TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

1st 5 Innings Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Chicago White Soxof Atlanta Braves, Chicago White Sox
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,553
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,508

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,553 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 11 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6d3c…d294backed Atlanta Braves29c999.98$290 inLost-$289.995,40050.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L+17.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Chicago White Sox75c844.04$635 inWon+$209.239,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51f7…ae1fbacked Atlanta Braves25c762.72$191 inLost-$190.553948.7%19 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc376…6850backed Chicago White Sox71c360.84$256 inWon+$104.64757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x463e…fa8ebacked Chicago White Sox71c295.59$210 inWon+$85.721464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3451…a6e1backed Chicago White Sox11c271.85$30 inWon+$242.152638.5%10 W · 16 L+3.7wins+0.14per pick24cpaid+97.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Chicago White Sox78c229$179 inWon+$50.381,29151%658 W · 633 L-15.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51b1…7865backed Chicago White Sox71c203$144 inWon+$58.87955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.16per pick39cpaid-5.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa2f3…8c9bbacked Chicago White Sox71c139.14$99 inWon+$40.354100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Chicago White Sox79c31.03$25 inWon+$6.5348653.7%261 W · 225 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Chicago White Sox76c22.24$17 inWon+$5.341,80353.8%970 W · 833 L+17.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.