TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

England vs. DR Congo: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,725,468
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,846,282

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,725,468 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 732 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9cb9…32f2backed Over30c134,253$40,173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,172.6325038.8%97 W · 153 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under71c114,691$81,933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,757.784,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over25c93,236$23,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,430.443,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under78c89,450$69,419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,030.742,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over23c66,581$15,346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,345.761,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd331…733cbacked Over25c64,964$16,241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,241.0263035.7%225 W · 405 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Under72c62,184$44,485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,699.141,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over25c52,825$13,412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,412.342,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37d9…9b1ebacked Over25c38,809$9,742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,741.731533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-35.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over38c37,731$14,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,271.877152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over31c29,634$9,046 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,046.091,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24c7…77c4backed Over26c23,500$6,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,074.978931.5%28 W · 61 L-9.0wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-17.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed Over34c23,183$7,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,819.731545.4%143 W · 172 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under76c19,956$15,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,789.442,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0353…c2ffbacked Under65c18,456$11,930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,525.777163.4%45 W · 26 L+0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82da…da33backed Under54c16,718$9,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,689.363240.6%13 W · 19 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Over23c15,102$3,517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,517.0839644.7%177 W · 219 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfe…8abfbacked Under75c13,500$10,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,3751060%6 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick69cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over12c13,010$1,521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,521.4751514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under76c11,179$8,455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,7242,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0520…e4e0backed Over14c10,579$1,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,484.7425336.8%93 W · 160 L+0.9wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under75c9,904$7,418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,485.998,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Under75c9,788$7,341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,447.0170244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under65c9,759$6,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,458.3644130.8%136 W · 305 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed Under79c9,650$7,609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,041.5130054%162 W · 138 L+17.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+32.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7fcd…2816backed Over32c9,460$3,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,008.2711227.7%31 W · 81 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under69c9,020$6,254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,765.9619946.7%93 W · 106 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaca0…9b86backed Over25c8,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0009929.3%29 W · 70 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over18c6,713$1,229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,228.891,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over22c6,596$1,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,420.122,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb89c…b71dbacked Under76c6,579$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,578.951984.2%16 W · 3 L+5.1wins+0.27per pick57cpaid+42.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x119b…ac3ebacked Over26c6,098$1,585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,585.378944.9%40 W · 49 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Under79c5,848$4,621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,226.5237223.4%87 W · 285 L-25.7wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-58.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under72c5,751$4,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,607.481,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4587…7bc9backed Under70c5,744$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,744.393850%19 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x933f…1540backed Over28c5,265$1,476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,476.063158.1%18 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80c0…9519backed Under68c5,161$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,661.215420.4%11 W · 43 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-23.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6102…1913backed Over31c5,141$1,605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,604.7911637.1%43 W · 73 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over18c5,089$898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$897.674,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8e2…ec79backed Over31c5,081$1,575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5758723%20 W · 67 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2220…1a0fbacked Over2c5,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019218.8%36 W · 156 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-24.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over25c4,971$1,231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,230.962,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d16…212ebacked Under60c4,767$2,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,906.9812248.4%59 W · 63 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Under65c4,758$3,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,649.433740.4%136 W · 201 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd99f…4768backed Under75c4,667$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,166.6714347.6%68 W · 75 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc78e…4718backed Under73c4,552$3,343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,209.0318739%73 W · 114 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd052…563dbacked Under56c4,548$2,547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,001.215166.7%34 W · 17 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3561…f1b7backed Over26c4,241$1,114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,113.995037.5%356 W · 594 L-1.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Over48c4,113$1,974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,974.363554.3%19 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over15c4,108$636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$635.551,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over26c4,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0401,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under69c3,929$2,705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,223.722,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x238c…57b1backed Over43c3,721$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6005356.6%30 W · 23 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6859…fb90backed Under69c3,605$2,473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,132.1417650%88 W · 88 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7acc…c5b9backed Over36c3,532$1,282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,281.5923857.6%137 W · 101 L+22.5wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+18.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8796…4b9abacked Under76c3,475$2,631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$843.42642.3%11 W · 15 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-13.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0724…9091backed Over27c3,467$936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$936.127533.3%25 W · 50 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under73c3,417$2,506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$910.582,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72f7…92f7backed Under73c3,400$2,482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$917.997346.6%34 W · 39 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa23f…7f29backed Over37c2,942$1,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,075.1515745.9%72 W · 85 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x662b…73a8backed Under74c2,703$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702.727236%98 W · 174 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb57e…ffe8backed Under73c2,595$1,894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701.7124620.3%50 W · 196 L-21.8wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-44.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4e73…ac97backed Under74c2,500$1,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64012647.6%60 W · 66 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0c0…5837backed Over40c2,500$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0007167.6%48 W · 23 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+3.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe533…ab29backed Over38c2,500$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$939.9911638.8%45 W · 71 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+19.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x368d…d853backed Over18c2,466$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.249821.4%21 W · 77 L-8.6wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-26%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Under71c2,277$1,610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.991,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x17e2…d472backed Over31c2,258$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70013736.5%50 W · 87 L+9.6wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0886…b3a6backed Over27c2,222$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60032922.5%74 W · 255 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Under60c2,211$1,327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$884.5861750.6%312 W · 305 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under75c2,167$1,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.71,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under70c2,106$1,477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629.333,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5deb…ccddbacked Over29c2,043$591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$590.635034.3%120 W · 230 L-24.0wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-33.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdcdd…73a5backed Under54c2,037$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$937.0413223.5%31 W · 101 L-9.2wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-27.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under70c2,034$1,424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609.9873536.3%267 W · 468 L-32.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Over26c2,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52030431.3%95 W · 209 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b5a…7070backed Under75c2,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5005863.8%37 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbd48…0074backed Over25c2,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5007945.6%36 W · 43 L+7.3wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+12.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd255…4676backed Over24c2,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48021450.5%108 W · 106 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Over24c2,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48040343.7%176 W · 227 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7a7…d3abbacked Over27c2,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54028526.3%75 W · 210 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8046…6ea0backed Over26c1,870$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.288723%20 W · 67 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick25cpaid+38.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc387…5a97backed Under54c1,856$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$856.310356.3%58 W · 45 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Under68c1,800$1,216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584.575335.6%268 W · 485 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69e7…0824backed Over29c1,724$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006155.7%34 W · 27 L+4.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Over25c1,700$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.985740.4%23 W · 34 L-9.7wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-32.2%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x3c32…325bbacked Under70c1,668$1,168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.49650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfba…583cbacked Over19c1,667$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.8192732.1%298 W · 629 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02c6…b27bbacked Under80c1,656$1,317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.1319649.5%97 W · 99 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x319f…500bbacked Under62c1,613$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.98951.7%46 W · 43 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-18.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Over19c1,599$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.2279149.2%389 W · 402 L+28.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc220…5012backed Over31c1,538$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.7829636.1%107 W · 189 L-0.7wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc870…eb46backed Over25c1,500$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3751241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a66…dcc2backed Under69c1,449$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.287244.4%32 W · 40 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-24.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa6f…1dfebacked Under57c1,439$821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$617.68648.8%42 W · 44 L+10.1wins+0.12per pick37cpaid+77.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over34c1,411$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.659453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xca2f…1f50backed Under71c1,408$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.452161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab63…8f4bbacked Under71c1,408$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.4512634.9%44 W · 82 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f37…281bbacked Over26c1,400$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36422813.2%30 W · 198 L+0.7wins0.00per pick13cpaid+30.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe4e…d0c6backed Over29c1,368$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40011035.5%39 W · 71 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.