Spread: England (-1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6e86fc1b3d5ebabc61316fa5543b7b88338cfafa76e38183aaf654b425fbd648

Rebuilt 23 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: DR Congoof England, DR Congo
Resolved: Jul 1, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $4,523,076
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $4,544,256

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,523,076 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,879 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x7c1e…bab3backed England	50c	445,000$220,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220,800	223	48.4%108 W · 115 L	+11.4wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb61b…8a06backed DR Congo	50c	436,160$217,588 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$218,571.82	59	59.3%35 W · 24 L	+6.9wins	+0.12per pick	48cpaid	+21.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked DR Congo	51c	314,703$160,311 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$154,391.97	2,271	39.5%896 W · 1,375 L	+10.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6754…e3bcbacked DR Congo	50c	276,854$138,731 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$138,123.27	154	56.5%87 W · 67 L	+5.6wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed England	47c	267,066$124,360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124,359.9	747	52.2%390 W · 357 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x384b…7d78backed DR Congo	51c	238,038$121,399 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$116,638.44	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe221…06f6backed DR Congo	52c	227,265$118,178 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$109,087.21	82	46.3%38 W · 44 L	+3.2wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed DR Congo	51c	200,899$102,149 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98,749.5	79	49.4%39 W · 40 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked England	49c	200,000$98,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98,000	213	43.2%92 W · 121 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked DR Congo	51c	194,795$100,301 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94,493.91	702	44.6%313 W · 389 L	+13.8wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed England	49c	176,755$85,922 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85,922.4	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa5f…6bfebacked England	49c	172,791$85,011 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85,011.09	208	44.7%93 W · 115 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed England	49c	142,421$69,777 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69,777.33	771	52.8%407 W · 364 L	+17.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked England	50c	116,997$58,460 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58,459.54	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf751…fec8backed DR Congo	51c	100,000$51,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49,000	97	47.4%46 W · 51 L	+2.6wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35e2…9dcbbacked England	50c	99,978$50,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50,000	90	45.6%41 W · 49 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed England	36c	73,631$26,758 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26,757.94	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4d6…308abacked DR Congo	50c	70,000$35,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35,000	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fbb…9a17backed England	49c	63,391$30,762 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30,761.8	174	52.3%91 W · 83 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae2b…90eabacked England	27c	57,935$15,830 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,830	206	33%68 W · 138 L	-7.1wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed England	47c	53,809$25,553 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25,552.94	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed DR Congo	60c	52,166$31,086 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21,080.68	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked England	50c	45,000$22,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22,500	100	56%56 W · 44 L	+11.6wins	+0.12per pick	44cpaid	+30.8%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6d77…bcafbacked England	50c	40,609$20,305 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,304.57	35	25.7%9 W · 26 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed DR Congo	49c	40,289$19,742 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20,547.47	19	57.9%11 W · 8 L	+1.7wins	+0.09per pick	49cpaid	+17.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked DR Congo	50c	40,000$20,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20,000	159	50.3%80 W · 79 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed England	25c	35,612$8,899 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,898.51	1,144	39.2%448 W · 696 L	-8.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed England	49c	30,000$14,700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,700	71	26.8%19 W · 52 L	-5.1wins	-0.07per pick	34cpaid	-41.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8e68…5478backed England	49c	25,000$12,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,250	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-2.6wins	-0.22per pick	47cpaid	-51.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8ad1…9198backed DR Congo	51c	24,999$12,750 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,249.65	84	53.6%45 W · 39 L	+5.5wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe1c…436cbacked England	17c	23,529$4,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,000	38	18.4%7 W · 31 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	+18.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d06…f79dbacked England	49c	21,042$10,311 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,310.57	125	36.8%46 W · 79 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed England	50c	20,208$10,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,100.07	1,985	32.5%645 W · 1,340 L	-47.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xac75…1319backed England	48c	20,000$9,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,600	53	49.1%26 W · 27 L	+1.6wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d06…7910backed England	50c	20,000$10,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,000	143	43.4%62 W · 81 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fba…d08abacked England	49c	20,000$9,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,800	133	31.6%42 W · 91 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed DR Congo	50c	20,000$10,001 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,999.35	107	44.9%48 W · 59 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d5d…191dbacked England	48c	20,000$9,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,599.91	68	42.6%29 W · 39 L	-4.3wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x49f2…d7b4backed England	50c	19,688$9,844 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,844	193	45.1%87 W · 106 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+27.