TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

New York Yankees vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$398,413
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$424,257

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $398,413 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4bff…fc26backed Under49c284,837$138,241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138,241.3943647%205 W · 231 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Over52c98,281$51,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47,269.032,29348.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Over51c67,088$34,215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,872.8985645.3%388 W · 468 L+18.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+36.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Over53c25,000$13,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,7501,38549.5%685 W · 700 L-4.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5234…4c4fbacked Over52c22,500$11,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,8004847.9%23 W · 25 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Over51c18,888$9,633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,255.128464.3%54 W · 30 L+8.7wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+18.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xffe9…a70ebacked Over51c18,804$9,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,213.941241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over49c18,325$9,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,286.7111,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f08…5afbbacked Under48c7,900$3,793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,792.9914340.6%58 W · 85 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over51c7,500$3,825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,6751,29250.2%648 W · 644 L+18.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Over52c5,300$2,756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,544.2117248.8%84 W · 88 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa974…ef79backed Under48c5,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,399.9822047.7%105 W · 115 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Under47c4,143$1,947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,947.363,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed Under48c4,000$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,92055052.4%288 W · 262 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over51c2,605$1,328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,276.391,57248.3%759 W · 813 L-6.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over52c2,553$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,232.546,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Under48c2,373$1,139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,139.1549158.9%289 W · 202 L+30.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x762e…4bf0backed Under62c2,134$1,323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,323.1224551.8%127 W · 118 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under49c1,973$971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$970.95,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Over51c1,846$933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$913.291,10648.7%539 W · 567 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cae…a00abacked Over51c1,782$909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$873.12860.7%17 W · 11 L+2.7wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+19.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Under54c1,633$882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881.8268053.2%362 W · 318 L+2.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over45c1,452$652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$800.596,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa2c6…d14dbacked Over52c1,316$684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631.688441.7%35 W · 49 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-16.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Over49c1,245$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$635.4886653%459 W · 407 L+16.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001,83650.8%932 W · 904 L-3.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Over51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49044451.1%227 W · 217 L+1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97fd…3313backed Over51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4902142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over51c980$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.21,52148.6%739 W · 782 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over52c893.63$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.664,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over50c879.4$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.71,21547.6%578 W · 637 L-19.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Over52c868.55$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.011,06249.2%523 W · 539 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over51c857.55$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.911,76951.6%912 W · 857 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Over52c816$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.6892054%497 W · 423 L+23.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Under49c777.8$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.1220848.1%100 W · 108 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked Over45c715.64$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.644744.1%197 W · 250 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f3b…9ed5backed Over46c689.28$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.216456.3%36 W · 28 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Over47c638.29$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.292,24357.6%1,293 W · 950 L+37.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Under53c626.29$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.851,52234.7%528 W · 994 L+27.1wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7851…d471backed Over53c600$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28216644.6%74 W · 92 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x45d5…a7a0backed Under52c597.18$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.8782741.1%340 W · 487 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Over52c534.12$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.381,20558.8%708 W · 497 L+31.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Over52c522.64$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.8738353.5%205 W · 178 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed Under49c517.32$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.2422849.6%113 W · 115 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cd3…5896backed Over52c480$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.417446%80 W · 94 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Over52c472$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.562,36947.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L-11.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd9ea…b781backed Over52c403$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.4456851.4%292 W · 276 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Over52c401.1$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.8525249.6%125 W · 127 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf05d…ac5ebacked Over52c399.99$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.997048.6%34 W · 36 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over52c395.98$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.832,40748.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L-62.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c57…40febacked Over52c372.12$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.6221550.2%108 W · 107 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb0b…62cdbacked Under48c333.33$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16079543%342 W · 453 L-3.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under48c316.78$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.061,91253%1,014 W · 898 L+42.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed Under48c313.68$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.5728154.4%153 W · 128 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x79fb…b4aebacked Over52c300$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14411550.4%58 W · 57 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under48c275.99$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.481,28449.5%635 W · 649 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Over52c261.51$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.596346%29 W · 34 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbc5f…cf7cbacked Under50c251.54$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.774755.3%26 W · 21 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x18b6…babfbacked Over60c250$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10031449.4%155 W · 159 L-9.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over50c246.61$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.712,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacbe…85d4backed Under51c220$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.222849.1%112 W · 116 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over42c208$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1218,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Under49c199.98$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.9937357.4%214 W · 159 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over52c188$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.241,70849.9%852 W · 856 L-17.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Over45c178$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.91,63055.2%899 W · 731 L+2.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a7…e5d4backed Over54c154.16$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.4332857.9%190 W · 138 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under27c152.27$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.492,54545.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L-73.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Over31c141$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.635,12754.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L+232.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xea10…a070backed Over51c121.47$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.5230048%144 W · 156 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd155…8250backed Over52c99.6$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.8150954%275 W · 234 L+15.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf58…2bf4backed Over53c96.16$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.240148.1%193 W · 208 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc37e…9e64backed Over52c93.45$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.729553.2%157 W · 138 L+7.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c16…66cebacked Over49c91$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.8366056.2%371 W · 289 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over46c85.88$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.782,99550.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L-36.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under64c80$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.21,72350.3%867 W · 856 L+55.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf6a1…5a4fbacked Over53c72.19$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.934252.4%22 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under47c71.06$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.149,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb21…3138backed Over52c67$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.166947.8%33 W · 36 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x83ce…835cbacked Over51c63.99$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.4250748.7%247 W · 260 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under52c63.14$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.898,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Over46c62$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.396,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Over53c61.86$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.981,13357.2%648 W · 485 L+35.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7bbb…4a56backed Over49c61.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.225846.6%27 W · 31 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x55e7…4fb9backed Under49c61$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8917645.5%80 W · 96 L+0.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe743…ce0fbacked Over53c56.95$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.966940.6%28 W · 41 L-5.3wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-15%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2bcf…c678backed Over45c53.31$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.3224654.9%135 W · 111 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87e3…4f16backed Under76c52.63$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401010%1 W · 9 L-3.6wins-0.36per pick46cpaid-71.4%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xd5f5…bb11backed Over51c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.555953.1%297 W · 262 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Over45c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.51,11945.5%509 W · 610 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x96c1…2c59backed Under47c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.51,49845.3%678 W · 820 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bf7…6f57backed Over52c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2411250%56 W · 56 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6419…0f53backed Under49c49.99$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.438755.2%48 W · 39 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Under47c49$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.0378155.6%434 W · 347 L+28.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x70fc…ab12backed Over49c49$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.991,36754.3%742 W · 625 L+16.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under25c47.03$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9867742.2%286 W · 391 L-36.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-18%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd4ba…5038backed Over60c41.67$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.672744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3afb…0004backed Over45c41.63$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.7310650%53 W · 53 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x55d6…1f24backed Under54c40.81$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0431258%181 W · 131 L+15.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0739…aba8backed Over54c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.435545.5%25 W · 30 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8890…cefbbacked Over49c39.99$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.5950962.9%320 W · 189 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.