Fifa International · resolved market
England vs. DR Congo: DR Congo O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6e69ffe8555a7c69a62d42fe0bf22122799d98780a0072e2b040b04d443ce1b2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $119,979
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $105,612
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $119,979 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Over | 5c | 18,966$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.95 | 657 | 37.4%246 W · 411 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked Over | 1c | 9,471$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.18 | 207 | 31.4%65 W · 142 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfde6…7ed6backed Over | 1c | 8,315$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.78 | 427 | 10.3%44 W · 383 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 4c | 3,708$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.14 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 2c | 3,573$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.04 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 5c | 3,485$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.48 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 4c | 2,788$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.91 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd8…f260backed Over | 2c | 2,648$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 379 | 19.5%74 W · 305 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Over | 2c | 2,193$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 167 | 47.3%79 W · 88 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf639…4a74backed Over | 1c | 2,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 173 | 22.5%39 W · 134 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef4f…4598backed Over | 1c | 1,992$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 232 | 36.6%85 W · 147 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 4c | 1,852$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.47 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 5c | 1,453$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.2 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Over | 1c | 1,430$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 1c | 1,014$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 4c | 870.44$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.9 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 2c | 625$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8582…959fbacked Over | 4c | 595.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 104 | 40.4%42 W · 62 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Over | 5c | 520.83$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 438 | 19.2%84 W · 354 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 3c | 519.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 465 | 25.4%118 W · 347 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e31…f019backed Over | 4c | 461.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3b…5a41backed Over | 4c | 421.05$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd145…c438backed Over | 6c | 327.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 5c | 300$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 227 | 31.7%72 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 6c | 299$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…01acbacked Over | 4c | 290$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 245 | 41.2%101 W · 144 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 5c | 249.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Over | 5c | 200$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 215 | 25.1%54 W · 161 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- England vs. DR Congo: DR Congo O/U 2.5this page
- England vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- England vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- England vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- England vs. DR Congo: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- England vs. DR Congo: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- England vs. DR Congo: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- England vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- England vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- England vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- England vs. DR Congo: DR Congo 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- England vs. DR Congo: DR Congo 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- England vs. DR Congo: DR Congo 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- England vs. DR Congo: DR Congo 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- England vs. DR Congo: DR Congo O/U 0.5Over won
- England vs. DR Congo: DR Congo O/U 1.5Under won
- England vs. DR Congo: England 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- England vs. DR Congo: England 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- England vs. DR Congo: England 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- England vs. DR Congo: England 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- England vs. DR Congo: England O/U 0.5Over won
- England vs. DR Congo: England O/U 1.5Over won
- England vs. DR Congo: England O/U 2.5Under won
- England vs. DR Congo: O/U 0.5Over won
- England vs. DR Congo: O/U 1.5Over won
- England vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5Over won
- England vs. DR Congo: O/U 3.5Under won
- England vs. DR Congo: O/U 4.5Under won
- England vs. DR Congo: O/U 5.5Under won
- England vs. DR Congo: O/U 6.5Under won
- England vs. DR Congo: O/U 7.5Under won
- England vs. DR Congo: O/U 8.5Under won
- England vs. DR Congo: Team to AdvanceEngland won
- England vs. DR Congo: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
- England vs. DR Congo: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
- Spread: DR Congo (-1.5)England won
- Spread: DR Congo (-2.5)England won
- Spread: England (-1.5)DR Congo won
- Spread: England (-2.5)DR Congo won
- Spread: England (-3.5)DR Congo won
- Spread: England (-4.5)DR Congo won
- Spread: England (-5.5)DR Congo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.