NBA · resolved market

Spread: Kings (-4.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2fbfa34a0a91f3ea4a91b7328caabef8977513add9037a7e85d87a79639bcdde

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Netsof Kings, Nets
Resolved: Mar 22, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $345,107

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $345,107 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 183 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xbddf…c684backed Nets	42c	142,518$59,858 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82,660.7	726	48.3%351 W · 375 L	+30.5wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+11%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Kings	58c	123,039$71,339 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71,338.88	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa729…9326backed Nets	43c	120,500$51,815 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68,685	49	49%24 W · 25 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc780…4397backed Kings	57c	22,932$13,071 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,071.24	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+1.6wins	+0.22per pick	49cpaid	+51.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed Kings	58c	17,691$10,261 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,260.73	41	48.8%20 W · 21 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb249…4151backed Kings	57c	15,532$8,853 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,853.24	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.0wins	+0.24per pick	51cpaid	+52.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Kings	46c	8,587$3,975 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,975.37	172	49.4%85 W · 87 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Nets	44c	7,993$3,517 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,476.18	1,910	54.3%1,038 W · 872 L	+25.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dac…867dbacked Kings	57c	7,911$4,509 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,509.27	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.0wins	+0.25per pick	51cpaid	+55.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaec5…b4cebacked Kings	57c	6,678$3,806 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,806.46	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.9wins	+0.15per pick	51cpaid	+33.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e1e…bb68backed Kings	54c	5,530$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,000	95	56.8%54 W · 41 L	+3.1wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Kings	57c	5,282$3,011 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,010.65	1,332	51.2%682 W · 650 L	+7.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Nets	52c	5,039$2,638 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,401.24	2,153	51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L	+76.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Nets	48c	4,261$2,045 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,215.89	286	49.7%142 W · 144 L	-8.0wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc024…85e2backed Kings	57c	4,104$2,339 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,339.28	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdebd…8509backed Kings	57c	4,023$2,293 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,293.11	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Nets	42c	4,000$1,680 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,319.99	795	49.7%395 W · 400 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb4b7…60c6backed Kings	57c	3,982$2,270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,269.74	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.4wins	+0.28per pick	52cpaid	+57.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xae0b…11d0backed Kings	57c	3,981$2,269 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,269.17	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe3cf…38b4backed Kings	57c	3,886$2,215 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,215.02	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3e09…452ebacked Kings	57c	3,880$2,212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,211.6	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7c1c…ae9abacked Kings	57c	3,826$2,181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,180.82	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x48fe…4cdcbacked Kings	57c	3,822$2,179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,178.54	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x124c…d619backed Kings	57c	3,653$2,082 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,082.21	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.29per pick	62cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Kings	54c	3,609$1,947 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,946.67	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f51…b718backed Kings	57c	3,512$2,002 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,001.84	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb044…8c94backed Kings	57c	3,437$1,959 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,959.09	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+1.9wins	+0.32per pick	51cpaid	+66.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xacc8…bca6backed Kings	57c	3,409$1,943 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,943.13	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.5wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9f2…ad48backed Kings	57c	3,307$1,885 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,884.99	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Kings	56c	2,953$1,642 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,642.18	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1690…8c4dbacked Kings	58c	2,759$1,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,600	70	64.3%45 W · 25 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	65cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Kings	55c	2,723$1,496 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,496.42	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7971…dce9backed Kings	57c	2,701$1,540 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,539.52	6	50%3 W · 3 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2b11…c24ebacked Kings	57c	2,494$1,422 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,421.58	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.16per pick	36cpaid	-60%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ba9…b9f7backed Kings	57c	2,368$1,350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,349.76	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+0.5wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Kings	50c	2,352$1,176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,176	773	48.5%375 W · 398 L	+7.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d3d…3165backed Kings	58c	2,341$1,352 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,352.14	31	29%9 W · 22 L	-6.7wins	-0.22per pick	51cpaid	-45.6%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Nets	45c	2,071$930 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,141.3	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd31a…deb3backed Kings	57c	2,061$1,175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,174.77	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.1wins	-0.27per pick	52cpaid	-50%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e5d…de5bbacked Kings	57c	1,989$1,134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,133.73	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.9wins	+0.15per pick	51cpaid	+34.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x927c…3e4bbacked Kings	57c	1,775$1,012 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,011.75	6	50%3 W · 3 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6edd…acd1backed Kings	57c	1,710$975 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$974.69	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.14per pick	52cpaid	+33.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Nets	47c	1,404$660 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$744.26	492	46.3%228 W · 264 L	-15.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef99…ef8dbacked Kings	53c	1,368$725 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$725.26	99	52.5%52 W · 47 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fdc…b93dbacked Kings	57c	1,279$729 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$729.03	4	50%2 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe156…134bbacked Nets	44c	1,275$561 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$713.83	112	35.7%40 W · 72 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcbb2…a3bbbacked Kings	57c	1,212$691 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$690.84	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+1.5wins	+0.21per pick	50cpaid	+44.