MLB · resolved market
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x82ef68a94569a1879767a8e02c2f9f1d58e4b09e8aec7a4ce99844b00949e9c5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,950
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,193
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,950 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1c38…1bfabacked Under | 47c | 3,192$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,691.81 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 78c | 1,691$1,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,318.6 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 50c | 1,370$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.37 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 39c | 998.64$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.39 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b2…0fdfbacked Under | 75c | 901.97$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.97 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 28c | 567.16$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.16 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Over | 71c | 147.97$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.78 | 840 | 49.4%415 W · 425 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf609…e68bbacked Over | 49c | 144$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.52 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9bfe…7274backed Over | 74c | 124.72$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 79c | 116.54$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.07 | 1,083 | 56.3%610 W · 473 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Over | 24c | 112$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.88 | 303 | 40.6%123 W · 180 L | -16.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49c5…3de7backed Under | 28c | 90.98$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.41 | 341 | 49.3%168 W · 173 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Over | 31c | 87.92$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.54 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +4.2wins | +0.28per pick | 25cpaid | +187%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3d…95b1backed Under | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.96 | 286 | 39.2%112 W · 174 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Over | 17c | 74.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 1,056 | 44.3%468 W · 588 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3451…a6e1backed Over | 36c | 55.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 24cpaid | +97.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…056fbacked Under | 30c | 43.24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.42 | 274 | 48.2%132 W · 142 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc51…245abacked Over | 78c | 40$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 26c | 39.48$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.03 | 1,804 | 53.8%970 W · 834 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad9e…53c2backed Over | 78c | 24.36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 71cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Over | 73c | 24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.44 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 47c | 21.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d8f…8d48backed Over | 72c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c09…b9b3backed Over | 76c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x515e…90adbacked Over | 78c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 68cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Over | 79c | 16.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 653 | 59.6%389 W · 264 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf766…9251backed Over | 78c | 13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 1,464 | 63.5%929 W · 535 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 5.5this page
- 1st 5 Innings Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)Chicago White Sox won
- 1st 5 Innings Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White SoxAtlanta Braves won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 10.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 11.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 4.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 6.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-3.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Will the game go to extra innings?: Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White SoxNo won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White SoxNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.