TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Nets vs. Kings: O/U 218.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$268,246

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $268,246 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 237 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x37c1…c53abacked Over50c52,728$26,322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,406.011,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43b6…9a9bbacked Under50c43,673$21,871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,8715030%15 W · 35 L-6.0wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-36.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0936…6c02backed Under50c26,718$13,359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,3595341.5%22 W · 31 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over51c25,000$12,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,249.961,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under49c16,013$7,861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,860.659,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed Over50c15,781$7,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,890.417250.6%87 W · 85 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over50c15,566$7,774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,791.694,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Over50c13,965$6,983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,982.51,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Under50c11,200$5,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,60049246.3%228 W · 264 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc43…96d3backed Under50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0006654.5%36 W · 30 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x001a…1fb9backed Under50c8,083$4,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,024.531643.4%137 W · 179 L-18.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Under49c7,149$3,503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,50321943.4%95 W · 124 L-12.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over51c6,896$3,517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,379.081,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa800…bd7abacked Over51c6,793$3,464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,328.534456.8%25 W · 19 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+7.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Over49c6,724$3,328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,396.4687750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72fa…249bbacked Under50c5,700$2,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,850837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb5a4…5780backed Over52c5,489$2,854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,634.763135.5%11 W · 20 L-3.9wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-23.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3c75…329abacked Over51c5,000$2,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4505750.9%29 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ea2…9ad4backed Over50c4,600$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,30012855.5%71 W · 57 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6eb…5402backed Under50c4,518$2,259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,25911159.5%66 W · 45 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc214…933abacked Under51c4,515$2,303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,302.65250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3336…f141backed Under51c4,402$2,245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,245.0220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x297f…b7f8backed Under51c4,322$2,204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,204.2220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb9b4…75a0backed Under49c4,082$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0008154.3%44 W · 37 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Over50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,00079549.7%395 W · 400 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00038946%179 W · 210 L-13.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Under50c3,910$1,945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,944.730446.7%142 W · 162 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under49c3,906$1,907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,906.64,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Over50c3,113$1,557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,556.5457950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde79…2a1bbacked Under50c3,108$1,554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,55417349.7%86 W · 87 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under49c3,015$1,477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,477.32,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7cde…b97dbacked Over51c3,000$1,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,47012251.6%63 W · 59 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under50c2,925$1,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,450.22,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under49c2,806$1,386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,385.914,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55bd…df16backed Over49c2,535$1,242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,292.852100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa218…2fd9backed Under51c2,530$1,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,290.3250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under40c2,517$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.818,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31e7…a5bdbacked Under51c2,511$1,281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,280.6120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x540e…8902backed Over49c2,456$1,203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,252.56250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a7b…7cb0backed Over49c2,411$1,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,220.05250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd179…a981backed Over49c2,352$1,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,199.52250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under50c2,352$1,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,175.652,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8795…22cabacked Over49c2,322$1,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,184.222100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c7b…b0c4backed Over49c2,311$1,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,178.61250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under50c2,300$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,15048546.4%225 W · 260 L-14.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Under50c2,280$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1402,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ec0…86bbbacked Under51c2,267$1,156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,156.1720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6921…8bd6backed Over49c2,255$1,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,150.052100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+98.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbab3…12f0backed Under51c2,147$1,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,094.97250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafd3…8503backed Over49c2,121$1,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,081.71250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Under49c2,067$1,018 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,018.0170246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77fe…551dbacked Under50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00024450%122 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe192…417fbacked Under51c1,933$986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$985.8320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Over48c1,860$897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$963.351,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Under50c1,847$924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$923.534851.7%180 W · 168 L+1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under50c1,774$887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$887.041,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over50c1,765$886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$879.53,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed Under50c1,700$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85025951.4%133 W · 126 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f2f…8e80backed Over49c1,644$806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$838.44333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e55…adbebacked Over49c1,622$795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$827.22250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33e9…39b0backed Over71c1,445$1,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.937152.1%37 W · 34 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x228a…a6b3backed Over49c1,442$707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$735.42250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7595…50ffbacked Over50c1,400$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70011156.8%63 W · 48 L+8.9wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+18.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Under50c1,321$661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$660.51,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2dd1…5b7dbacked Over49c1,255$615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$640.052100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x360b…982fbacked Over50c1,234$617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$617.24658.7%27 W · 19 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x91f7…4767backed Under49c1,140$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558.4910651.9%55 W · 51 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over50c1,080$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.833,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under48c1,021$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4905,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under49c998.95$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.494,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60e8…50c2backed Over51c980.35$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.375651.8%29 W · 27 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under48c961.28$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.92,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f82…9b01backed Under51c870$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.716635.5%59 W · 107 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Under50c786$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39328838.2%110 W · 178 L-17.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Over50c700$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35049345.2%223 W · 270 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over49c663.61$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.893,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f04…6a54backed Under40c643.98$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.073531.4%11 W · 24 L-4.4wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-34.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Under50c642.72$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.3658450.2%293 W · 291 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Over67c621.23$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.9433258.7%195 W · 137 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Over51c478$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.2271449.3%352 W · 362 L+2.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over50c446$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2231,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5966…af5dbacked Over53c420$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.231354.3%170 W · 143 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Over50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2001,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under54c394.97$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.491,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over52c323.76$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.5989048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1bd…7235backed Over41c299.98$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.996429.7%19 W · 45 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Under26c292.94$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.8226337.3%98 W · 165 L-1.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60c…d2e2backed Over48c284.99$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.214145.4%64 W · 77 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb628…fd2bbacked Over71c282.08$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.0811873.7%87 W · 31 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7029…4331backed Over51c274.33$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.422454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb89b…a39dbacked Over51c268$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.3211453.5%61 W · 53 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2db1…45e5backed Under51c236.57$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12024849.6%123 W · 125 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ece…8786backed Over45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.222864.3%18 W · 10 L+3.4wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+27.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc71a…f135backed Over51c215.47$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.588347%39 W · 44 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb996…038cbacked Over51c215$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.3513148.9%64 W · 67 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6381…6818backed Over51c212.51$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb7d…7862backed Over50c210$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10521843.6%95 W · 123 L-15.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5689…c0b6backed Under51c209$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.59250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d27…676ebacked Over51c202.65$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.313954%75 W · 64 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x95db…2901backed Under50c201.8$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.