
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Yankees vs. New York MetsNo won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

New York Yankees vs. New York Mets

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event