MLB · resolved market
Athletics vs. Houston Astros
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e80b5c7214dac276ca963eb3eee511a6e8d97192eb6f1f5f994eb3aa44d9514
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Athleticsof Athletics, Houston Astros
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $713,754
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $737,910
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $713,754 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 398 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Athletics | 21c | 233,604$48,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185,237.57 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba6…644cbacked Houston Astros | 54c | 186,776$100,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Athletics | 68c | 22,135$15,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,989.31 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Houston Astros | 62c | 22,106$13,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,706 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Athletics | 65c | 20,799$13,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,312.14 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Houston Astros | 62c | 17,040$10,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,564.88 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Houston Astros | 33c | 12,074$3,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,935.85 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Houston Astros | 39c | 10,000$3,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,879.99 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Houston Astros | 71c | 9,298$6,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,582.91 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Houston Astros | 70c | 7,807$5,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,476.91 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Houston Astros | 57c | 7,578$4,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,354.62 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Houston Astros | 62c | 6,397$3,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,966.24 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Athletics | 38c | 5,263$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,263.15 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | -19.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Athletics | 40c | 5,240$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,159.12 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Athletics | 68c | 5,000$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ea…ec86backed Athletics | 25c | 4,730$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,529.61 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.50per pick | 25cpaid | +218.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e54…b186backed Athletics | 25c | 4,730$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,529.61 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.34per pick | 26cpaid | +122%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1e13…af03backed Athletics | 27c | 4,607$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,357.3 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +4.1wins | +0.59per pick | 27cpaid | +229.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x57b0…87e4backed Athletics | 27c | 4,607$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,357.3 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd21…40aebacked Athletics | 29c | 4,140$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,939.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +245%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d16…22ecbacked Athletics | 29c | 4,140$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,939.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +245%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd647…08a5backed Athletics | 27c | 4,116$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,016.12 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.52per pick | 31cpaid | +170%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Houston Astros | 39c | 3,741$1,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,455.14 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x137d…28d1backed Athletics | 26c | 3,425$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,525.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +280.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fdb…cc50backed Athletics | 26c | 3,425$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,525.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +280.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d44…7f07backed Athletics | 26c | 3,425$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,525.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +90.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Athletics | 37c | 3,212$1,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,023.79 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aad…1155backed Athletics | 28c | 2,812$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,011.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +75.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Athletics | 55c | 2,727$1,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,235.95 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54d8…6eacbacked Athletics | 24c | 2,676$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,025.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +343.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a3…9e12backed Athletics | 38c | 2,632$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,631.57 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a0…217abacked Athletics | 27c | 2,443$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,792.69 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +6.0wins | +0.33per pick | 22cpaid | +173.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Athletics | 27c | 2,416$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,764 | 191 | 43.5%83 W · 108 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Houston Astros | 39c | 2,302$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906.31 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d7…488cbacked Athletics | 26c | 2,282$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,681.64 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +4.1wins | +0.29per pick | 28cpaid | +86.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…5782backed Athletics | 24c | 2,266$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,715.87 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 21cpaid | +196.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…b168backed Athletics | 24c | 2,266$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,715.87 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +344.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Athletics | 78c | 2,178$1,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.08 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x080e…78a5backed Athletics | 7c | 2,168$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,016.32 | 91 | 29.7%27 W · 64 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x418d…88a3backed Athletics | 67c | 2,021$1,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.6 | 122 | 55.7%68 W · 54 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…deabbacked Athletics | 24c | 1,856$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,406.18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3936…6e40backed Athletics | 25c | 1,584$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,183.84 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.27per pick | 19cpaid | +126.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9709…52abbacked Athletics | 80c | 1,562$1,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.08 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +78.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed Athletics | 63c | 1,404$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.48 | 319 | 57.4%183 W · 136 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee6…a1efbacked Athletics | 25c | 1,387$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,033.46 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +524%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Houston Astros | 73c | 1,386$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.4 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Houston Astros | 61c | 1,309$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.1 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5141…ea1cbacked Athletics | 23c | 1,304$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 21cpaid | +203.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8f…b9b2backed Athletics | 26c | 1,154$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853.84 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.53per pick | 22cpaid | +366.