TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

England vs. DR Congo: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$24,574
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$22,874

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,574 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd0e1…99dbbacked No46c2,804$1,294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,509.758049.1%285 W · 295 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfde6…7ed6backed No73c2,000$1,465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.9642710.3%44 W · 383 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-42.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x16da…05c0backed No67c1,126$756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.721937.9%83 W · 136 L-0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7418…251fbacked Yes54c1,092$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.711167.6%75 W · 36 L+9.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+11.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Yes37c1,086$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40065948.6%320 W · 339 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0224…292abacked No65c966.59$631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.621931.6%6 W · 13 L-3.1wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-35.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked No46c902.03$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.141968.3%286 W · 133 L+65.4wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+43.6%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Yes18c866.77$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.027126.8%19 W · 52 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-41.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No62c792.01$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.42,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x780d…d20cbacked Yes54c736.39$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4004440.9%18 W · 26 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb82…4bf9backed Yes45c649.75$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.663565.7%23 W · 12 L+6.3wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+50.5%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x76aa…eff9backed No64c623.51$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.9425753.3%137 W · 120 L+23.5wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+17.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe1bc…420dbacked Yes58c545.44$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.2210130.7%31 W · 70 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes19c526.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10055153%292 W · 259 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…2b31backed Yes59c511.49$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007431.1%23 W · 51 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick25cpaid+33%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6673…6efbbacked Yes22c481.22$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.1212029.2%35 W · 85 L+11.0wins+0.09per pick20cpaid+41.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes5c412.43$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.722,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb085…7b10backed Yes54c407.8$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.811540%6 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-40.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1262…2fc9backed No74c405.15$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.7427466.4%182 W · 92 L+28.8wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+23.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked Yes17c310.96$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.8634249.1%168 W · 174 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+33.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa782…cbafbacked Yes19c301.08$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.579631.3%30 W · 66 L+12.4wins+0.13per pick18cpaid+93.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked No33c298$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.6622731.7%72 W · 155 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f4c…14ddbacked Yes19c263.51$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502326.1%6 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick22cpaid+24.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58fe…d772backed No66c257.06$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.244740.4%19 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78fa…d5c3backed Yes51c252.94$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1293735.1%13 W · 24 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf76a…71e6backed Yes19c252.63$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4819520%39 W · 156 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked No43c249.71$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.592,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x75ea…1616backed Yes34c240.35$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.723426.5%9 W · 25 L-4.7wins-0.14per pick40cpaid-50.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xde4b…b1b9backed Yes26c214.28$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5610038%38 W · 62 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4912…c209backed Yes43c210.26$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905721.1%12 W · 45 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-22.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc337…5984backed Yes19c184.21$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3519618.4%36 W · 160 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-31.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x65b8…3c05backed Yes56c178$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022648.2%109 W · 117 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaeaa…95d6backed Yes65c168.12$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.284932.7%16 W · 33 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-36.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaefa…8b13backed Yes60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001822.2%4 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick33cpaid-49.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Yes19c161.51$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.982,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8af…0550backed Yes19c157.89$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3035614.3%51 W · 305 L-14.3wins-0.04per pick18cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfaa…43e2backed Yes65c153.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10028134.5%97 W · 184 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-21.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed No80c150$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3057252.4%300 W · 272 L-1.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd28b…5d0fbacked Yes19c150$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.51118.2%2 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick18cpaid-28.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe140…039dbacked Yes20c150$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x459a…bf86backed Yes35c143.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509237%34 W · 58 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+19.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ca0…cb82backed Yes19c131.58$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2517933.5%60 W · 119 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d3c…9bb8backed Yes19c131.58$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252917.2%5 W · 24 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick25cpaid-27.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5cf0…cad2backed Yes58c120.95$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7010040%40 W · 60 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e2…d5b2backed No45c112.3$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.36338.1%24 W · 39 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe76c…1c3cbacked Yes19c105.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011560%69 W · 46 L+9.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xbeb2…ee97backed Yes19c105.