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7982…51a4backed England	5c	19,005$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+1.1wins	+0.11per pick	49cpaid	+36.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked DR Congo	50c	19,000$9,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,500	145	53.8%78 W · 67 L	+9.1wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+12%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4810…289abacked DR Congo	52c	18,975$9,867 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,107.78	41	51.2%21 W · 20 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc128…2217backed England	50c	18,000$9,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,000	252	28.2%71 W · 181 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d85…197fbacked England	49c	17,911$8,777 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,776.62	78	51.3%40 W · 38 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed England	49c	15,000$7,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,300	114	43%49 W · 65 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0520…e4e0backed DR Congo	50c	14,314$7,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,113.73	253	36.8%93 W · 160 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x533c…2658backed DR Congo	78c	14,141$11,016 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,125.17	28	60.7%17 W · 11 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96a3…d944backed England	41c	14,000$5,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,800	264	45.1%119 W · 145 L	+17.5wins	+0.07per pick	38cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked DR Congo	54c	13,742$7,476 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,266.09	1,252	39.2%491 W · 761 L	+6.0wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x02af…aaa9backed England	49c	13,556$6,642 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,642.44	134	48.5%65 W · 69 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8013…2a30backed DR Congo	51c	12,153$6,198 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,954.91	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+2.2wins	+0.22per pick	48cpaid	+27.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed England	48c	12,000$5,760 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,759.98	227	52.4%119 W · 108 L	+7.3wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7b4…213abacked England	51c	11,538$5,884 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,884.18	47	48.9%23 W · 24 L	+3.4wins	+0.07per pick	42cpaid	+44.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf072…467abacked England	21c	11,189$2,365 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,365.07	94	46.8%44 W · 50 L	+5.2wins	+0.06per pick	41cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed England	39c	11,000$4,290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,290	250	38.8%97 W · 153 L	+6.0wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked England	51c	11,000$5,610 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,609.98	223	42.6%95 W · 128 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+53.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c73…688ebacked DR Congo	52c	10,480$5,449 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,030.25	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.3wins	+0.05per pick	38cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked England	51c	10,000$5,050 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,050	175	44%77 W · 98 L	+9.8wins	+0.06per pick	38cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe987…f0e1backed England	49c	10,000$4,900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,900	380	26.6%101 W · 279 L	-10.0wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x94d7…bef5backed England	50c	10,000$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	263	20.5%54 W · 209 L	-5.9wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd832…4ab0backed DR Congo	50c	10,000$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,000	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.17per pick	50cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x57b4…b46bbacked DR Congo	50c	10,000$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,000	100	59%59 W · 41 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	60cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x4582…619ebacked England	48c	10,000$4,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,800	87	35.6%31 W · 56 L	-6.1wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0500…540bbacked England	50c	9,756$4,878 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,878	43	58.1%25 W · 18 L	+3.2wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+10%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a8a…cb94backed England	7c	9,628$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$699.78	180	56.1%101 W · 79 L	+14.8wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0562…18a4backed DR Congo	51c	9,622$4,907 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,714.67	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+1.7wins	+0.21per pick	29cpaid	+92.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc1e0…206dbacked DR Congo	52c	9,600$4,992 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,608	88	26.1%23 W · 65 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	24cpaid	+36.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf44…71a4backed England	48c	9,200$4,416 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,415.98	43	48.8%21 W · 22 L	+3.8wins	+0.09per pick	40cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4362…9e47backed England	49c	9,184$4,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,500	74	31.1%23 W · 51 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	+31.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4fd…748bbacked DR Congo	52c	8,713$4,531 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,182.46	147	27.2%40 W · 107 L	-5.0wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed England	48c	8,000$3,840 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,840	352	29.3%103 W · 249 L	+14.0wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	+20.