MLB · resolved market
New York Yankees vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xddbebaf5db594201e7b942b96020d55db91f33ffb7948f1ed49430de5140a641
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $398,413
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $424,257
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $398,413 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Under | 49c | 284,837$138,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138,241.39 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 52c | 98,281$51,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,269.03 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Over | 51c | 67,088$34,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,872.89 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Over | 53c | 25,000$13,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,750 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5234…4c4fbacked Over | 52c | 22,500$11,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,800 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Over | 51c | 18,888$9,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,255.12 | 84 | 64.3%54 W · 30 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xffe9…a70ebacked Over | 51c | 18,804$9,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,213.94 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 49c | 18,325$9,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,286.71 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f08…5afbbacked Under | 48c | 7,900$3,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,792.99 | 143 | 40.6%58 W · 85 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 51c | 7,500$3,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,675 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Over | 52c | 5,300$2,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,544.21 | 172 | 48.8%84 W · 88 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa974…ef79backed Under | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.98 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 47c | 4,143$1,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,947.36 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Under | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 51c | 2,605$1,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,276.39 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 52c | 2,553$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,232.54 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Under | 48c | 2,373$1,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.15 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Under | 62c | 2,134$1,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,323.12 | 245 | 51.8%127 W · 118 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 49c | 1,973$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.9 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 51c | 1,846$933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913.29 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cae…a00abacked Over | 51c | 1,782$909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873.1 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 54c | 1,633$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881.82 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 45c | 1,452$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.59 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c6…d14dbacked Over | 52c | 1,316$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.68 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Over | 49c | 1,245$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.48 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Over | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97fd…3313backed Over | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 51c | 980$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.2 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 52c | 893.63$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.66 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 50c | 879.4$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.7 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Over | 52c | 868.55$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.01 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 51c | 857.55$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.91 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 52c | 816$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.68 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Under | 49c | 777.8$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.12 | 208 | 48.1%100 W · 108 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Over | 45c | 715.64$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.6 | 447 | 44.1%197 W · 250 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3b…9ed5backed Over | 46c | 689.28$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.21 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 47c | 638.29$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.29 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Under | 53c | 626.29$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.85 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7851…d471backed Over | 53c | 600$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Under | 52c | 597.18$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.87 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Over | 52c | 534.12$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.38 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Over | 52c | 522.64$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.87 | 383 | 53.5%205 W · 178 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Under | 49c | 517.32$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.24 | 228 | 49.6%113 W · 115 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd3…5896backed Over | 52c | 480$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.4 | 174 | 46%80 W · 94 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Over | 52c | 472$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.56 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Over | 52c | 403$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.44 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Over | 52c | 401.1$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.85 | 252 | 49.6%125 W · 127 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked Over | 52c | 399.99$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.99 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 52c | 395.98$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.83 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c57…40febacked Over | 52c | 372.12$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.62 | 215 | 50.2%108 W · 107 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…62cdbacked Under | 48c | 333.33$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 795 | 43%342 W · 453 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 48c | 316.78$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.06 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Under | 48c | 313.68$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.57 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79fb…b4aebacked Over | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 115 | 50.4%58 W · 57 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 48c | 275.99$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.48 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Over | 52c | 261.51$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.59 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5f…cf7cbacked Under | 50c | 251.54$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.77 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…babfbacked Over | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 314 | 49.4%155 W · 159 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 50c | 246.61$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.7 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…85d4backed Under | 51c | 220$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.2 | 228 | 49.1%112 W · 116 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 42c | 208$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Under | 49c | 199.98$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.99 | 373 | 57.4%214 W · 159 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 52c | 188$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.24 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 45c | 178$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.9 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a7…e5d4backed Over | 54c | 154.16$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.43 | 328 | 57.9%190 W · 138 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 27c | 152.27$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.49 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 31c | 141$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.63 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Over | 51c | 121.47$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.52 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…8250backed Over | 52c | 99.6$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.81 | 509 | 54%275 W · 234 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf58…2bf4backed Over | 53c | 96.16$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.2 | 401 | 48.1%193 W · 208 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc37e…9e64backed Over | 52c | 93.45$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.7 | 295 | 53.2%157 W · 138 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked Over | 49c | 91$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.83 | 660 | 56.2%371 W · 289 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 46c | 85.88$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.78 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 64c | 80$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a1…5a4fbacked Over | 53c | 72.19$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.93 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 47c | 71.06$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.14 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb21…3138backed Over | 52c | 67$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.16 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Over | 51c | 63.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.42 | 507 | 48.7%247 W · 260 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 52c | 63.14$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.89 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 46c | 62$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.39 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Over | 53c | 61.86$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.98 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbb…4a56backed Over | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Under | 49c | 61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.89 | 176 | 45.5%80 W · 96 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe743…ce0fbacked Over | 53c | 56.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.96 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcf…c678backed Over | 45c | 53.31$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.32 | 246 | 54.9%135 W · 111 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87e3…4f16backed Under | 76c | 52.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.6wins | -0.36per pick | 46cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Over | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Under | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…6f57backed Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6419…0f53backed Under | 49c | 49.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.43 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 47c | 49$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.03 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +28.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Over | 49c | 49$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.99 | 1,367 | 54.3%742 W · 625 L | +16.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 25c | 47.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 677 | 42.2%286 W · 391 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ba…5038backed Over | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3afb…0004backed Over | 45c | 41.63$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.73 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55d6…1f24backed Under | 54c | 40.81$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.04 | 312 | 58%181 W · 131 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…aba8backed Over | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.43 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8890…cefbbacked Over | 49c | 39.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.59 | 509 | 62.9%320 W · 189 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Yankees vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5this page
- New York Yankees vs. New York MetsNew York Mets won
- New York Yankees vs. New York Mets: O/U 10.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. New York Mets: O/U 11.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. New York Mets: O/U 5.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. New York Mets: O/U 6.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. New York Mets: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Mets (-2.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-3.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-4.5)New York Mets won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Yankees vs. New York MetsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.