NBA · resolved market
Spread: Kings (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf6c4e302ef941dcd671306e79d7adc727835d1038c55c97a98e78fe0e83f2c03
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Netsof Kings, Nets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $141,327
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $141,327 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 162 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Nets | 45c | 29,298$13,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,113.83 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Kings | 55c | 20,572$11,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,314.6 | 348 | 51.7%180 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Kings | 45c | 12,461$5,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,624.04 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Kings | 55c | 9,373$5,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,155 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Nets | 45c | 6,621$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,620.95 | 158 | 50.6%80 W · 78 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Nets | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,750 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Kings | 55c | 4,473$2,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,460.33 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7241…b5f6backed Nets | 51c | 4,471$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,190.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e4…25bdbacked Nets | 51c | 4,401$2,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,156.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Nets | 47c | 4,258$2,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,256.9 | 286 | 49.7%142 W · 144 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…f056backed Nets | 51c | 4,202$2,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,058.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Nets | 57c | 3,861$2,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,662.93 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2c…985abacked Nets | 51c | 3,816$1,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,869.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Kings | 55c | 3,728$2,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,033.59 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nets | 49c | 3,109$1,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590.28 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07a3…82d1backed Nets | 51c | 3,001$1,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf25d…ff47backed Nets | 51c | 2,801$1,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,372.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…1fb9backed Kings | 54c | 2,620$1,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,403.8 | 316 | 43.4%137 W · 179 L | -18.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Nets | 55c | 2,479$1,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,115.5 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Nets | 47c | 2,390$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,264.37 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59b1…7321backed Nets | 46c | 2,355$1,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,271.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…25f1backed Kings | 49c | 2,255$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,104.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…9e1ebacked Kings | 49c | 2,226$1,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,090.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4da5…05cfbacked Kings | 49c | 2,211$1,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,083.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f46…b62fbacked Kings | 54c | 2,202$1,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,189.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Kings | 52c | 2,135$1,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,118.67 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd097…2306backed Nets | 46c | 2,110$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5451…5ea1backed Nets | 51c | 2,062$1,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +94.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa68c…df87backed Kings | 49c | 2,055$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb4…832bbacked Nets | 50c | 2,048$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,023.98 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.35per pick | 52cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf081…126cbacked Nets | 46c | 2,034$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,098.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 49cpaid | +106.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Kings | 54c | 2,025$1,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,095.24 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc79f…9825backed Kings | 49c | 2,020$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8cc…6019backed Kings | 49c | 2,011$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…697bbacked Nets | 51c | 2,001$1,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Kings | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Nets | 48c | 1,989$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,041.26 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92b0…2b29backed Kings | 49c | 1,977$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe788…951fbacked Kings | 49c | 1,922$942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$941.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48d0…2799backed Kings | 54c | 1,855$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7726…4627backed Kings | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Kings | 53c | 1,812$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956.98 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Kings | 50c | 1,798$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898.97 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf5…972bbacked Nets | 51c | 1,789$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.61 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7db5…a556backed Kings | 54c | 1,755$948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$947.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x336c…9421backed Kings | 54c | 1,655$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb7…bc04backed Kings | 49c | 1,622$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa94b…8290backed Nets | 46c | 1,588$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a81…e49ebacked Kings | 49c | 1,535$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c5d…82b5backed Kings | 49c | 1,525$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb73b…c1a2backed Nets | 46c | 1,525$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30de…8227backed Kings | 54c | 1,502$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d95…c9eabacked Kings | 49c | 1,455$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c94…2643backed Kings | 49c | 1,432$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80fe…7db7backed Kings | 49c | 1,421$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cf…abfdbacked Kings | 54c | 1,420$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcde…8bf1backed Kings | 49c | 1,301$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x902e…5f41backed Kings | 50c | 1,195$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Nets | 45c | 1,147$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.1 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Kings | 54c | 999.74$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.86 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Kings | 54c | 928.2$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.42 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Nets | 47c | 902.23$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.18 | 241 | 51.9%125 W · 116 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Kings | 43c | 902.23$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.52 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x583e…a316backed Kings | 49c | 875$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Nets | 54c | 871.4$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.07 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e4…0aaebacked Kings | 49c | 866$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Nets | 63c | 778$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.86 | 589 | 51.3%302 W · 287 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc6…e215backed Nets | 46c | 777$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 49cpaid | +106.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Nets | 46c | 693.05$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.25 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…6c27backed Nets | 48c | 624.01$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.6 | 451 | 51.4%232 W · 219 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Nets | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 331 | 50.8%168 W · 163 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Nets | 45c | 496.22$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.92 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…e51ebacked Kings | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 333 | 60.4%201 W · 132 L | +17.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Kings | 52c | 385$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.2 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Kings | 48c | 366.35$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.83 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Kings | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Kings | 55c | 363.63$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 762 | 50.4%384 W · 378 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8638…f1e2backed Nets | 51c | 331$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…eed7backed Kings | 42c | 262.97$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.45 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Nets | 51c | 243.34$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.38 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x054b…afd5backed Nets | 47c | 214.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.87 | 205 | 52.2%107 W · 98 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55e5…df30backed Nets | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9505…01c1backed Nets | 50c | 204.78$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.39 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +90.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aef…f8dfbacked Nets | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…f50dbacked Nets | 48c | 193.16$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.07 | 280 | 56.4%158 W · 122 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Kings | 35c | 192.49$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.98 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…9a2bbacked Kings | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…3a81backed Kings | 49c | 166$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Nets | 55c | 153.38$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.02 | 369 | 49.6%183 W · 186 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef86…5afcbacked Kings | 54c | 146$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.84 | 133 | 52.6%70 W · 63 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb89b…a39dbacked Kings | 54c | 146$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.84 | 114 | 53.5%61 W · 53 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Nets | 56c | 137.71$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.09 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8044…358ebacked Kings | 56c | 137.5$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 549 | 51.9%285 W · 264 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Nets | 52c | 126.08$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.05 | 192 | 46.4%89 W · 103 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x193b…33c7backed Nets | 47c | 123.13$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.26 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 56cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Nets | 47c | 115.19$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.05 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b6…dca5backed Kings | 54c | 107.11$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe961…c32bbacked Nets | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 114 | 59.6%68 W · 46 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Nets | 47c | 102.51$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.51 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacb…45d7backed Kings | 52c | 101.92$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 33cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Kings (-5.5)this page
- Danny Wolf: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Maxime Raynaud: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Nets vs. KingsKings won
- Nets vs. Kings: 1H MoneylineNets won
- Nets vs. Kings: 1H O/U 111.5Over won
- Nets vs. Kings: 1H O/U 112.5Over won
- Nets vs. Kings: O/U 215.5Over won
- Nets vs. Kings: O/U 216.5Over won
- Nets vs. Kings: O/U 218.5Over won
- Nets vs. Kings: O/U 219.5Over won
- Nets vs. Kings: O/U 221.5Over won
- Nets vs. Kings: O/U 222.5Over won
- Nets vs. Kings: O/U 226.5Over won
- Nique Clifford: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Kings (-2.5)Kings won
- Spread: Kings (-4.5)Nets won
- Spread: Kings (-6.5)Nets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.