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x443b…e8bbbacked England	48c	8,000$3,840 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,840	137	46.7%64 W · 73 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed England	14c	7,717$1,110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,109.72	1,627	32.1%523 W · 1,104 L	+4.0wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed England	49c	6,888$3,375 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,375.12	53	45.3%24 W · 29 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9a54…7191backed DR Congo	49c	6,860$3,361 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,498.6	105	56.2%59 W · 46 L	+7.4wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x09dd…7e13backed England	47c	6,500$3,055 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,054.96	379	44.1%167 W · 212 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…af1bbacked England	49c	6,304$3,089 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,088.84	74	51.4%38 W · 36 L	+2.2wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf989…47ccbacked England	16c	6,250$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	47	42.6%20 W · 27 L	+5.5wins	+0.12per pick	31cpaid	+22.5%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0xbb99…7364backed England	50c	6,170$3,085 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,085.22	27	48.1%13 W · 14 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa526…c9f9backed England	49c	6,122$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,000	41	61%25 W · 16 L	+3.1wins	+0.08per pick	53cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4939…9adebacked England	49c	6,122$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,000	29	51.7%15 W · 14 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed England	16c	6,054$969 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$968.68	297	40.1%119 W · 178 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf559…f462backed DR Congo	50c	6,000$3,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,000	104	57.7%60 W · 44 L	+10.2wins	+0.10per pick	48cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf421…cff4backed DR Congo	50c	5,798$2,899 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,898.76	108	49.1%53 W · 55 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd2f4…cddbbacked DR Congo	52c	5,767$2,999 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,768.31	42	38.1%16 W · 26 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed England	48c	5,468$2,625 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,624.64	1,044	43.7%456 W · 588 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed DR Congo	51c	5,324$2,710 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,613.77	98	39.8%39 W · 59 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x66e5…d3c7backed England	50c	5,000$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,500	151	50.3%76 W · 75 L	+7.6wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+16.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7595…50ffbacked England	49c	5,000$2,450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,450	43	39.5%17 W · 26 L	-2.2wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xacea…8b97backed DR Congo	51c	5,000$2,550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,450	151	47%71 W · 80 L	-7.7wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4366…c73ebacked DR Congo	50c	5,000$2,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,500	43	46.5%20 W · 23 L	+2.5wins	+0.06per pick	41cpaid	+33.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d75…3d44backed England	48c	5,000$2,405 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,404.52	108	51.9%56 W · 52 L	+3.8wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0002…25ffbacked England	47c	4,916$2,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,300	72	22.2%16 W · 56 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ede…4284backed DR Congo	52c	4,800$2,496 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,304	187	38%71 W · 116 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdf78…ae9ebacked England	48c	4,800$2,304 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,303.99	33	48.5%16 W · 17 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5901…63a2backed England	49c	4,708$2,307 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,306.72	75	38.7%29 W · 46 L	-2.6wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked DR Congo	79c	4,465$3,528 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$937.04	185	43.8%81 W · 104 L	-6.0wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae76…2763backed England	18c	4,430$797 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$797.4	186	26.3%49 W · 137 L	+3.6wins	+0.02per pick	24cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed England	49c	4,082$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	316	44.9%142 W · 174 L	+10.3wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x580e…38cdbacked England	49c	4,082$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	167	39.5%66 W · 101 L	+5.4wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: England (-1.5)this page
England vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
England vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
England vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
England vs. DR Congo: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
England vs. DR Congo: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
England vs. DR Congo: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
England vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
England vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
England vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
England vs. DR Congo: DR Congo 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
England vs. DR Congo: DR Congo 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
England vs. DR Congo: DR Congo 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
England vs. DR Congo: DR Congo 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
England vs. DR Congo: DR Congo O/U 0.5Over won
England vs. DR Congo: DR Congo O/U 1.5Under won
England vs. DR Congo: DR Congo O/U 2.5Under won
England vs. DR Congo: England 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
England vs. DR Congo: England 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
England vs. DR Congo: England 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
England vs. DR Congo: England 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
England vs. DR Congo: England O/U 0.5Over won
England vs. DR Congo: England O/U 1.5Over won
England vs. DR Congo: England O/U 2.5Under won
England vs. DR Congo: O/U 0.5Over won
England vs. DR Congo: O/U 1.5Over won
England vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5Over won
England vs. DR Congo: O/U 3.5Under won
England vs. DR Congo: O/U 4.5Under won
England vs. DR Congo: O/U 5.5Under won
England vs. DR Congo: O/U 6.5Under won
England vs. DR Congo: O/U 7.5Under won
England vs. DR Congo: O/U 8.5Under won
England vs. DR Congo: Team to AdvanceEngland won
England vs. DR Congo: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
England vs. DR Congo: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
Spread: DR Congo (-1.5)England won
Spread: DR Congo (-2.5)England won
Spread: England (-2.5)DR Congo won
Spread: England (-3.5)DR Congo won
Spread: England (-4.5)DR Congo won
Spread: England (-5.5)DR Congo won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: England (-1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event