TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

1st 5 Innings Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Chicago White Soxof Atlanta Braves, Chicago White Sox
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,896
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,784

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,896 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6d3c…d294backed Atlanta Braves39c1,300$502 inLost-$501.95,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Chicago White Sox63c752.07$474 inWon+$278.279,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51b1…7865backed Chicago White Sox62c531$327 inWon+$203.62955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.16per pick39cpaid-5.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Chicago White Sox68c524.16$354 inWon+$170.3548653.7%261 W · 225 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0967…164cbacked Chicago White Sox62c363.65$225 inWon+$138.91136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-37.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Atlanta Braves37c281.06$104 inLost-$103.772,94547.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L+3.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5825…4ffbbacked Atlanta Braves35c263.21$92 inLost-$91.993444.1%15 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Atlanta Braves37c250$93 inLost-$92.541051.7%212 W · 198 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa076…2641backed Chicago White Sox61c237.7$145 inWon+$92.72100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+93.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Atlanta Braves39c191.99$76 inLost-$75.652,94751.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x463e…fa8ebacked Chicago White Sox62c183$113 inWon+$69.541464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Chicago White Sox64c129.64$83 inWon+$46.8713649.3%67 W · 69 L+10.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+68.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Chicago White Sox61c86$52 inWon+$33.5467453%357 W · 317 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed Atlanta Braves38c63.51$24 inLost-$24.1365549.3%323 W · 332 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5a9…3a77backed Chicago White Sox60c55.57$33 inWon+$22.236344.4%28 W · 35 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Chicago White Sox62c47.32$29 inWon+$17.9830454.3%165 W · 139 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0645…c08ebacked Chicago White Sox62c45.28$28 inWon+$17.216744.8%30 W · 37 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Chicago White Sox61c20$12 inWon+$7.843954.7%240 W · 199 L+30.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+13.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.