TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xde6e…0169

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
475
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: NBA, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 54 out of 100; worst Tennis at 36.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT40435.1%142 W · 262 L-1.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 404 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$16.69
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 4 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$189.44
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$112.97
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$133.09
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$84.26
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 4 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$689Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+51.2%+$352.57
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,238Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,237.73
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$659Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+100%+$658.67
First Blood in Game 1?backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+100%+$293.6
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$291Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+141.8%+$412.49
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 4 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.69
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$485Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$504.94
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$276.34
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$315Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$315
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 4 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$399Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$301
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$355
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$899Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$899.3
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$85
LoL: Solary vs Galions - Game 2 Winnerbacked Galions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.01
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.49
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX - Game 3 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.79
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX - Game 2 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.73
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX - Game 1 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$220.73
Showing 25 of 404 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT2729.6%8 W · 19 L-6.4wins-0.24per pick53cpaid-43.2%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
Tennis — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
HSBC Championships: Qinwen Zheng vs Jaqueline Cristianbacked Qinwen Zheng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$230
Hamburg European Open: Alex de Minaur vs Tommy Paulbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$3,360Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,360
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Victoria Mboko vs Jaqueline Cristianbacked Victoria Mboko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$735Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$735
Cervia: Andrea Guerrieri vs Max Alcala Gurribacked Andrea Guerrieri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$6,121Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,120.57
Geneva Open: Learner Tien vs Alexander Bublikbacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$5,082Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$5,289.33
Geneva Open: Casper Ruud vs Mariano Navonebacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$277Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$277.14
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Emma Navarro vs Ann Libacked Ann Li · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$696Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$696
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Diane Parry vs Emma Raducanubacked Emma Raducanu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$511Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$511.33
Geneva Open: Valentin Royer vs Francisco Comesanabacked Francisco Comesana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$613Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+60.1%+$368.23
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$123
Oeiras 4: Facundo Acosta vs Hugo Dellienbacked Hugo Dellien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$168
Parma: Yue Yuan vs Mayar Sherifbacked Yue Yuan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.5
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Mirra Andreevabacked Mirra Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$153
Oeiras 4: David Jorda Sanchis vs Eero Vasabacked David Jorda Sanchis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Bordeaux: Moise Kouame vs Benjamin Bonzibacked Moise Kouame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$171
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Hamad Medjedovic vs Martin Landalucebacked Hamad Medjedovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.19
Oeiras 4: Benjamin Hassan vs Nicolas Mejiabacked Nicolas Mejia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$183
Valencia: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Francisco Comesanabacked Pablo Carreno Busta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$199.31
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Karen Khachanov vs Dino Prizmicbacked Dino Prizmic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$171.49
Zagreb: Arthur Fery vs Vitaliy Sachkobacked Vitaliy Sachko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$519Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$518.97
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Marin Cilic vs Martin Landalucebacked Marin Cilic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$885Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$885
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Cristian Garin vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Alejandro Davidovich Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,784Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+86.1%+$2,395.67
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Corentin Moutet vs Pablo Llamas Ruizbacked Corentin Moutet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$795Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$795
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Aleksandar Kovacevicbacked Botic van de Zandschulp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$707Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$491.07
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Talia Gibson vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Talia Gibson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$642Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$642.4
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT2445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+133.9%+$106.33
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$189.98
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$101.82
Mexico vs. England: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$198.19
Will Algeria win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$153.05
England vs. DR Congo: England O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Spread: England (-1.5)backed DR Congo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$161.4
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$255.69
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$62.18
Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.91
Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.98
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.95
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$92.17
Spread: England (-2.5)backed Ghana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$140.02
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$508Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$508.24
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$285Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$134.27
Jordan vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.4
Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$122.5
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Austria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$262Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$261.97
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$195
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$246Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$354
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$168
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$188.79
All 24 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,144Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$1,056
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$540Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$460
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$306Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$306
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$875Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$875.13
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Avalanche vs. Wildbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$540Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$460
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-05-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$123
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$206.31
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$988Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$988.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$510Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$510
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Joblife vs WIP Esports (BO5) - VCL France: Revolution Stage 2 Playoffsbacked WIP Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$418Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$418.03
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$219.83
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.