TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe50c…8d26

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
67
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: MLB, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 55 out of 100; worst Champions League at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLBlast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT1764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+22.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boston Red Sox vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
Athletics vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$17.61
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$11.79
Seattle Mariners vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$11.32
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$14.41
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Detroit Tigers vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$9.61
Texas Rangers vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$6.95
Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)backed Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$8.52
Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Yankees: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$8.52
All 17 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Knicks (-21.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+75.7%+$22.91
Spread: Knicks (-19.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+54.8%+$20.59
Wizards vs. Knicks: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+70.6%+$12.88
Wizards vs. Knicks: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+65.4%+$16.53
Spread: Kings (-6.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.5
Spread: Celtics (-10.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.24
Spread: Celtics (-9.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.57
Nets vs. Kings: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+105.3%+$44.62
Nets vs. Kings: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+73.4%+$20.14
Spread: Kings (-4.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.82
Nets vs. Kingsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Spread: Nuggets (-8.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+62.2%+$10.23
All 12 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-18.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Monterrey Open: Alycia Parks vs Petra Marcinkobacked Petra Marcinko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Madison Keysbacked Madison Keys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Cincinnati Open: Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakinabacked Iga Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$10.42
Cincinnati Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$12.73
Cancun: Lloyd Harris vs Abdullah Shelbayhbacked Lloyd Harris · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$6.67
Cincinnati Open: Hamad Medjedovic vs Marco Trungellitibacked Hamad Medjedovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Brownsburg: Joel Schwaerzler vs Andres Andradebacked Andres Andrade · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+25%+$5
National Bank Open: Lucrezia Stefanini vs Camila Osoriobacked Lucrezia Stefanini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Jakub Mensikbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Miami Open: Tommy Paul vs Raphael Collignonbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+30.8%+$8.25
All 10 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Senators vs. Rangersbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$7.02
Kings vs. Utahbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.51
Golden Knights vs. Starsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+144.1%+$30.26
Sabres vs. Ducksbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.3
All 4 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-11.5)backed Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+57.7%+$6.57
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Florida Gatorsbacked Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+97.8%+$12.49
St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawks: O/U 144.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-3.5)backed St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.88
All 4 picks, newest first.
Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 11, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-41.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+44.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorantlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick63cpaid+67.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2last resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+97.8%+$23.96
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
All 2 picks, newest first.
WNBAlast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden State Valkyries vs. Minnesota Lynxbacked Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
New York Liberty vs. Dallas Wingsbacked New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$4.93
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+193.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+193.4%+$23.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+117.7%+$23.31
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie Alast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$15.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$6.13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will San Diego FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.49
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.