Spread: DR Congo (-1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x89ed1f24cdea584832d37087490f53df4fd49f7ce69e3e11dc4a8b4cd401e5b1

Rebuilt 21 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Englandof DR Congo, England
Resolved: Jul 1, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $496,607
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $561,292

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $496,607 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xfde6…7ed6backed DR Congo	1c	44,572$446 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$445.72	427	10.3%44 W · 383 L	-12.6wins	-0.03per pick	13cpaid	-42.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed DR Congo	7c	42,088$2,910 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,910.45	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1e0…206dbacked DR Congo	4c	22,260$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	88	26.1%23 W · 65 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	24cpaid	+36.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed DR Congo	1c	15,495$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170.45	360	31.7%114 W · 246 L	-4.5wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdee3…6fe5backed DR Congo	1c	10,017$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.21	128	25.8%33 W · 95 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-54.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7a7…d3abbacked DR Congo	1c	10,000$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.88	285	26.3%75 W · 210 L	-8.7wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa850…9b11backed DR Congo	1c	9,054$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.26	152	29.6%45 W · 107 L	-11.7wins	-0.08per pick	37cpaid	-35%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed DR Congo	5c	6,702$353 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$353.34	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked DR Congo	1c	6,260$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.86	657	37.4%246 W · 411 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd34a…78c7backed DR Congo	7c	5,004$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350	137	21.2%29 W · 108 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	+27.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6639…0e59backed DR Congo	7c	5,000$370 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$369.78	57	17.5%10 W · 47 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	+22.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe558…dcd2backed DR Congo	7c	4,891$342 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$341.94	158	43%68 W · 90 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0950…2380backed DR Congo	1c	4,167$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	109	17.4%19 W · 90 L	-5.3wins	-0.05per pick	22cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe392…c023backed DR Congo	3c	2,562$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.14	275	43.6%120 W · 155 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked DR Congo	8c	2,543$208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$207.95	372	23.4%87 W · 285 L	-25.7wins	-0.07per pick	30cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1ddc…e1aabacked DR Congo	4c	2,524$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	118	11.9%14 W · 104 L	-3.6wins	-0.03per pick	15cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed DR Congo	1c	2,497$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	408	48.8%199 W · 209 L	-8.9wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked DR Congo	7c	2,050$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.6	389	60.7%236 W · 153 L	+24.3wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+10%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x122c…fbedbacked DR Congo	4c	1,936$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.39	312	32.4%101 W · 211 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed DR Congo	4c	1,865$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.29	1,063	31.7%337 W · 726 L	-33.7wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f6f…d024backed DR Congo	6c	1,562$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.02	774	33.1%256 W · 518 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9706…bc33backed DR Congo	6c	1,551$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	226	26.5%60 W · 166 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4aa9…8c7bbacked DR Congo	4c	1,474$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.28	16	25%4 W · 12 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked DR Congo	7c	1,417$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.16	213	43.2%92 W · 121 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked DR Congo	1c	1,353$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.53	1,560	43.8%684 W · 876 L	-4.4wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x292b…697dbacked DR Congo	2c	1,333$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	223	43.9%98 W · 125 L	+5.0wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5282…38c6backed DR Congo	8c	1,300$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.1	118	28%33 W · 85 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a15…e238backed DR Congo	4c	1,282$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	92	27.2%25 W · 67 L	-2.6wins	-0.03per pick	30cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff8d…c814backed DR Congo	4c	1,282$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	142	25.4%36 W · 106 L	-5.7wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3561…f1b7backed DR Congo	1c	1,236$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.03	950	37.5%356 W · 594 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf182…6225backed DR Congo	6c	1,212$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.46	59	37.3%22 W · 37 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa7f…dc59backed DR Congo	8c	1,127$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.38	104	25%26 W · 78 L	-5.0wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked DR Congo	7c	1,111$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.21	342	49.1%168 W · 174 L	+5.2wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+33.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f17…b55dbacked DR Congo	7c	1,110$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.48	121	45.5%55 W · 66 L	+9.0wins	+0.07per pick	38cpaid	+26.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7789…a2cebacked DR Congo	6c	1,095$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	60	30%18 W · 42 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x688d…c6d5backed DR Congo	1c	1,091$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-47.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d76…92b5backed DR Congo	1c	1,074$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	94	28.7%27 W · 67 L	+7.6wins	+0.08per pick	21cpaid	+23.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x06e8…97ddbacked DR Congo	2c	1,049$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	8	25%2 W · 6 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-66%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf9a4…5e8fbacked DR Congo	6c	1,000$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	41	14.6%6 W · 35 L	-3.1wins	-0.08per pick	22cpaid	-57.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6bc9…05e3backed DR Congo	1c	933.33$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.2	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.34per pick	34cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed DR Congo	8c	858.53$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.75	1,135	40.2%456 W · 679 L	+5.2wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x77a1…de3dbacked DR Congo	4c	789.47$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	+2.1wins	+0.09per pick	39cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xed5d…2668backed DR Congo	4c	769.23$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	117	24.8%29 W · 88 L	-3.6wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-43.