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40f0…b9bdbacked Athletics | 26c | 1,154$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 26cpaid | +186.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa698…9c3dbacked Athletics | 26c | 1,154$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6214…c4a0backed Athletics | 26c | 1,154$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853.84 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.57per pick | 23cpaid | +349.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4d…ed6fbacked Athletics | 26c | 1,154$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.77per pick | 24cpaid | +330.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e79…c23cbacked Athletics | 26c | 1,154$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.77per pick | 24cpaid | +330.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c54…bebbbacked Houston Astros | 46c | 1,107$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.74 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf52f…dc59backed Athletics | 23c | 1,087$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.95 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.50per pick | 25cpaid | +227.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x240a…814cbacked Houston Astros | 61c | 1,030$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.88 | 44 | 72.7%32 W · 12 L | +7.7wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd4…de15backed Houston Astros | 35c | 1,030$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.17 | 171 | 60.8%104 W · 67 L | +11.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8c…f8bdbacked Athletics | 14c | 1,024$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.95 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf647…0ccbbacked Athletics | 80c | 1,010$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.08 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Athletics | 38c | 1,002$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.01 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…6024backed Athletics | 64c | 1,000$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358 | 160 | 57.5%92 W · 68 L | +12.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x968b…87f6backed Athletics | 27c | 1,000$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.76 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.35per pick | 53cpaid | +82.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Athletics | 38c | 975$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.5 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb18…9897backed Athletics | 26c | 961.53$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 26cpaid | +186.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa901…e637backed Athletics | 26c | 961.53$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.53 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | +72.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb78…f224backed Athletics | 26c | 961.53$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.53 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…aa7dbacked Athletics | 77c | 950.98$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.02 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +4.9wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde1e…7ac6backed Athletics | 28c | 892.85$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.85 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +3.9wins | +0.43per pick | 24cpaid | +187%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7528…6539backed Athletics | 28c | 892.85$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.85 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +3.5wins | +0.58per pick | 25cpaid | +268.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…0c87backed Athletics | 28c | 892.85$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.37per pick | 23cpaid | +128.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad2…ec06backed Athletics | 28c | 892.85$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.85 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +3.3wins | +0.48per pick | 24cpaid | +244.7%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9b00…8cf8backed Athletics | 28c | 892.85$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe6b…50e7backed Athletics | 28c | 892.85$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93de…0792backed Athletics | 28c | 892.85$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eed…1b88backed Athletics | 23c | 869.56$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +108.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Athletics | 37c | 857.54$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.25 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Houston Astros | 63c | 852$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.76 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Athletics | 29c | 841.11$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.33 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Houston Astros | 59c | 804.87$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.25 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…0517backed Houston Astros | 63c | 800$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98fc…a4a2backed Houston Astros | 63c | 793.65$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16ab…494abacked Athletics | 26c | 769.23$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.23 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +115.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53d3…cc48backed Athletics | 79c | 748.46$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.8 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…3e2bbacked Athletics | 34c | 733.58$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.58 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd494…bfafbacked Athletics | 28c | 714.28$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.28 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 23cpaid | +171.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Houston Astros | 69c | 708.63$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.53 | 1,056 | 44.3%468 W · 588 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba63…4883backed Houston Astros | 42c | 706.65$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.61 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x425d…86e1backed Athletics | 11c | 640.18$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.76 | 48 | 14.6%7 W · 41 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Houston Astros | 56c | 625.85$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.71 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23d1…52c5backed Houston Astros | 63c | 617.57$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.07 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -4.8wins | -0.12per pick | 61cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Athletics | 48c | 616.09$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.35 | 587 | 46%270 W · 317 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Houston Astros | 77c | 612$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.5 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…d6a6backed Athletics | 78c | 600$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.23 | 114 | 64%73 W · 41 L | +12.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Houston Astros | 54c | 523.81$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.47 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Athletics | 40c | 514.24$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.92 | 473 | 58.4%276 W · 197 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Athletics | 40c | 512.07$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.53 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5439…c45bbacked Athletics | 56c | 509.59$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.72 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Athletics | 61c | 503.14$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.14 | 434 | 59%256 W · 178 L | +19.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Athletics | 38c | 500$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 195 | 34.4%67 W · 128 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Athletics vs. Houston Astrosthis page
- Athletics vs. Houston Astros: O/U 10.5Over won
- Athletics vs. Houston Astros: O/U 13.5Under won
- Athletics vs. Houston Astros: O/U 14.5Under won
- Athletics vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5Over won
- Athletics vs. Houston Astros: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Athletics (-1.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Athletics (-2.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)Athletics won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-2.5)Athletics won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-3.5)Athletics won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-4.5)Athletics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.