MLB · resolved market

New York Yankees vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x36395f64b97f423824218d5637420aa97d3f354cf53c46e22e4e30715cb51003

Rebuilt 1 hour ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: May 17, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $21,731
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $21,211

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,731 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4bff…fc26backed Under	40c	11,751$4,683 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,682.76	444	46.8%208 W · 236 L	-3.9wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over	59c	11,018$6,547 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,470.51	11,519	52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L	+213.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f08…5afbbacked Under	41c	3,513$1,440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,440.02	143	40.6%58 W · 85 L	-6.6wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over	60c	1,696$1,018 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$678.07	4,553	49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L	-9.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x641f…049abacked Under	41c	1,012$415 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$415	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.43per pick	43cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeaaf…20c0backed Over	56c	888.39$497 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$390.89	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	61cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under	53c	553.29$293 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$293.24	1,728	50.4%871 W · 857 L	+57.0wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over	60c	481.68$289 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$192.67	9,819	46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L	+39.8wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Under	37c	454.64$168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168.22	1,522	34.7%528 W · 994 L	+27.1wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over	53c	429.38$225 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$203.89	8,594	52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L	+508.9wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over	60c	400$240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$160	6,999	50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under	43c	357.4$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.59	2,407	48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L	-62.3wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Over	38c	216.69$83 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$133.57	5,149	54.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L	+231.2wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under	40c	175$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	5,471	50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L	+21.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6717…d6ebbacked Over	60c	166.67$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.67	372	56.5%210 W · 162 L	+1.8wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	64c	163.09$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.65	12,328	46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L	-66.0wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x085b…ab9fbacked Over	45c	110.4$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.72	339	34.5%117 W · 222 L	-9.3wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4193…4853backed Over	60c	100$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40	846	51.5%436 W · 410 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x45d5…a7a0backed Under	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.33	827	41.1%340 W · 487 L	-21.3wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2573…2726backed Over	60c	83.33$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.33	230	51.7%119 W · 111 L	-8.9wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa11f…1252backed Over	50c	68.3$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.15	186	51.1%95 W · 91 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x61d3…189abacked Over	50c	68.3$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.15	238	54.2%129 W · 109 L	+11.4wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf5e…95e3backed Over	50c	68.3$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.15	267	52.8%141 W · 126 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31c5…270abacked Over	50c	68.3$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.15	25	28%7 W · 18 L	-3.4wins	-0.13per pick	41cpaid	-49.4%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7baa…03b7backed Over	50c	68.3$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.15	198	55.1%109 W · 89 L	+6.0wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3216…0cc7backed Under	44c	50$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	21	28.6%6 W · 15 L	-2.4wins	-0.11per pick	40cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Under	54c	46.4$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.16	419	36.5%153 W · 266 L	-31.1wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under	53c	45$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.85	3,219	51.2%1,649 W · 1,570 L	+148.2wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Over	47c	38.3$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.3	2,243	57.6%1,293 W · 950 L	+37.1wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Over	50c	34.93$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.53	6,305	48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L	+181.6wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Under	42c	34.03$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.29	208	48.1%100 W · 108 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x98af…b216backed Under	31c	32.55$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.17	93	15.1%14 W · 79 L	-9.5wins	-0.10per pick	25cpaid	-37.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3563…a0a2backed Over	65c	30.67$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.8	2,223	55.4%1,231 W · 992 L	+73.9wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under	44c	30$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.2	2,947	51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L	-34.0wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over	47c	29$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.37	4,087	57.6%2,354 W · 1,733 L	+66.3wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under	47c	27.11$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.74	2,293	48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L	-24.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70fc…ab12backed Over	61c	26.67$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.4	1,374	54.2%745 W · 629 L	+16.1wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2bcf…c678backed Under	39c	26.67$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.4	246	54.9%135 W · 111 L	+3.2wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Over	76c	26.32$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.32	465	57.2%266 W · 199 L	+11.3wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b5f…2f5ebacked Under	53c	25.45$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.58	268	54.1%145 W · 123 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05b7…c24abacked Over	54c	22.03$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.02	280	43.2%121 W · 159 L	-23.2wins	-0.08per pick	52cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Under	46c	22.03$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.13	5,234	56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L	+130.4wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x28a3…8620backed Over	60c	20.83$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.33	321	53.9%173 W · 148 L	-10.6wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over	50c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	3,460	51.2%1,773 W · 1,687 L	+107.5wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Over	58c	17.43$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.32	399	48.1%192 W · 207 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

New York Yankees vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5this page
New York Yankees vs. New York MetsNew York Mets won
New York Yankees vs. New York Mets: O/U 10.5Over won
New York Yankees vs. New York Mets: O/U 11.5Over won
New York Yankees vs. New York Mets: O/U 5.5Over won
New York Yankees vs. New York Mets: O/U 6.5Over won
New York Yankees vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5Over won
New York Yankees vs. New York Mets: O/U 9.5Over won
Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)New York Yankees won
Spread: New York Mets (-2.5)New York Yankees won
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)New York Mets won
Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)New York Mets won
Spread: New York Yankees (-3.5)New York Mets won
Spread: New York Yankees (-4.5)New York Mets won
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Yankees vs. New York MetsNo won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

New York Yankees vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event