Fifa International · resolved market
England vs. DR Congo: O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2f062369214fc0a95075e880c94a9ea991203740e554009d60b162384a4d6b3c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $213,769
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $228,881
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $213,769 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Under | 8c | 40,000$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,199.98 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd408…e85cbacked Under | 8c | 12,500$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 5c | 10,353$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.4 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 7c | 8,100$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.99 | 306 | 26.5%81 W · 225 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4078…eed8backed Under | 7c | 4,784$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.91 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Under | 8c | 3,675$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.02 | 702 | 44.6%313 W · 389 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 8c | 3,636$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.88 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 6c | 3,573$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.53 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf6…0e3bbacked Under | 7c | 3,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.99 | 265 | 34%90 W · 175 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 8c | 2,864$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.81 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x635d…7047backed Under | 7c | 2,546$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.2 | 175 | 6.9%12 W · 163 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | +112.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 7c | 2,196$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.13 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77fc…0eacbacked Under | 7c | 2,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 105 | 18.1%19 W · 86 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Under | 4c | 1,600$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacea…8b97backed Under | 8c | 1,500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 151 | 47%71 W · 80 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x610b…b5b2backed Under | 7c | 1,500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d18…c84dbacked Under | 8c | 1,316$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.24 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 7c | 1,307$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.49 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49b9…9613backed Under | 8c | 1,204$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.59 | 99 | 57.6%57 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x655a…8fadbacked Under | 8c | 1,168$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.44 | 107 | 15%16 W · 91 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ec…aa22backed Under | 2c | 999.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 3.8%2 W · 50 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 7c | 801.32$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.09 | 744 | 47.8%356 W · 388 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 7c | 700.34$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.02 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0c…ba73backed Under | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 102 | 24.5%25 W · 77 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87cb…643abacked Under | 7c | 575.62$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.62 | 209 | 42.6%89 W · 120 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0823…ec6abacked Under | 9c | 540.78$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.67 | 431 | 39%168 W · 263 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e51…42cebacked Under | 7c | 499.96$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 326 | 42.9%140 W · 186 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 7c | 417.19$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.11 | 977 | 42%410 W · 567 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c7…3726backed Under | 8c | 400$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 60 | 16.7%10 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 8c | 364$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.03 | 848 | 44.3%376 W · 472 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e44…f303backed Under | 8c | 361.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 84 | 19%16 W · 68 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb5…3f64backed Under | 8c | 350.75$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.06 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under | 7c | 285.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 217 | 22.1%48 W · 169 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 7c | 269.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9d…9b0ebacked Under | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 248 | 25.8%64 W · 184 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…babfbacked Under | 8c | 212.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 212 | 40.6%86 W · 126 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed Under | 8c | 150$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 240 | 43.3%104 W · 136 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…a2d5backed Under | 8c | 130$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 157 | 58%91 W · 66 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1300…d632backed Under | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 107 | 47.7%51 W · 56 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- England vs. DR Congo: O/U 0.5this page
- England vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- England vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- England vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- England vs. DR Congo: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- England vs. DR Congo: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- England vs. DR Congo: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- England vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- England vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- England vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- England vs. DR Congo: DR Congo 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- England vs. DR Congo: DR Congo 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- England vs. DR Congo: DR Congo 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- England vs. DR Congo: DR Congo 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- England vs. DR Congo: DR Congo O/U 0.5Over won
- England vs. DR Congo: DR Congo O/U 1.5Under won
- England vs. DR Congo: DR Congo O/U 2.5Under won
- England vs. DR Congo: England 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- England vs. DR Congo: England 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- England vs. DR Congo: England 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- England vs. DR Congo: England 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- England vs. DR Congo: England O/U 0.5Over won
- England vs. DR Congo: England O/U 1.5Over won
- England vs. DR Congo: England O/U 2.5Under won
- England vs. DR Congo: O/U 1.5Over won
- England vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5Over won
- England vs. DR Congo: O/U 3.5Under won
- England vs. DR Congo: O/U 4.5Under won
- England vs. DR Congo: O/U 5.5Under won
- England vs. DR Congo: O/U 6.5Under won
- England vs. DR Congo: O/U 7.5Under won
- England vs. DR Congo: O/U 8.5Under won
- England vs. DR Congo: Team to AdvanceEngland won
- England vs. DR Congo: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
- England vs. DR Congo: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
- Spread: DR Congo (-1.5)England won
- Spread: DR Congo (-2.5)England won
- Spread: England (-1.5)DR Congo won
- Spread: England (-2.5)DR Congo won
- Spread: England (-3.5)DR Congo won
- Spread: England (-4.5)DR Congo won
- Spread: England (-5.5)DR Congo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.