TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5276…800d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
228
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Middle East, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 54 out of 100; worst MLB at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT12046.7%56 W · 64 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 120 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
France vs. England: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.84
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+260.4%+$59.34
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.13
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+230.6%+$130.08
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.12
France vs. Spain: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+39.4%+$38.51
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.43
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+35.3%+$25.83
Spain vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.25
Spain vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9.21
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.73
France vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$52.14
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.49
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.91
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.29
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 12.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$6.55
United States vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$135.33
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.86
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+28.8%+$46.34
Portugal vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+37.3%+$28.49
Brazil vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$7.07
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$45.09
Brazil vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.94
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$6.87
Paraguay vs. France: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.33
Showing 25 of 120 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT4226.2%11 W · 31 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-45.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Cricket — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ODI Series Sri Lanka vs Pakistan, Women: Sri Lanka vs Pakistanbacked Pakistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.6
The Hundred: London Spirit vs Manchester Super Giantsbacked Manchester Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$447Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+27.9%+$124.82
Global Super League: Lahore Qalandars vs Perth Scorchers XIbacked Perth Scorchers XI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
ODI Series England vs India: England vs Indiabacked India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.21
Major League Cricket: San Francisco Unicorns vs Washington Freedombacked Washington Freedom · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+100%+$24.1
ODI Series West Indies vs. New Zealand: West Indies vs New Zealandbacked New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$94.51
ODI Series England vs India: England vs Indiabacked India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.1
Major League Cricket: San Francisco Unicorns vs Los Angeles Knight Ridersbacked Los Angeles Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$93.87
ODI Series England vs India: England vs Indiabacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.91
Major League Cricket: Mi New York vs Seattle Orcasbacked Mi New York · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+150.5%+$62.84
Major League Cricket: Washington Freedom vs San Francisco Unicornsbacked San Francisco Unicorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.18
T20 Series England vs India: England vs Indiabacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+172.1%+$40.25
Major League Cricket: Los Angeles Knight Riders vs Texas Super Kingsbacked Los Angeles Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+98.6%+$149.21
Major League Cricket: Los Angeles Knight Riders vs Seattle Orcasbacked Los Angeles Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$132.31
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: South Africa vs Indiabacked India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$261Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$261.34
T20 Series Bangladesh vs. Australia: Bangladesh vs Australiabacked Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$388Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$218.36
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: India vs Pakistanbacked Pakistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.3
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lankabacked West Indies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistanbacked India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+25%+$10.4
Will Kagiso Rabada win the 2026 IPL purple cap?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$38.5
Will Vaibhav Sooryavanshi win the 2026 IPL Orange Cap?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.46
Will Bhuvneshwar Kumar win the 2026 IPL purple cap?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will Sai Sudharsan win the 2026 IPL Orange Cap?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Shubman Gill win the 2026 IPL Orange Cap?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.56
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans - Who wins the toss?backed Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$83
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT2934.5%10 W · 19 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on July 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on July 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C or higher on July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.51
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on July 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.9
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on July 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.29
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on July 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.62
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 25°C on July 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or higher on July 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.5
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.79
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C on June 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.55
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on June 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+132.7%+$17.12
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on June 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.82
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on June 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.59
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on June 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$404Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+46.9%+$189.64
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on June 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$152.34
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on June 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+361.6%+$82.87
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on June 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.78
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on June 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+368.3%+$43.84
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on June 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+25.1%+$44.62
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on June 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.6
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+133.2%+$81.05
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C on June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.43
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C on June 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.07
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or below on June 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+89.3%+$73.94
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on June 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.31
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid+7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick18cpaid-55.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-45.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick31cpaid+45.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-57.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Cleveland Guardians vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$10.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jazz vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$13.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+37%+$6.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.01
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hyperliquid hit $70 in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$547Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$546.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs HAVU - Map 2 Winnerbacked ex-Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.