Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-05-12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb39d6f3605a43df153ffe65139cb87f4f01d30fa8d1a1e99aa098834f1978c56
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $194,862
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $206,584
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $194,862 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 354 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x966c…9b1abacked No | 57c | 17,543$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,543.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed No | 43c | 16,669$7,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,566.83 | 168 | 58.3%98 W · 70 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 43c | 16,102$6,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,910.33 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f8…d85abacked Yes | 44c | 11,021$4,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,844.59 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 57c | 7,581$4,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,226.14 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 13c | 7,326$933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,393.24 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed No | 21c | 6,417$1,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,055.19 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | +9.9wins | +0.15per pick | 29cpaid | +82%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Yes | 43c | 6,000$2,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,580 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 40c | 5,329$2,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,223.89 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked No | 38c | 5,286$2,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,276.69 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 45c | 4,541$2,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,491.77 | 828 | 42.4%351 W · 477 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 56c | 4,400$2,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,931.02 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…5068backed Yes | 66c | 3,800$2,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,497.73 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 45c | 3,596$1,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,985.1 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 56c | 3,500$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,540.05 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa38e…8917backed Yes | 74c | 3,106$2,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,298.78 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | +8.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Yes | 74c | 3,097$2,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,298.78 | 207 | 69.6%144 W · 63 L | +31.9wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Yes | 74c | 3,089$2,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,298.78 | 215 | 74.4%160 W · 55 L | +45.1wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Yes | 79c | 2,808$2,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,231.24 | 157 | 72%113 W · 44 L | +33.9wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed Yes | 72c | 2,766$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.4 | 96 | 72.9%70 W · 26 L | +19.3wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +145.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 57c | 2,741$1,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180.45 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 57c | 2,572$1,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,108.21 | 399 | 54.6%218 W · 181 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…d4c6backed Yes | 44c | 2,571$1,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,131.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ff…e35fbacked Yes | 42c | 2,381$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 57c | 2,154$1,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925.52 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c2e…f1c7backed Yes | 44c | 2,135$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…abe1backed Yes | 71c | 2,112$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.31 | 78 | 66.7%52 W · 26 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed No | 20c | 2,026$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,621.08 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +5.3wins | +0.19per pick | 20cpaid | +356.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes | 70c | 2,016$1,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,402.61 | 199 | 65.3%130 W · 69 L | +27.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 68c | 2,013$1,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,376 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 57c | 1,772$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.03 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Yes | 54c | 1,554$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.34 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 38c | 1,552$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968.53 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 18c | 1,438$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.63 | 270 | 37%100 W · 170 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 42c | 1,260$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.81 | 218 | 54.1%118 W · 100 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 43c | 1,113$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 57c | 1,095$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.62 | 405 | 50.6%205 W · 200 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 19c | 1,091$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.21 | 201 | 32.3%65 W · 136 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked No | 35c | 1,020$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.92 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d29…8264backed No | 59c | 1,017$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe40b…22eabacked Yes | 41c | 1,010$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…7980backed Yes | 43c | 1,004$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.62 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x14c2…7d55backed No | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | +7.1wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e11…510bbacked Yes | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd217…b3f3backed No | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 57c | 953.14$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.02 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…5856backed Yes | 71c | 953.09$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.25 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Yes | 63c | 901.01$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.38 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 57c | 900.46$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.33 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 70c | 883.36$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.53 | 396 | 55.8%221 W · 175 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 54c | 873.56$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.53 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf40a…ea0abacked No | 40c | 789.68$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.54 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Yes | 42c | 767.82$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.9 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x319f…500bbacked Yes | 71c | 742.82$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.61 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 58cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 42c | 717.12$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes | 42c | 689.98$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.79 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 64c | 638.03$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.08 | 276 | 39.1%108 W · 168 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 58c | 619.46$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.83 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Yes | 77c | 572.32$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.52 | 167 | 59.9%100 W · 67 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed No | 56c | 529.25$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.51 | 110 | 53.6%59 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed No | 56c | 518.36$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.03 | 117 | 64.1%75 W · 42 L | +11.7wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5012…4d3ebacked Yes | 78c | 510.53$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.21 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75f5…6070backed Yes | 41c | 499.98$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6480…8dc5backed No | 56c | 499.95$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 59c | 490.17$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.27 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 72c | 485$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.38 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90e4…58eabacked No | 64c | 484.09$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.11 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -37%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 31c | 475.35$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.04 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Yes | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d0…0736backed Yes | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x604d…4608backed Yes | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf3…8f91backed Yes | 43c | 441.86$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f67…a1d7backed Yes | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 40cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…08afbacked Yes | 47c | 412.09$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.68 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac45…844fbacked Yes | 73c | 411.37$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed No | 56c | 396$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.92 | 214 | 49.1%105 W · 109 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 32c | 382.98$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.29 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a94…a3bebacked Yes | 70c | 381.06$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d64…6b35backed Yes | 42c | 357.14$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dd…345cbacked No | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ae…320fbacked Yes | 44c | 350$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29be…7675backed No | 58c | 350$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.5 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked No | 48c | 333.42$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.66 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 58c | 320.99$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.92 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef5…e25cbacked Yes | 42c | 309.52$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f0f…e25fbacked Yes | 66c | 304.55$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -5.4wins | -0.21per pick | 32cpaid | -70.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…6952backed Yes | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 76c | 300$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 487 | 68%331 W · 156 L | +69.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xde6e…0169backed No | 59c | 300$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 10c | 295$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.7 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 25c | 287.08$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.48 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf629…38d5backed No | 55c | 281$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 48c | 280.76$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.92 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba5…4138backed Yes | 43c | 275$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.25 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -41%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked No | 56c | 268.02$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.29 | 126 | 60.3%76 W · 50 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88cf…5c16backed Yes | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…acc4backed No | 56c | 255.02$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.21 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +105.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf887…db68backed Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dec…3302backed Yes | 42c | 246.21$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.41 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdee3…6fe5backed Yes | 43c | 245.5$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.57 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-05-12?this page
- Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-05-12?No won
- Will Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.