TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Cricket · resolved market

Major League Cricket: Los Angeles Knight Riders vs Seattle Orcas

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Seattle Orcasof Los Angeles Knight Riders, Seattle Orcas
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$95,382
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$108,335

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,382 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Cricket
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8e88…b235backed Los Angeles Knight Riders60c10,036$6,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,0022653.8%14 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4b7…6008backed Los Angeles Knight Riders61c5,719$3,471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,470.7233340.2%134 W · 199 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Seattle Orcas39c4,120$1,608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,511.1343840.9%179 W · 259 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-24.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed Seattle Orcas70c3,189$2,238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$950.7131543.2%136 W · 179 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-13.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Seattle Orcas44c2,754$1,219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,535.2710346.6%48 W · 55 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2433…99aebacked Seattle Orcas27c2,250$597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,652.4714527.6%40 W · 105 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Los Angeles Knight Riders58c2,001$1,164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,163.9149247.2%232 W · 260 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Los Angeles Knight Riders58c1,706$998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$997.745647.6%217 W · 239 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Seattle Orcas45c1,372$617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.723033.9%78 W · 152 L-18.8wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-43.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Los Angeles Knight Riders60c1,322$788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$787.7364143.1%276 W · 365 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Los Angeles Knight Riders52c1,310$686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$686.0515935.2%56 W · 103 L-11.9wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-39.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfabc…2134backed Seattle Orcas34c1,261$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$834.2312534.4%43 W · 82 L+0.5wins0.00per pick34cpaid-19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8546…35b8backed Seattle Orcas72c1,257$906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.24366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+91.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x52da…191abacked Seattle Orcas24c1,168$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$887.77825%2 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Seattle Orcas43c1,049$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.1219950.8%101 W · 98 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Los Angeles Knight Riders49c1,006$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.4456937.1%211 W · 358 L-2.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-20.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Seattle Orcas48c924.39$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.8250547.5%240 W · 265 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-16.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Seattle Orcas42c920.01$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.7122036.4%80 W · 140 L-23.6wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-37.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Seattle Orcas45c899.81$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.9415936.5%58 W · 101 L-12.5wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-27.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Seattle Orcas42c847.68$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.65532.7%18 W · 37 L-5.0wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-41.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x20b4…bfa2backed Seattle Orcas47c800.38$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.571540%6 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97e5…d1f0backed Seattle Orcas49c763.71$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.612737.8%48 W · 79 L+0.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d38…71efbacked Los Angeles Knight Riders73c745.89$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Seattle Orcas42c713.95$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.3111545.2%52 W · 63 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x468a…c764backed Los Angeles Knight Riders74c620.69$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.31333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick69cpaid-41.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Seattle Orcas41c588.59$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.329746.4%45 W · 52 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e12…d0ecbacked Seattle Orcas17c573$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.3813418.7%25 W · 109 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick16cpaid+106.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Seattle Orcas50c550$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.12941.4%12 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Los Angeles Knight Riders59c541.62$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.2217459.8%104 W · 70 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd73a…0f4ebacked Los Angeles Knight Riders55c506.9$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.654637%17 W · 29 L-8.0wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-34.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Los Angeles Knight Riders55c469$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.664940.8%20 W · 29 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0646…ad17backed Los Angeles Knight Riders14c452$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.2832415.7%51 W · 273 L+13.9wins+0.04per pick11cpaid+75.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Seattle Orcas47c446.1$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.3631940.1%128 W · 191 L-14.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-25.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2cc2…c4b3backed Seattle Orcas40c443.95$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.072853.6%15 W · 13 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+26%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7090…a5ffbacked Los Angeles Knight Riders51c389.98$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.3921439.7%85 W · 129 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bbc…90d5backed Seattle Orcas27c370.37$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.377842.3%33 W · 45 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Seattle Orcas43c344.79$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.7311153.2%59 W · 52 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Seattle Orcas36c313.39$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.31540%6 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbbc…78a1backed Los Angeles Knight Riders50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504119.5%8 W · 33 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-51.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5276…800dbacked Los Angeles Knight Riders56c236.27$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.314226.2%11 W · 31 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-45.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Los Angeles Knight Riders46c230.75$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.0415650.6%79 W · 77 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ee4…ed67backed Los Angeles Knight Riders59c215$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.512748.1%13 W · 14 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+70.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e02…d70abacked Seattle Orcas44c178.84$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.2536445.6%166 W · 198 L+11.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Los Angeles Knight Riders69c167$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.8424940.6%101 W · 148 L-15.6wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-23.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x68da…37b5backed Seattle Orcas28c166.07$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.613250%16 W · 16 L+3.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+38.