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2070%0 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x47c7…3776backed Yes17c104.98$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.854717%8 W · 39 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92a9…e971backed No67c104.48$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.487749.4%38 W · 39 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ae4…83dfbacked Yes66c102.3$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$683751.4%19 W · 18 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4dd…23ffbacked Yes19c100$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1916240.1%65 W · 97 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb27f…2c41backed Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3011445.6%52 W · 62 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4505…ec35backed No77c100$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-16.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c73…0fd5backed Yes51c97.87$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503531.4%11 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick27cpaid-29.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…f422backed Yes58c94.58$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.595839.7%23 W · 35 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe50e…45c5backed Yes53c92.12$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5832959.6%196 W · 133 L+21.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+17.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd202…5c70backed Yes53c90.94$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick32cpaid-70.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x74a3…3b73backed Yes34c87.98$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305040%20 W · 30 L-5.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-26.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Yes22c86.29$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.091,11124.3%270 W · 841 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x71fa…4b5ebacked Yes60c84$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501850%9 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+13.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x747f…ad68backed Yes36c83.33$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3017154.4%93 W · 78 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe562…4fa9backed Yes37c81.19$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3029338.2%112 W · 181 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x44fe…5c40backed Yes60c80.46$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.084348.8%21 W · 22 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick58cpaid-20%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe9ef…b630backed No28c78.31$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.385236.5%19 W · 33 L+8.0wins+0.15per pick21cpaid+51.2%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x866d…d337backed Yes34c73.24$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dbe…0801backed Yes58c68.97$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-35.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe36b…f873backed Yes29c67.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.516454.7%35 W · 29 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9a2…42f2backed Yes58c67.24$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398840.9%36 W · 52 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xebed…3528backed Yes30c66.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208349.4%41 W · 42 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6cc8…6304backed Yes77c65.22$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick42cpaid-53.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8adc…6b14backed Yes25c60$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1566745%300 W · 367 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf18…af99backed Yes34c58.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2016450%82 W · 82 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ad7…ed11backed Yes35c56.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a38…068ebacked Yes19c56.05$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.654327.9%12 W · 31 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-19.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf15f…4497backed Yes59c55.74$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3312754.3%69 W · 58 L+0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c3e…403abacked Yes36c55.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205036%18 W · 32 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No76c51.27$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.252,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c32…325bbacked Yes70c50$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.95650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a49…a3c3backed No39c49.98$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.4915937.1%59 W · 100 L-0.6wins0.00per pick38cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeea2…f26dbacked No42c49.98$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.998421.4%18 W · 66 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-32.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x240c…b6b0backed Yes34c48.91$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.631346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69fa…e259backed Yes49c47.02$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.0812850%64 W · 64 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xab73…a3e1backed No79c46.32$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.61442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick50cpaid+114.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fbc…118dbacked Yes34c44.12$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155010%5 W · 45 L-0.2wins0.00per pick10cpaid+26.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66bb…cd52backed Yes35c42.86$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1533123.6%78 W · 253 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc048…b34ebacked Yes36c41.69$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152540%10 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…c2f4backed Yes36c41.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157936.7%29 W · 50 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xffb3…fc52backed Yes36c41.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153754.1%20 W · 17 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc56b…dc3dbacked Yes36c41.53$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9530%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe57…fdf6backed No50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203946.2%18 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdff2…ca30backed Yes42c39.17$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.451241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x329f…0d3dbacked Yes39c38.46$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4683…9346backed Yes57c35.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201520%3 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-49.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc90f…242abacked Yes58c32.76$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+27.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd36…2c00backed Yes34c32.35$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1111549.6%57 W · 58 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e31…f019backed Yes37c32.07$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1220%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0380…4d8abacked Yes65c30.77$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201450%7 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdda…938abacked Yes65c30.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.784862.5%30 W · 18 L+6.6wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+37.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x897f…db7bbacked No64c27.22$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.7966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9b0d…596cbacked Yes58c26.24$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.222839.3%11 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.