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Nets	52c	1,201$619 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$581.98	1,915	49.3%944 W · 971 L	+19.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb846…eb61backed Nets	43c	1,163$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$662.79	25	60%15 W · 10 L	+3.0wins	+0.12per pick	48cpaid	+22.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa36b…242dbacked Kings	58c	974.81$568 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$567.9	12	50%6 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Nets	46c	921.18$421 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$500.33	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Nets	43c	835.46$355 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$480.3	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Kings	54c	825.92$449 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$449.06	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Nets	60c	815$489 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$326	956	51.5%492 W · 464 L	+23.9wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Nets	49c	803.08$390 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$412.66	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f82…9b01backed Kings	53c	559$296 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$296.22	166	35.5%59 W · 107 L	-8.4wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3860…0efcbacked Kings	53c	539.23$286 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$285.79	129	50.4%65 W · 64 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Nets	50c	517.31$259 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$258.66	1,157	47.9%554 W · 603 L	-19.9wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c67…a0e0backed Nets	60c	500$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200	296	46.6%138 W · 158 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Kings	49c	469.98$231 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230.79	2,400	43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L	-82.9wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9385…2484backed Nets	48c	468.36$225 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$243.68	93	52.7%49 W · 44 L	+6.5wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Kings	57c	444.44$253 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$253.33	584	50.2%293 W · 291 L	+6.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Nets	48c	418.03$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$218.03	219	50.2%110 W · 109 L	+8.2wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Kings	49c	410.82$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	954	52.3%499 W · 455 L	-17.4wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2271…8170backed Kings	50c	400$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	181	47%85 W · 96 L	-8.6wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x348a…9c6bbacked Nets	47c	390.16$185 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$205.16	96	37.5%36 W · 60 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x2cb5…6e63backed Nets	56c	346.38$194 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$152.31	46	58.7%27 W · 19 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Kings	58c	344.82$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	762	50.4%384 W · 378 L	+3.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xd0c7…4459backed Nets	53c	341.87$180 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$161.87	117	53.8%63 W · 54 L	-8.1wins	-0.07per pick	61cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7f52…c525backed Nets	43c	300$129 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$171	141	52.5%74 W · 67 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66df…7ea5backed Kings	58c	258.62$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	95	55.8%53 W · 42 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x47a3…ec5dbacked Kings	57c	242$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.94	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.9wins	+0.12per pick	51cpaid	+24.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Nets	43c	232.56$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$132.56	293	45.7%134 W · 159 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde51…b01ebacked Nets	46c	225.99$104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122.46	42	40.5%17 W · 25 L	-4.0wins	-0.09per pick	50cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2db1…45e5backed Kings	54c	222.22$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	248	49.6%123 W · 125 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2144…0a81backed Nets	43c	209.3$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$119.3	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+1.4wins	+0.14per pick	46cpaid	+29.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Kings	54c	202$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.08	775	49.2%381 W · 394 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd448…f700backed Kings	57c	190$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.3	109	53.2%58 W · 51 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6abc…bd1bbacked Kings	54c	183.97$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	145	49%71 W · 74 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a43…3898backed Kings	58c	172.71$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	36	52.8%19 W · 17 L	+1.3wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Nets	63c	168$106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.62	619	57.5%356 W · 263 L	+21.6wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b9e…eb82backed Nets	43c	167.19$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95.3	342	48.8%167 W · 175 L	+12.5wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8778…83b5backed Nets	43c	166.19$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94.73	86	53.5%46 W · 40 L	+4.2wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Kings	49c	160.76$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.42	1,633	41.2%672 W · 961 L	+26.3wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef86…5afcbacked Kings	57c	160$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.2	133	52.6%70 W · 63 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Nets	45c	144.01$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.25	786	48.7%383 W · 403 L	+6.1wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Nets	54c	141.46$76 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65	1,522	49.6%755 W · 767 L	+27.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2986…763bbacked Kings	50c	141.12$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.56	337	48.1%162 W · 175 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdade…8e37backed Nets	54c	139.69$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.69	59	39%23 W · 36 L	-3.2wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ee2…e318backed Nets	43c	131$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.67	4	100%4 W · 0 L	+1.8wins	+0.45per pick	56cpaid	+90.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Kings	56c	124.23$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.57	2,736	46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L	-67.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe50c…8d26backed Kings	32c	123.11$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.82	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+1.1wins	+0.09per pick	49cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b37…3b3ebacked Kings	53c	120.11$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.66	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Nets	51c	118.06$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.83	3,341	53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L	+108.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Kings	47c	117.76$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.06	3,120	44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L	-7.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x927f…b921backed Nets	43c	116.28$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.28	124	46.8%58 W · 66 L	-3.6wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d40…4559backed Kings	57c	110$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.7	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.1wins	-0.27per pick	52cpaid	-47.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf791…f982backed Kings	57c	110$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.7	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+1.3wins	+0.14per pick	52cpaid	+29.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Nets	48c	104.17$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.17	653	49.9%326 W · 327 L	+20.2wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd8d6…980dbacked Kings	57c	102$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.14	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.52per pick	52cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Kings (-4.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event