TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$350,938
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$344,620

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $350,938 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 212 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x09b5…7e72backed Under49c102,462$50,207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52,255.8411849.2%58 W · 60 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Over51c100,000$51,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,999.9655053.1%292 W · 258 L+20.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e94…5ba1backed Over52c56,489$29,564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,564.4946949%230 W · 239 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Over53c55,555$29,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,443.971,38549.5%685 W · 700 L-4.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16bb…8492backed Over52c35,924$18,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,679.9986548.7%421 W · 444 L-8.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under47c33,123$15,642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,481.1711,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under48c28,997$13,855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,141.474,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under47c23,068$10,916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,151.6848339.8%192 W · 291 L+2.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Under50c20,032$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,032.4316548.5%80 W · 85 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Under48c17,750$8,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,229.8771650.7%363 W · 353 L+9.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under48c9,534$4,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,993.911,29151%658 W · 633 L-15.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78b0…9f1abacked Over52c7,692$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00039047.4%185 W · 205 L-11.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c3c…e8c9backed Under48c6,946$3,334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,611.8334942.7%149 W · 200 L-19.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Under47c6,000$2,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,18045252.4%237 W · 215 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Under48c4,047$1,943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,104.433,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3451…a6e1backed Under25c3,981$984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,996.742638.5%10 W · 16 L+3.7wins+0.14per pick24cpaid+97.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under47c3,385$1,591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,793.8610,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Under10c3,321$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,980.661553.3%8 W · 7 L+4.2wins+0.28per pick25cpaid+187%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xca0e…7248backed Under50c3,200$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,600333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Under48c3,000$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,56077951.1%398 W · 381 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x081b…1c6abacked Under47c2,817$1,324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,493.024445.5%20 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over50c2,755$1,377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,377.441,57248.3%759 W · 813 L-6.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x452f…f59bbacked Under22c2,682$603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,079.37966.7%6 W · 3 L+3.3wins+0.36per pick30cpaid+120.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed Under48c2,097$1,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,086.2728154.4%153 W · 128 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8e6…d471backed Over52c2,003$1,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,047.043655.6%20 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Under47c2,000$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,06044451.1%227 W · 217 L+1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x796f…00f6backed Under47c2,000$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,06027244.9%122 W · 150 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Under50c1,641$821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$820.592054%497 W · 423 L+23.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b11…5375backed Under47c1,536$725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$810.681,77749.5%880 W · 897 L+25.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under47c1,489$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7895,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1262…056fbacked Under47c1,426$667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$758.9827448.2%132 W · 142 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c51…bc4bbacked Over79c1,300$1,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,026.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under47c1,143$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607.1244749.2%220 W · 227 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Over49c1,020$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50019246.9%90 W · 102 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93a0…6623backed Over53c1,015$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.9539846.5%185 W · 213 L-16.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under64c1,000$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3604,03557.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L+72.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaaf1…0db6backed Under48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5201952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58b9…ee8bbacked Over52c999.99$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52075248.8%367 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd81e…e3d0backed Under48c956.92$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.632251.6%166 W · 156 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xba62…3e29backed Over53c943.4$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50022149.3%109 W · 112 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-2.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over32c898.28$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.792,01251.2%1,031 W · 981 L+43.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2396…9485backed Under48c887.48$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.4928751.9%149 W · 138 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed Under47c746.17$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.471,13742.6%484 W · 653 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa64f…bcf8backed Under47c694.42$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.192100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+86.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f34…b8f2backed Under50c580$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2901376.9%10 W · 3 L+4.6wins+0.35per pick42cpaid+60.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Under47c572.5$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.4256253.2%299 W · 263 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c57…40febacked Under48c551.82$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.4421550.2%108 W · 107 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Over51c515.13$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.731,72550.1%864 W · 861 L-4.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over52c500$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26095850%479 W · 479 L+4.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed Under47c500$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26529147.1%137 W · 154 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over46c446.43$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.638,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under51c428.58$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.5712,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over51c420$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.12,29051%1,167 W · 1,123 L+23.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Over51c400$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2041,00148.3%483 W · 518 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa65c…509dbacked Over52c384.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20024350.2%122 W · 121 L-0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Under48c382$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.641,56951.1%801 W · 768 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98fc…a4a2backed Over53c377.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+23.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c5b…ec01backed Under47c351.49$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.2922050.5%111 W · 109 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xef98…68f7backed Under50c350.9$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.453470.6%24 W · 10 L+4.4wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+22.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under47c341.53$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.012,29649.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd0b…4857backed Under33c324.23$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.23366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+66.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Over65c306.29$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20032166.4%213 W · 108 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4483…c565backed Under66c303.03$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.0325751.8%133 W · 124 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9deb…536fbacked Over53c300$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1595655.4%31 W · 25 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed Over63c300$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18921853.2%116 W · 102 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf609…e68bbacked Under44c295$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.653661.1%22 W · 14 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Over53c290$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.71,55548.9%761 W · 794 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Under46c267$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.1887750.4%442 W · 435 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xda44…2e5abacked Under37c266.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.71366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+49.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb224…dfa6backed Under26c210.11$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.214757.4%27 W · 20 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x85b3…33efbacked Under48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.337860.3%47 W · 31 L+6.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001,43550%717 W · 718 L+25.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02e0…3741backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016349.1%80 W · 83 L-0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa212…9161backed Over74c200$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-54.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5022…2b5dbacked Over52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35bd…c749backed Over52c199.99$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.99250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2ca…d984backed Over53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10038353.8%206 W · 177 L+16.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xce7c…6007backed Over52c184.83$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.113070%21 W · 9 L+5.2wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+35.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Over56c179.86$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002850%14 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe474…0200backed Over57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003259.4%19 W · 13 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb445…e4a3backed Over58c162.7$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.574742.6%20 W · 27 L-5.2wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-17.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Under48c153$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.568032.5%26 W · 54 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x07cd…fbebbacked Under53c150.87$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.9143560%261 W · 174 L+13.0wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Under33c149.99$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.923929.4%37 W · 355 L+1.5wins0.00per pick9cpaid-40.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d0a…1bd3backed Over67c149.95$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100650%3 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6f7…c7a2backed Under47c148.94$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.944740.4%19 W · 28 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-21.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb141…aa3bbacked Over70c147.06$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.9440%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.46per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x45e6…c078backed Over54c145.53$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3453…8524backed Under48c142$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.8438551.4%198 W · 187 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over50c139.22$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.158,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22ed…3535backed Over57c136.84$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under48c131.86$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.166,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under37c127.18$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.051,80453.8%970 W · 834 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb42…176ebacked Under48c125$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Over33c124.15$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.121,05644.3%468 W · 588 L-25.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Over46c123.92$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5788046.4%408 W · 472 L-22.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3003…30f5backed Under48c105.03$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.036261.3%38 W · 24 L+8.1wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+26.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2bb8…7017backed Under48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.1713344.4%59 W · 74 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf15…a1febacked Under48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.1715147.7%72 W · 79 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b94…09dcbacked Under48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.1711441.2%47 W · 67 L-8.3wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-14%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.