TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Nets vs. Kings: O/U 219.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$439,264

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $439,264 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 774 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdfe1…6657backed Over48c35,412$16,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,414.24785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.7wins+0.39per pick47cpaid+81.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc503…9cbcbacked Over48c34,950$16,776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,1747100%7 W · 0 L+3.6wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+103.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x1a4b…f440backed Under52c31,784$16,528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,527.68785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.36per pick50cpaid+72.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x756a…d380backed Over48c27,041$12,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,061.32785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.7wins+0.38per pick48cpaid+78.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa729…9326backed Over48c23,800$11,424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,3764949%24 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbaaf…6c3dbacked Under52c22,512$11,706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,706.241070%7 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+33.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeda6…ca21backed Over48c20,817$9,992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,824.84771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+44.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa85f…342cbacked Over48c18,140$8,707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,432.84100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc8de…ab92backed Over48c17,765$8,527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,237.84100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+103.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe7c1…d928backed Under52c17,310$9,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,001.2475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick50cpaid+54.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xba03…3efbbacked Under52c15,264$7,937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,937.28475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+48.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd684…ac07backed Under52c14,842$7,718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,717.84475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+48.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b8c…0f22backed Over48c13,120$6,298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,822.4785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.37per pick48cpaid+76.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdda7…59f5backed Over48c10,413$4,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,414.763100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+111.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb944…2defbacked Over48c9,791$4,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,091.321258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972e…40c9backed Over48c9,309$4,468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,840.681060%6 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd779…7cf7backed Over48c8,835$4,241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,594.2955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57f0…7182backed Under52c8,714$4,531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,531.28366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+38.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e77…6ad9backed Under52c8,406$4,371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,371.12475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+53.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9441…91a1backed Under52c8,290$4,311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,310.8771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+43.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0dd5…8ec8backed Under52c8,260$4,295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,295.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+32.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe735…0ee5backed Under52c7,774$4,042 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,042.48560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdaa8…20a0backed Over48c6,345$3,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,299.41566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+33.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Over55c6,000$3,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,700.0532846.6%153 W · 175 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf491…04f4backed Over48c5,112$2,454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,658.24450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a55…3858backed Over48c4,928$2,365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,562.56666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+35.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32c5…042cbacked Over48c4,905$2,354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,550.6683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick51cpaid+71%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x97ed…6ac1backed Over48c4,793$2,301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,492.36560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+21.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5e7…7d3dbacked Under52c4,771$2,481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,480.92250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x596d…6c5fbacked Under52c4,767$2,479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,478.84250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf523…8f8bbacked Under52c4,660$2,423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,423.18250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6b1…6297backed Over48c4,655$2,234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,420.6683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.35per pick49cpaid+73%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x032c…aacfbacked Under52c4,639$2,412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,412.28250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3113…043bbacked Under52c4,633$2,409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,409.16250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bf6…64f1backed Over48c4,588$2,202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,385.76757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+15.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90ab…2a75backed Over48c4,577$2,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,380.04875%6 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+48.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1011…7dddbacked Under52c4,572$2,377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,377.44450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x626a…39e2backed Over48c4,564$2,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,373.28862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick42cpaid+31.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8d42…7671backed Over48c4,560$2,189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,371.21154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9de…2a09backed Over48c4,560$2,189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,371.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58bf…66b4backed Under52c4,536$2,359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,358.72250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a47…3ee3backed Over48c4,522$2,171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,351.44560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+23.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5051…7810backed Under52c4,507$2,344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,343.64250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9a3…dc96backed Over48c4,491$2,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,335.32875%6 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.26per pick50cpaid+52.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7bdd…144fbacked Over48c4,485$2,153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,332.2887.5%7 W · 1 L+3.2wins+0.40per pick48cpaid+86.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa8e2…a5f7backed Over48c4,483$2,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,331.16683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick51cpaid+66.