TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0d38…71ef

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
93
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: NHL, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 55 out of 100; worst La Liga at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT2544%11 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.41
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+211.1%+$150.12
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$69
Spread: Thunder (-3.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spurs vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+186.6%+$21.54
Spread: Kings (-6.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Magic vs. Hawksbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$71
Spread: Hawks (-3.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+94.3%+$31.13
Magic vs. Hawks: O/U 232.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Kings (-2.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$13.85
Jazz vs. Kings: O/U 230.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Jazz vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$21.72
Warriors vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+54.4%+$15.98
Spread: Nuggets (-3.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Nuggets vs. Lakers: O/U 241.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Magic vs. Heat: O/U 237.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Heat (-3.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Magic vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Magic vs. Heat: O/U 235.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.94
Nets vs. 76ers: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$21.67
Spread: 76ers (-8.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+93.8%+$18.76
Pelicans vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$10.69
Spread: Raptors (-4.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$21.3
Suns vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$16.15
Nuggets vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 25 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2142.9%9 W · 12 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick34cpaid+19.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.86
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+578%+$260.08
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+148.1%+$50.35
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$26.92
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+133.1%+$22.5
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+290.5%+$43.57
Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+149.1%+$184.83
Will Australia win on 2026-06-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$13.29
Will Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Portugal vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.22
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+36.1%+$5.05
Will Austria win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Senegal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$67
Exact Score: France 1 - 0 Senegal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+203%+$60.91
All 21 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+18%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pozoblanco: Chris Rodesch vs Oliver Crawfordbacked Chris Rodesch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+58.5%+$57.16
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Zizou Bergs vs Toby Samuelbacked Toby Samuel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$340
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimovabacked Harriet Dart · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierrabacked Solana Sierra · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.85
ITF Guimaraes: Katherine Sebov vs Chelsea Fontenelbacked Chelsea Fontenel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs James Duckworthbacked Jiri Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+59.1%+$10.05
Roland Garros ATP: Jaime Faria vs Frances Tiafoebacked Jaime Faria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$334Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$333.86
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Martin Landalucebacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+300.5%+$131.03
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Francisco Comesanabacked Matteo Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+133.1%+$71.88
Little Rock: Michael Mmoh vs Bernard Tomicbacked Michael Mmoh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+41.2%+$7.01
Little Rock: Enzo Aguiard vs Andre Ilaganbacked Andre Ilagan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.79
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Tommy Paulbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+59.5%+$8.93
All 12 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+79.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rangers vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$133
Rangers vs. Jets: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+42.1%+$12.64
Spread: Maple Leafs (-1.5)backed Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+310.7%+$46.6
Ducks vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$44.34
Flames vs. Devilsbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$21.54
All 5 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+58.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+73%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick20cpaid+26%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.03
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+152%+$76
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid-20.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+58.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-31.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AA Argentinos Juniors win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+36.2%+$28.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.98
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Howard Bison vs. UMBC Retrieversbacked UMBC Retrievers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.87
Howard Bison vs. UMBC Retrievers: O/U 140.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.88
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RCD Mallorca vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.06
RCD Mallorca vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.64
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance Qualifierbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+70.6%+$21.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seattle Storm vs. Toronto Tempobacked Seattle Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the S&P 500 Index lose at least 5% on any day in Q1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Conor McGregor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. VfL Wolfsburg end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Major League Cricket: Los Angeles Knight Riders vs Seattle Orcasbacked Los Angeles Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$545Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$545
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.