TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Atlanta Bravesof Chicago White Sox, Atlanta Braves
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,139
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,692

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,139 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xebe6…9278backed Atlanta Braves68c1,875$1,275 inWon+$6002,10451.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57b1…4b99backed Chicago White Sox32c1,875$600 inLost-$60017546.9%82 W · 93 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Atlanta Braves69c486.95$336 inWon+$150.998,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3451…a6e1backed Chicago White Sox6c409.85$23 inLost-$22.662638.5%10 W · 16 L+3.7wins+0.14per pick24cpaid+97.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Chicago White Sox30c262.89$80 inLost-$79.6212,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb0b…62cdbacked Chicago White Sox31c257.59$80 inLost-$8079543%342 W · 453 L-3.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Chicago White Sox32c212.79$68 inLost-$68.096,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88fb…db3abacked Chicago White Sox32c118.75$38 inLost-$3873243.4%318 W · 414 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Chicago White Sox38c76$29 inLost-$28.8831848.7%155 W · 163 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c96…0a39backed Chicago White Sox34c73.53$25 inLost-$2515352.3%80 W · 73 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Chicago White Sox31c71$22 inLost-$22.013,83242.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Chicago White Sox31c62.7$19 inLost-$19.4444749.2%220 W · 227 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1719…ec68backed Atlanta Braves69c54$37 inWon+$16.7472154.2%391 W · 330 L+20.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+144.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Chicago White Sox42c50$21 inLost-$212,99550.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L-36.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0905…e5c0backed Atlanta Braves69c50$35 inWon+$15.51,66143.5%722 W · 939 L-0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Atlanta Braves66c48.71$32 inWon+$16.561,05644.3%468 W · 588 L-25.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe88…67a8backed Chicago White Sox38c37.47$14 inLost-$14.2497050.7%492 W · 478 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8adc…ceafbacked Atlanta Braves69c31.67$22 inWon+$9.6722653.1%120 W · 106 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x00b4…87bfbacked Atlanta Braves70c28.64$20 inWon+$8.641593.3%14 W · 1 L+3.7wins+0.24per pick69cpaid+36.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x796f…00f6backed Atlanta Braves66c23.53$16 inWon+$827244.9%122 W · 150 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Atlanta Braves68c19.03$13 inWon+$6.095,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60d2…4268backed Atlanta Braves69c15$10 inWon+$4.6514753.1%78 W · 69 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.