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa614…0bafbacked DR Congo	7c	750.31$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56	46	26.1%12 W · 34 L	-4.8wins	-0.10per pick	36cpaid	-38.8%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4f1b…9876backed DR Congo	5c	727.41$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	327	33%108 W · 219 L	+9.6wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x724d…8deabacked DR Congo	5c	668$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.36	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7812…4bcdbacked DR Congo	6c	600$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.6	63	42.9%27 W · 36 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6ea…6ebbbacked DR Congo	10c	559.71$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.67	56	21.4%12 W · 44 L	-3.2wins	-0.06per pick	27cpaid	-42.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8dd…ddd2backed DR Congo	7c	556.44$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.39	91	37.4%34 W · 57 L	+3.4wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2c0…f73abacked DR Congo	10c	515.23$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	114	37.7%43 W · 71 L	+3.3wins	+0.03per pick	35cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xada9…73c3backed DR Congo	6c	492.58$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	68	51.5%35 W · 33 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed DR Congo	5c	492.27$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.05	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91d7…0dfcbacked DR Congo	5c	449$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.81	585	30.9%181 W · 404 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-28%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcdd…73a5backed DR Congo	5c	431.47$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	132	23.5%31 W · 101 L	-9.2wins	-0.07per pick	30cpaid	-27.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x89ae…29e6backed DR Congo	7c	419.24$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.97	20	5%1 W · 19 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	9cpaid	-80%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed DR Congo	10c	419$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.81	49	49%24 W · 25 L	+2.8wins	+0.06per pick	43cpaid	+9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9048…d351backed DR Congo	8c	384.62$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	148	41.9%62 W · 86 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee0e…38bbbacked DR Congo	7c	366.42$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	235	29.8%70 W · 165 L	-4.6wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x764a…9175backed DR Congo	4c	276.22$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	44	27.3%12 W · 32 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	24cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x45b8…339fbacked DR Congo	9c	265.96$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	32	40.6%13 W · 19 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf27a…78d8backed DR Congo	6c	255.48$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	227	52.4%119 W · 108 L	+5.4wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb9…bb3cbacked DR Congo	4c	250$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	55	16.4%9 W · 46 L	-3.4wins	-0.06per pick	22cpaid	-54.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0cc8…5555backed DR Congo	6c	240$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.89	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	+29.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x38fb…7783backed DR Congo	7c	209.52$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	16	25%4 W · 12 L	-1.0wins	-0.06per pick	31cpaid	-54.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b60…9c7ebacked DR Congo	7c	199.99$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.6	78	32.1%25 W · 53 L	-4.6wins	-0.06per pick	38cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa724…b610backed DR Congo	5c	196.12$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.01	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.21per pick	46cpaid	-58.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x899e…0b80backed DR Congo	8c	189.87$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	35	25.7%9 W · 26 L	-4.5wins	-0.13per pick	39cpaid	-56.2%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x223b…971cbacked DR Congo	11c	182.01$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.27	160	40%64 W · 96 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked DR Congo	10c	175.26$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	514	29.4%151 W · 363 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x14b0…8d0ebacked DR Congo	7c	160.13$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.01	46	30.4%14 W · 32 L	-4.3wins	-0.09per pick	40cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd145…c438backed DR Congo	9c	157.89$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	43	27.9%12 W · 31 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfeef…4b1fbacked DR Congo	8c	157.58$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.9	423	32.9%139 W · 284 L	-17.3wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-21%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: DR Congo (-1.5)this page
England vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
England vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
England vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
England vs. DR Congo: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
England vs. DR Congo: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
England vs. DR Congo: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
England vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
England vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
England vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
England vs. DR Congo: DR Congo 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
England vs. DR Congo: DR Congo 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
England vs. DR Congo: DR Congo 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
England vs. DR Congo: DR Congo 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
England vs. DR Congo: DR Congo O/U 0.5Over won
England vs. DR Congo: DR Congo O/U 1.5Under won
England vs. DR Congo: DR Congo O/U 2.5Under won
England vs. DR Congo: England 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
England vs. DR Congo: England 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
England vs. DR Congo: England 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
England vs. DR Congo: England 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
England vs. DR Congo: England O/U 0.5Over won
England vs. DR Congo: England O/U 1.5Over won
England vs. DR Congo: England O/U 2.5Under won
England vs. DR Congo: O/U 0.5Over won
England vs. DR Congo: O/U 1.5Over won
England vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5Over won
England vs. DR Congo: O/U 3.5Under won
England vs. DR Congo: O/U 4.5Under won
England vs. DR Congo: O/U 5.5Under won
England vs. DR Congo: O/U 6.5Under won
England vs. DR Congo: O/U 7.5Under won
England vs. DR Congo: O/U 8.5Under won
England vs. DR Congo: Team to AdvanceEngland won
England vs. DR Congo: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
England vs. DR Congo: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
Spread: DR Congo (-2.5)England won
Spread: England (-1.5)DR Congo won
Spread: England (-2.5)DR Congo won
Spread: England (-3.5)DR Congo won
Spread: England (-4.5)DR Congo won
Spread: England (-5.5)DR Congo won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: DR Congo (-1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event