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1f19…f012backed Los Angeles Knight Riders65c158.46$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1031942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick48cpaid+10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc869…bc8dbacked Seattle Orcas39c154.62$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.6217444.8%78 W · 96 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0e3…c760backed Seattle Orcas39c152.49$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.49742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-1.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Los Angeles Knight Riders53c147.11$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.973557.1%20 W · 15 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+19.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x16c8…1badbacked Seattle Orcas56c133.63$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.572846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc396…d01bbacked Los Angeles Knight Riders60c125$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7540%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xed31…d9c8backed Seattle Orcas27c123.09$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.862864.3%18 W · 10 L+5.6wins+0.20per pick44cpaid+62.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Los Angeles Knight Riders55c116.5$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.08520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick54cpaid-71%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Seattle Orcas46c114$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.8315550.3%78 W · 77 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x59d8…ad87backed Los Angeles Knight Riders54c111.31$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.011546.7%7 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ea…9496backed Seattle Orcas45c106.73$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.77665.8%50 W · 26 L+7.4wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+19.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfee8…9197backed Los Angeles Knight Riders52c102.66$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.381741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ce2…d48cbacked Seattle Orcas48c102.66$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.3818745.5%85 W · 102 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9315…afc1backed Seattle Orcas72c96.99$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.99887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.17per pick70cpaid+35%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0297…e67fbacked Los Angeles Knight Riders50c90.58$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x362c…67e6backed Seattle Orcas35c88.99$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.695752.6%30 W · 27 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Seattle Orcas14c85$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.13698.7%32 W · 337 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick9cpaid-45.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Seattle Orcas26c76.62$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.841947.5%199 W · 220 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5817…987dbacked Seattle Orcas40c73.49$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.0417943.6%78 W · 101 L-13.3wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6d30…ce29backed Seattle Orcas57c73.4$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.2720363.5%129 W · 74 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xac71…f74cbacked Los Angeles Knight Riders69c68.44$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.221546.7%7 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.17per pick64cpaid-28.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1d1f…9ef1backed Seattle Orcas36c67.82$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.12646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Seattle Orcas56c65.46$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.044654.3%25 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Seattle Orcas46c64.71$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.7220936.8%77 W · 132 L+0.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82e7…c61cbacked Los Angeles Knight Riders79c63.54$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5019265.6%126 W · 66 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac4d…066dbacked Seattle Orcas48c53.67$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6722647.3%107 W · 119 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Seattle Orcas45c51.1$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.0711748.7%57 W · 60 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf928…ea32backed Seattle Orcas40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303855.3%21 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf45f…ef73backed Seattle Orcas45c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.57143.7%31 W · 40 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d30…363cbacked Seattle Orcas35c49$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.8510325.2%26 W · 77 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x360e…c462backed Seattle Orcas53c48.29$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.914531.1%14 W · 31 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Los Angeles Knight Riders52c48.25$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.0738844.6%173 W · 215 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x125a…df71backed Los Angeles Knight Riders75c48$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368965.2%58 W · 31 L+8.1wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+17.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x28f6…79c0backed Los Angeles Knight Riders46c47$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6130%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Los Angeles Knight Riders57c47$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.918052.8%95 W · 85 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Los Angeles Knight Riders51c43.4$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.2225848.4%125 W · 133 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9dd…ca07backed Seattle Orcas40c42.57$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.6714343.4%62 W · 81 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbcc…edc9backed Los Angeles Knight Riders66c39.09$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.656674.2%49 W · 17 L+5.8wins+0.09per pick65cpaid+10.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Seattle Orcas48c36.12$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.715966%105 W · 54 L+16.5wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+11.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed Seattle Orcas43c36.01$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.41637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x860c…418dbacked Los Angeles Knight Riders71c35$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Seattle Orcas73c34$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.1818642.5%79 W · 107 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6fc…38d5backed Los Angeles Knight Riders60c31.92$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199140.7%37 W · 54 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7db…6688backed Los Angeles Knight Riders63c31.88$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.97250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+21.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd93d…27a0backed Los Angeles Knight Riders56c31.16$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.455352.8%28 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85c0…d9cfbacked Los Angeles Knight Riders75c26.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2022843.9%100 W · 128 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Seattle Orcas42c26.4$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.4476351.6%394 W · 369 L+29.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d91…ac49backed Los Angeles Knight Riders55c26.16$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.397653.9%41 W · 35 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98b3…33aabacked Seattle Orcas42c25.4$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+140%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Seattle Orcas46c25.09$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.5427029.6%80 W · 190 L-9.5wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-34%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Seattle Orcas55c25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.253056.7%17 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c0f…b0ecbacked Los Angeles Knight Riders52c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1312141.3%50 W · 71 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe28…3c60backed Los Angeles Knight Riders64c23.43$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1519843.4%86 W · 112 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca8b…d796backed Los Angeles Knight Riders71c19$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.492378.3%18 W · 5 L+3.0wins+0.13per pick65cpaid+14.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xabcf…17b7backed Los Angeles Knight Riders67c18.17$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.171154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.