England vs. DR Congo: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2bbf4e741e1b1c6ed817181a9ba2cf1cdad0b9dac60254cd14516e293a8fcd96

Rebuilt 5 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 1, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $32,894
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $29,452

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,894 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xfde6…7ed6backed Yes	10c	3,000$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	427	10.3%44 W · 383 L	-12.6wins	-0.03per pick	13cpaid	-42.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0224…292abacked Yes	19c	2,550$485 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$484.5	19	31.6%6 W · 13 L	-3.1wins	-0.17per pick	48cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xaeaa…95d6backed Yes	29c	2,549$739 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$738.67	49	32.7%16 W · 33 L	-3.2wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-36.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No	78c	2,133$1,668 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$465.15	2,533	46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L	+12.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Yes	11c	2,000$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$219.99	306	26.5%81 W · 225 L	-7.6wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x16da…05c0backed Yes	15c	1,959$293 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$292.79	219	37.9%83 W · 136 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No	71c	1,862$1,326 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$535.71	2,524	42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Yes	19c	1,597$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	659	48.6%320 W · 339 L	-4.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Yes	19c	1,300$247 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$247	454	28%127 W · 327 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xad87…6a86backed Yes	11c	1,000$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	89	50.6%45 W · 44 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Yes	20c	614.03$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.56	1,111	24.3%270 W · 841 L	-32.2wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f98…8db1backed Yes	12c	416.67$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	11	0%0 W · 11 L	-1.5wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf9a4…5e8fbacked Yes	17c	399.99$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68	41	14.6%6 W · 35 L	-3.1wins	-0.08per pick	22cpaid	-57.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x75ea…1616backed Yes	20c	386.95$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.39	34	26.5%9 W · 25 L	-4.7wins	-0.14per pick	40cpaid	-50.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x26cf…1351backed Yes	14c	316.14$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.26	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.14per pick	31cpaid	-63.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd18…30afbacked Yes	18c	313.21$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.86	24	50%12 W · 12 L	-1.3wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb15c…604abacked Yes	16c	306.94$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	35	37.1%13 W · 22 L	+1.7wins	+0.05per pick	32cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa09b…db3dbacked Yes	26c	298.3$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.56	57	38.6%22 W · 35 L	+3.5wins	+0.06per pick	32cpaid	+42.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes	11c	289.07$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.8	227	31.7%72 W · 155 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71d1…ae17backed Yes	35c	286.26$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.07per pick	21cpaid	-32%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5af8…db25backed Yes	24c	282.78$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.19	107	26.2%28 W · 79 L	-12.9wins	-0.12per pick	38cpaid	-39.5%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x45d5…8faebacked Yes	18c	277.78$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	54	14.8%8 W · 46 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	17cpaid	+18.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	13c	264.82$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.58	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb253…26febacked Yes	33c	257.79$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.7	135	48.1%65 W · 70 L	-9.2wins	-0.07per pick	55cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x99fc…ec26backed Yes	20c	250$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	103	39.8%41 W · 62 L	-4.3wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8de2…8483backed No	67c	245.06$163 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.58	85	37.6%32 W · 53 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x4216…48d8backed Yes	21c	238.1$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	74	45.9%34 W · 40 L	+4.3wins	+0.06per pick	40cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x66bb…cd52backed Yes	33c	212.76$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	331	23.6%78 W · 253 L	-3.7wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b99…8f62backed No	71c	211.27$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.27	190	47.4%90 W · 100 L	-7.3wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ebd…aaecbacked Yes	12c	208.33$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa7f…dc59backed Yes	30c	162.43$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.73	104	25%26 W · 78 L	-5.0wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x74a3…3b73backed Yes	19c	158.49$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	50	40%20 W · 30 L	-5.0wins	-0.10per pick	50cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf545…305bbacked Yes	19c	150$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.5	142	42.3%60 W · 82 L	+4.2wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0459…0fcbbacked Yes	14c	142.86$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	267	20.6%55 W · 212 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	20cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xdd60…84eebacked Yes	19c	142.28$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.22	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8af…0550backed Yes	18c	138.89$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	356	14.3%51 W · 305 L	-14.3wins	-0.04per pick	18cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x56ae…9badbacked Yes	12c	130$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.6	283	26.5%75 W · 208 L	-12.1wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-29.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x07db…29e4backed Yes	18c	126.63$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	174	34.5%60 W · 114 L	-3.7wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa78e…7cbcbacked Yes	12c	125$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	85	32.9%28 W · 57 L	-6.0wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7716…0a53backed Yes	18c	111.11$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	25	24%6 W · 19 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	20cpaid	+41.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4247…91c4backed Yes	17c	107.53$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.28	512	28.9%148 W · 364 L	+5.0wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f0e…7d97backed Yes	19c	105.26$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	60	23.3%14 W · 46 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	25cpaid	-43.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x413d…97b8backed Yes	19c	105.26$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	10	30%3 W · 7 L	+1.0wins	+0.10per pick	20cpaid	+38.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ccc…653fbacked Yes	18c	102.94$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.5	118	40.7%48 W · 70 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed No	49c	100$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51	281	48.4%136 W · 145 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4d1d…01acbacked No	39c	100$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61	245	41.2%101 W · 144 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x409e…179cbacked Yes	19c	94.74$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec34…b109backed Yes	16c	93.75$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	+1.3wins	+0.08per pick	33cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb95c…3d18backed Yes	31c	91$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.21	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.31per pick	31cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbed9…225fbacked Yes	36c	82.67$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	40	20%8 W · 32 L	-3.2wins	-0.08per pick	28cpaid	-41%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfd77…67f8backed Yes	19c	78.95$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bf0…696fbacked No	69c	78.5$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.34	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	62cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c88…0e4dbacked Yes	28c	73$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.44	33	21.2%7 W · 26 L	-2.7wins	-0.08per pick	29cpaid	-48.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa0e6…fa86backed Yes	18c	72.22$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	101	36.6%37 W · 64 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-11%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7463…5850backed Yes	15c	69.99$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.5	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1b02…a231backed Yes	17c	69.59$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.83	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-1.6wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4dae…c024backed Yes	33c	68.89$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	83	42.2%35 W · 48 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3bf3…8f91backed Yes	18c	66.86$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	+1.4wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No	80c	62$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.43	1,492	41%612 W · 880 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xde4b…b1b9backed Yes	43c	58.23$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	100	38%38 W · 62 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked No	54c	57.48$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.44	2,453	34.7%850 W · 1,603 L	+84.3wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x99a4…4539backed Yes	30c	55$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.55	73	39.7%29 W · 44 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbff7…554fbacked No	69c	51.53$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.11	209	68.4%143 W · 66 L	+21.5wins	+0.10per pick	58cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8a6b…2f6abacked Yes	20c	50$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	152	47.4%72 W · 80 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b50…c5f9backed Yes	20c	50$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	66	53%35 W · 31 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d8d…35bfbacked Yes	30c	50$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	228	25.4%58 W · 170 L	-13.0wins	-0.06per pick	31cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1dec…e107backed Yes	31c	42.55$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.19	97	44.3%43 W · 54 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x320a…c1f6backed No	50c	30.65$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.45	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-1.1wins	-0.10per pick	46cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf855…d955backed No	77c	30$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.9	102	60.8%62 W · 40 L	+8.2wins	+0.08per pick	53cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdff2…ca30backed No	71c	27.07$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.85	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfce6…bd7fbacked No	72c	20.83$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.83	57	61.4%35 W · 22 L	+2.9wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

