NBA · resolved market
Spread: Kings (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x17920f637e2e04e219b73e125f47fdb96156d4ebb0c0183214b273bb7a3ab595
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Netsof Kings, Nets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $308,821
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $308,821 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 191 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Nets | 49c | 125,278$61,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63,891.9 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Kings | 51c | 88,021$44,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,890.71 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Kings | 51c | 30,159$15,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,331.62 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Nets | 50c | 27,351$13,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,675.5 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Kings | 50c | 21,552$10,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,828.34 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Kings | 50c | 19,308$9,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,721.59 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Nets | 49c | 18,966$9,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,672.5 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Kings | 47c | 16,562$7,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,757.89 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nets | 55c | 9,474$5,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,287.56 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x410d…d831backed Kings | 51c | 8,785$4,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,480.35 | 113 | 35.4%40 W · 73 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Nets | 49c | 8,200$4,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,182.1 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Kings | 51c | 8,000$4,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,080 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Nets | 49c | 7,000$3,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,570 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Kings | 51c | 6,870$3,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,497.6 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Nets | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 297 | 48.1%143 W · 154 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Nets | 49c | 5,034$2,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,546.13 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Nets | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9723…36f5backed Kings | 50c | 4,222$2,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,111 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Kings | 50c | 4,065$2,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,032.68 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0d0…9231backed Kings | 50c | 4,055$2,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,047.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x394e…b4b5backed Kings | 50c | 4,022$2,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,011 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddf7…03b7backed Kings | 50c | 4,015$2,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,007.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Kings | 51c | 3,919$1,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,993.84 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1807…2874backed Kings | 50c | 3,786$1,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,893 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Nets | 50c | 3,756$1,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,878.24 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed62…58e8backed Kings | 50c | 3,755$1,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,877.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6420…4d4fbacked Kings | 50c | 3,401$1,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c96…cda2backed Kings | 50c | 3,266$1,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,636.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Nets | 50c | 2,713$1,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,356.5 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf54…1021backed Nets | 50c | 2,616$1,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,308 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9322…8139backed Nets | 50c | 2,415$1,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,207.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f86…a9dfbacked Nets | 50c | 2,401$1,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbefb…cc1ebacked Nets | 50c | 2,213$1,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,106.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Kings | 50c | 2,059$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029.43 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98b2…5801backed Nets | 50c | 2,033$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,016.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Nets | 49c | 2,033$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034.64 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33ad…4458backed Nets | 50c | 2,011$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed6f…dff4backed Nets | 50c | 2,011$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f12…a85cbacked Nets | 50c | 2,002$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf606…440abacked Kings | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7726…4627backed Kings | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Kings | 50c | 1,989$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.02 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6734…2e18backed Nets | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1433backed Nets | 50c | 1,944$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Kings | 50c | 1,941$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.47 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf735…9324backed Nets | 50c | 1,866$933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Nets | 51c | 1,835$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897.2 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd9…7582backed Nets | 50c | 1,811$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$905.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68d8…4cc6backed Kings | 50c | 1,722$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861 | 144 | 55.6%80 W · 64 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2579…9d48backed Kings | 50c | 1,700$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 193 | 59.6%115 W · 78 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80f9…f866backed Nets | 50c | 1,689$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d14…7731backed Nets | 50c | 1,688$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Kings | 50c | 1,655$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.13 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a9e…77b2backed Nets | 50c | 1,602$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Nets | 51c | 1,580$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.39 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9199…e2b4backed Nets | 50c | 1,414$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Nets | 51c | 1,262$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.51 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Kings | 52c | 1,146$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596 | 288 | 38.2%110 W · 178 L | -17.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbce5…02f1backed Kings | 48c | 1,100$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528 | 186 | 51.6%96 W · 90 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked Kings | 50c | 1,017$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.59 | 238 | 50%119 W · 119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde79…2a1bbacked Kings | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 173 | 49.7%86 W · 87 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Kings | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb846…eb61backed Nets | 50c | 850$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c60…dd37backed Nets | 50c | 806$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f3…e4a1backed Kings | 51c | 746$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.46 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Nets | 48c | 700$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364 | 493 | 45.2%223 W · 270 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x108c…122dbacked Kings | 51c | 597$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.47 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -10.1wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Kings | 50c | 594.72$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.3 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Kings | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nets | 51c | 550.2$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.22 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Nets | 51c | 521.57$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.57 | 476 | 51.7%246 W · 230 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed Kings | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 229 | 53.7%123 W · 106 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Nets | 50c | 497.68$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.94 | 920 | 58%534 W · 386 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Kings | 50c | 470$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09c0…9740backed Nets | 50c | 460$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Nets | 54c | 423.64$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.13 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Nets | 51c | 420.25$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.92 | 514 | 38.7%199 W · 315 L | -29.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06d0…7ee5backed Kings | 51c | 403.15$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.61 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f52…c525backed Nets | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Kings | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 403 | 44.4%179 W · 224 L | -23.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4be…a13dbacked Kings | 52c | 378.85$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Nets | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Kings | 50c | 364$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f04…6a54backed Kings | 45c | 307.17$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.48 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -4.4wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe60c…d2e2backed Kings | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 141 | 45.4%64 W · 77 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Kings | 51c | 294.96$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.43 | 238 | 50.4%120 W · 118 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Nets | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.12 | 909 | 57.6%524 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Kings | 50c | 289.49$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.27 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Kings | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 395 | 52.2%206 W · 189 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb89b…a39dbacked Kings | 52c | 269$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.88 | 114 | 53.5%61 W · 53 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Nets | 61c | 209.49$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.1 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Nets | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc03a…d7c4backed Nets | 49c | 202.04$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.04 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Kings | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 661 | 53.3%352 W · 309 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…4856backed Kings | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 241 | 51%123 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Nets | 51c | 198.32$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.76 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Kings | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 177 | 58.2%103 W · 74 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Nets | 49c | 193.77$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.87 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Nets | 59c | 192.01$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.68 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x354f…95f8backed Nets | 53c | 189.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.58 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Kings (-6.5)this page
- Danny Wolf: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Maxime Raynaud: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Nets vs. KingsKings won
- Nets vs. Kings: 1H MoneylineNets won
- Nets vs. Kings: 1H O/U 111.5Over won
- Nets vs. Kings: 1H O/U 112.5Over won
- Nets vs. Kings: O/U 215.5Over won
- Nets vs. Kings: O/U 216.5Over won
- Nets vs. Kings: O/U 218.5Over won
- Nets vs. Kings: O/U 219.5Over won
- Nets vs. Kings: O/U 221.5Over won
- Nets vs. Kings: O/U 222.5Over won
- Nets vs. Kings: O/U 226.5Over won
- Nique Clifford: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Kings (-2.5)Kings won
- Spread: Kings (-4.5)Nets won
- Spread: Kings (-5.5)Nets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.