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x187d…3735backed Under52c4,474$2,326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,326.48250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x064f…ff5bbacked Under52c4,452$2,315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,315.04250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8208…2c44backed Under52c4,425$2,301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,301250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c4f…ed50backed Under52c4,425$2,301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,301250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d5a…874cbacked Over48c4,390$2,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,282.8450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5909…2dadbacked Under52c4,370$2,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,272.4560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+25%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8667…b622backed Over48c4,361$2,093 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,267.72475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+54.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf17…6821backed Under52c4,335$2,254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,254.2250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd89a…0ecabacked Over48c4,332$2,079 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,252.64757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x635e…3244backed Under52c4,288$2,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,229.76250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb101…1bb3backed Over48c4,276$2,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,223.52955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+13.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x619f…a136backed Under52c4,268$2,219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,219.36366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xffbe…7409backed Under52c4,236$2,203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,202.72333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e8…090dbacked Over48c4,235$2,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,202.2683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.30per pick54cpaid+58.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xee1c…e520backed Under52c4,233$2,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,201.16333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe40d…edfabacked Under52c4,229$2,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,199.08333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87a8…4ac5backed Over48c4,227$2,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,198.04560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb0f…0ba0backed Under52c4,215$2,192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,191.8450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeca9…ebfbbacked Under52c4,209$2,189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,188.68250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3063…6d8abacked Under52c4,205$2,187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,186.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcec6…6e31backed Over48c4,190$2,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,178.8977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.26per pick52cpaid+51.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x51a6…ec26backed Under52c4,176$2,172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,171.52366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb686…799abacked Under52c4,161$2,164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,163.72250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbb3…c0cebacked Under52c4,160$2,163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,163.2450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b6c…4634backed Over48c4,157$1,995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,161.64650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6aa1…66a2backed Under52c4,141$2,153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,153.32366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+32.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6a4…1c50backed Under52c4,140$2,153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,152.8560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd23…4746backed Under52c4,136$2,151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,150.72450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7c4…3acdbacked Under52c4,130$2,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,147.6650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-17.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f23…16bcbacked Under52c4,117$2,141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,140.84666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+41.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc458…ecb0backed Under52c4,069$2,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,115.88333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x426c…132dbacked Under52c4,068$2,115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,115.36250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41d5…fdc1backed Over48c4,067$1,952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,114.846100%6 W · 0 L+3.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+103.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x50e2…d106backed Over48c4,046$1,942 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,103.92757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf160…7b6ebacked Under52c4,046$2,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,103.92333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ca7…dc2dbacked Over48c4,023$1,931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,091.96540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-19.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xffe2…ffc7backed Under52c4,016$2,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,088.32333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa60e…6ab6backed Under52c3,985$2,072 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,072.2333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8cf…a084backed Under52c3,950$2,054 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,054333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10a5…484abacked Over48c3,943$1,893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,050.36887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.8wins+0.36per pick52cpaid+70.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xda3e…8ccebacked Over48c3,933$1,888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,045.16580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+48.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ec6…92b8backed Under52c3,930$2,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,043.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+32.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98ab…3195backed Under52c3,928$2,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,042.56366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+35.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf742…a2b7backed Under52c3,924$2,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,040.48250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26c4…990bbacked Under52c3,866$2,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,010.32250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xace9…77aebacked Under52c3,846$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.92250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d83…720dbacked Under52c3,424$1,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,780.4820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2222…0849backed Under52c3,213$1,671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,670.7620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e3a…3246backed Under45c2,991$1,346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,345.7319954.8%109 W · 90 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf713…09f8backed Over48c2,909$1,396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,512.68742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3297…15fcbacked Under52c2,769$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,439.88475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+64.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2274…e103backed Under52c2,650$1,378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,378475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+60.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9322…8139backed Over48c2,563$1,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,332.762100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1056…c287backed Over48c2,547$1,223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,324.44560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+21.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.