TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

England vs. DR Congo: 2nd Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$12,185
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$13,339

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,185 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb17e…22bebacked Under40c970.74$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.3318543.8%81 W · 104 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked Under47c908.4$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43182537.1%306 W · 519 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over42c895.05$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.822,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under49c800.31$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.454,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5183…d4dabacked Under60c785.3$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.610549.5%52 W · 53 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e22…88a5backed Under74c641.24$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.524763.8%30 W · 17 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x969a…59ddbacked Under57c562.19$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.459247.8%44 W · 48 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4614…1c63backed Over61c536.18$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.21450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-26.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0cee…4191backed Over45c506.31$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.3910347.6%49 W · 54 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86b0…5979backed Under42c450.24$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18930%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under58c334.89$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.843,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x403c…62c8backed Over61c328.43$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.431533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-40.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc564…e89dbacked Over57c325.54$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.9811042.7%47 W · 63 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over58c304.39$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.098,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6339…141ebacked Over55c300$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13510250%51 W · 51 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under46c282.23$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.832,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb124…7380backed Over43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.5634537.1%128 W · 217 L-14.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a9f…73a7backed Under43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004953.1%26 W · 23 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Over46c226.27$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.082,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under58c221.39$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.413,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under45c188.46$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.032,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9516…0bcbbacked Over59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.4956240.6%228 W · 334 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over29c162.52$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.732,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Under58c142.66$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.7421333.3%71 W · 142 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfca6…9b3cbacked Over42c138.1$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.11163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+30%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked Over57c133.32$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.3334249.1%168 W · 174 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+33.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9b5…5e3fbacked Over48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.172744.4%12 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under58c100.63$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.372,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4619…2108backed Over58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfecb…4c05backed Over59c99.99$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418845.5%40 W · 48 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over43c88.53$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.191,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6903…b2edbacked Under65c85.66$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.684566.7%30 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Under43c84.5$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.451,14146.2%527 W · 614 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Over41c76.35$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.41,47544.9%663 W · 812 L-4.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6926…152dbacked Under53c75.47$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4027051.9%140 W · 130 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under53c62.16$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.941,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb9b2…8e7dbacked Over43c52$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.6412740.9%52 W · 75 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f65…a0adbacked Over60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2023950.2%120 W · 119 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed Over41c50$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.51,15158.5%673 W · 478 L+0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3561…f1b7backed Over60c48.5$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.495037.5%356 W · 594 L-1.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabfe…dba6backed Over43c46.51$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.519734%33 W · 64 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under47c44$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.682,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa608…2c77backed Over58c43.1$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.19959.6%59 W · 40 L+7.9wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+13%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x64ff…bdf8backed Over51c37.25$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.253046.7%14 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c6f…ed21backed Over65c30$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.653762.2%23 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-13.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xaf5f…8274backed Under58c25.75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick62cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b6f…fe71backed Over59c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.257460.8%45 W · 29 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9001…4149backed Over58c24.07$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.074744.7%21 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under53c23.62$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5283153.3%443 W · 388 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39b2…157cbacked Under54c23.54$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7117047.6%81 W · 89 L+0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over53c21.5$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.091,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa34d…b57fbacked Over57c20.79$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.8619862.1%123 W · 75 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+0.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5276…800dbacked Under61c20.22$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3312046.7%56 W · 64 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.