England vs. DR Congo: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?this page
England vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
England vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
England vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
England vs. DR Congo: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
England vs. DR Congo: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
England vs. DR Congo: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
England vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
England vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
England vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
England vs. DR Congo: DR Congo 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
England vs. DR Congo: DR Congo 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
England vs. DR Congo: DR Congo 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
England vs. DR Congo: DR Congo 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
England vs. DR Congo: DR Congo O/U 0.5Over won
England vs. DR Congo: DR Congo O/U 1.5Under won
England vs. DR Congo: DR Congo O/U 2.5Under won
England vs. DR Congo: England 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
England vs. DR Congo: England 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
England vs. DR Congo: England 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
England vs. DR Congo: England 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
England vs. DR Congo: England O/U 0.5Over won
England vs. DR Congo: England O/U 1.5Over won
England vs. DR Congo: England O/U 2.5Under won
England vs. DR Congo: O/U 0.5Over won
England vs. DR Congo: O/U 1.5Over won
England vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5Over won
England vs. DR Congo: O/U 3.5Under won
England vs. DR Congo: O/U 4.5Under won
England vs. DR Congo: O/U 5.5Under won
England vs. DR Congo: O/U 6.5Under won
England vs. DR Congo: O/U 7.5Under won
England vs. DR Congo: O/U 8.5Under won
England vs. DR Congo: Team to AdvanceEngland won
England vs. DR Congo: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
Spread: DR Congo (-1.5)England won
Spread: DR Congo (-2.5)England won
Spread: England (-1.5)DR Congo won
Spread: England (-2.5)DR Congo won
Spread: England (-3.5)DR Congo won
Spread: England (-4.5)DR Congo won
Spread: England (-5.5)DR Congo won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

England vs. DR Congo: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event