TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Will Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$65,809
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$77,872

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,809 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed No75c20,134$15,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,033.342,52039.8%1,002 W · 1,518 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1e4…4f8abacked Yes27c9,339$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,839.013321.2%7 W · 26 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-31%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Yes26c7,939$2,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,889.59055.6%50 W · 40 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes25c2,386$597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,788.861,74950.7%887 W · 862 L+30.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No75c1,793$1,341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,341.265,96346%2,744 W · 3,219 L+46.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes26c1,338$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$986.561,66236.2%602 W · 1,060 L-34.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked No75c1,257$947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$947.3218851.6%97 W · 91 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-18.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8eea…22cbbacked Yes25c1,095$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$819.21241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No74c1,091$811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$810.581,11649.5%552 W · 564 L+1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No68c1,057$723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$722.9793535.2%329 W · 606 L-21.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-33%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No73c1,016$742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$741.681,25451.4%644 W · 610 L+9.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3bbb…48f2backed Yes26c846.15$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$626.151850%9 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+21.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed No53c839.1$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.9220132.3%65 W · 136 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-40.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed No41c608.15$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.7728247.9%135 W · 147 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbca…ca8dbacked Yes26c576.92$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.921729.4%5 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes25c531.45$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.81,76650.2%887 W · 879 L+31.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29a6…6ea4backed Yes27c469.08$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+275.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes25c457.4$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.051,23549.9%616 W · 619 L+9.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80c7…d9c5backed No74c420.93$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.491758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9453…6952backed Yes24c416.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.67250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+108.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Yes24c412.54$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.868229.3%24 W · 58 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-32.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No74c408.98$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.3889955.1%495 W · 404 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No76c403.6$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.7748867.8%331 W · 157 L+68.5wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+36.8%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xe81e…3640backed Yes26c384.62$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.622050%10 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3ba…e793backed Yes77c367.63$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.616858.3%98 W · 70 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No74c354.97$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.4639954.6%218 W · 181 L+16.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2cd0…78febacked Yes26c346.15$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+284.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x804d…078cbacked No75c307.48$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.61771.4%5 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick75cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No76c300.94$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.941,08041.7%450 W · 630 L-15.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5dd…345cbacked Yes21c296.38$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.183935.9%14 W · 25 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-29.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1378…681bbacked Yes27c277.78$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.78944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes24c261.86$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.1684342.2%356 W · 487 L+19.8wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7a7…55bebacked Yes27c259.26$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.263151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x319f…500bbacked Yes25c250$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.5683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick58cpaid+74.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8006…94dcbacked Yes23c217.71$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.711428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes25c217.08$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.8147155.8%263 W · 208 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x40db…7980backed No76c212.78$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.7170%0 W · 7 L-3.0wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4fbe…f9e5backed Yes24c208.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.335143.1%22 W · 29 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+16.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes23c200$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15429745.1%134 W · 163 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Yes23c200$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.6117340.5%70 W · 103 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4f21…33f5backed Yes23c200$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick26cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Yes22c196.77$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.3121449.1%105 W · 109 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d61…2641backed Yes26c192.31$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.31966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+55.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x256b…97bbbacked Yes26c192.31$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.31714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick32cpaid-45.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd52c…6c59backed Yes26c192.31$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.315028%14 W · 36 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No80c184.02$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.7314942.3%63 W · 86 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0180…b8cdbacked Yes27c178.46$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.464143.9%18 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed No75c176.39$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.2827639.1%108 W · 168 L-14.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes28c175.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.7513463.4%85 W · 49 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62ff…6b66backed Yes26c153.85$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.851816.7%3 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick28cpaid-58.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No73c136.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008046.3%37 W · 43 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a6e…9bc5backed No75c135.59$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.696259.7%37 W · 25 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4d0…0736backed Yes19c125$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.95714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No73c122.55$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.3973850.3%371 W · 367 L-2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fbc…bdfbbacked Yes25c121.4$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.4425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed No74c119.99$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.7917151.5%88 W · 83 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes26c117.97$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.891,52254.9%835 W · 687 L+5.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a37…4daebacked Yes27c111.11$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.113151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes25c107$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.251,99154.1%1,078 W · 913 L+29.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x14e3…810cbacked Yes22c106.18$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.935246.2%24 W · 28 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48e2…6d30backed Yes25c104$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$783234.4%11 W · 21 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick30cpaid-13.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce72…cbefbacked Yes29c101.19$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.54666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+22.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d5…ebcfbacked Yes26c100.38$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+286.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes26c100$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7434150.7%173 W · 168 L+18.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e0f…c18cbacked Yes22c100$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7689…dd2bbacked Yes26c92.31$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.311266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+17.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No80c88$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.41,03541.6%431 W · 604 L-33.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf463…476ebacked Yes26c86.5$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.011764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Yes25c86.42$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.8140750.6%206 W · 201 L-0.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8328…feb3backed Yes24c82.56$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.56366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.42per pick25cpaid+114.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd5d6…8267backed Yes25c80$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae45…96b9backed Yes26c78.84$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.342556%14 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+35.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No80c78.46$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.7136142.4%153 W · 208 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked No74c74.99$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.1218647.3%88 W · 98 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc892…aa90backed Yes23c72.63$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.77per pick23cpaid+327.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b56…92d3backed Yes25c72.4$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+302.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked No72c71.88$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.4823052.6%121 W · 109 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf316…1e44backed Yes27c66.84$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.84922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick33cpaid-0.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes25c61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.6146422.6%105 W · 359 L-22.6wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Yes26c60$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.754354.9%298 W · 245 L-12.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x836f…e56cbacked Yes21c60$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.41050%5 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fab…9db1backed Yes25c59.63$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.636435.9%23 W · 41 L+7.1wins+0.11per pick25cpaid+38.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked No77c58.53$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.0716759.9%100 W · 67 L+8.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd840…1ec6backed Yes26c58$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.921752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+35.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ee5…bc7bbacked Yes26c57.69$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.69540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8724…b082backed Yes27c55.38$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.373161.3%19 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b0b…12ffbacked Yes26c54.46$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.33735.1%13 W · 24 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick30cpaid-6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03dc…64fdbacked Yes26c50$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid+28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d27…c38cbacked No73c49.99$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.511650%58 W · 58 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Yes31c49.09$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.8932457.1%185 W · 139 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Yes63c48.33$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7259342.5%252 W · 341 L-28.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdf22…b512backed Yes24c47.95$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.76per pick24cpaid+318.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed No47c47$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1515240.1%61 W · 91 L-9.1wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-24.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xce37…5bcdbacked Yes25c40.4$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+304%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d59…6591backed Yes25c40.4$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+304%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d85…5c50backed Yes25c40$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307639.5%30 W · 46 L+8.3wins+0.11per pick29cpaid+38.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked No75c36.99$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.7516252.5%85 W · 77 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea97…a471backed No74c27.03$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201050%5 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c76…2632backed No75c27$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.15875%6 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+24.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f34…ed6abacked No76c26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.784238.1%16 W · 26 L-5.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-28.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.