TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 10.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,834
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,264

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,834 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x228b…af4cbacked Over20c442.79$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.442,01251.2%1,031 W · 981 L+43.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under78c360.53$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.712,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41bb…1999backed Over26c269.06$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.52742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over25c251.92$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.982,29051%1,167 W · 1,123 L+23.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1a8…6764backed Over34c236.29$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.3426438.3%101 W · 163 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x452f…f59bbacked Over15c207.53$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.67966.7%6 W · 3 L+3.3wins+0.36per pick30cpaid+120.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed Over34c142.86$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491,16849%572 W · 596 L+17.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under66c129.96$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.3211,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under75c129.47$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.691,80453.8%970 W · 834 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9deb…536fbacked Over35c110$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.55655.4%31 W · 25 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b11…5375backed Under65c110$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.51,77749.5%880 W · 897 L+25.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Under66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3478854.6%430 W · 358 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c5c…e316backed Over23c94.03$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2313240.2%53 W · 79 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-0.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa89…ccd2backed Under67c85.07$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.0719154.5%104 W · 87 L-8.3wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3451…a6e1backed Under41c69.7$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.122638.5%10 W · 16 L+3.7wins+0.14per pick24cpaid+97.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6c5e…8a41backed Under66c50.09$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.031361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.1wins0.00per pick62cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Under80c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102,99550.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L-36.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under65c43.86$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.352,29649.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Under64c41.67$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1588046.4%408 W · 472 L-22.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb55…683bbacked Over36c41.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1530%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x49c5…3de7backed Under74c39.99$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.334149.3%168 W · 173 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88c5…4815backed Under80c36.31$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.2631957.4%183 W · 136 L+23.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+11.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8772…349ebacked Under66c34.9$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.87771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+18.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bcc…806ebacked Under66c33.3$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.32450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-27.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc20…dc0bbacked Under66c33.1$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.251376.9%10 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick64cpaid+23.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb611…e22dbacked Under66c33$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.22757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd710…c75ebacked Under66c32.4$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.02475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+14.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a71…618cbacked Under66c32.2$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.95875%6 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+24.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe88…67a8backed Under76c32.1$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.797050.7%492 W · 478 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8b8…d280backed Under66c32.1$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.911070%7 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x960a…42f1backed Under66c31.49$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.71450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-27.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17a8…c0f8backed Under66c31.4$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.68450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40aa…b99bbacked Under66c31.4$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.68862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick69cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64dc…e416backed Under66c31.19$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.6450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb130…7767backed Under66c31.09$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.57650%3 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda95…34f0backed Under66c30.89$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.51070%7 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14c7…b0c6backed Under66c30.8$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.471361.5%8 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick69cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae3b…b7d4backed Under66c30.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.47966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x308f…8607backed Under80c30.7$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.142100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24c7…6365backed Under66c30.69$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.43850%4 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc50…65fcbacked Under66c30.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.3250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5620…1764backed Under66c29.89$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.16560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4629…35e2backed Under66c29.3$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.96560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbcd6…df55backed Under66c29.2$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.931250%6 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x89fe…c0a0backed Under66c29$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.86862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2110…d4fbbacked Under68c28.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.2220962.7%131 W · 78 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17c5…fbe1backed Under66c28.8$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.791376.9%10 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick67cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa88c…26b7backed Under66c28.7$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.76450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85e9…03ebbacked Under66c28.41$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.66333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick64cpaid-49.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb3a…978cbacked Under66c28.4$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.66540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick64cpaid-39.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0b04…95d7backed Under66c28.4$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.661172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+16.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5992…2ad0backed Under66c28.3$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.621566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.1wins0.00per pick66cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe20b…6b74backed Under66c28.2$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.591266.7%8 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x458d…15adbacked Under66c28.1$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.55366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6dc3…d59bbacked Under66c28$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.521250%6 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb91c…443bbacked Under66c27.6$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.382259.1%13 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4dc…7945backed Under66c27.6$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.29650%3 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x18a6…24e5backed Under66c27.51$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.35366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1696…5192backed Under66c27.5$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.35366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4324…174bbacked Under66c27.29$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.28875%6 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd287…f567backed Under66c27.2$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.25666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9202…18b0backed Under66c27.09$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.211770.6%12 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+18.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0fc8…8179backed Under66c27.07$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.21154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e4c…745bbacked Under66c26.99$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.181963.2%12 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick63cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe21b…237bbacked Under66c26.99$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.18666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7180…aa45backed Under66c26.89$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.142065%13 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8db8…4af2backed Under66c26.8$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.113100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa7d8…f4f1backed Under66c26.6$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.04966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd33…00c4backed Under66c26.6$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.042100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick71cpaid+42.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f2…f2c6backed Under66c26.5$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.01771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick68cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91f5…cd2fbacked Under66c26.2$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.91520%1 W · 4 L-2.2wins-0.43per pick63cpaid-69.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb8cf…7a0bbacked Under66c26.19$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.9450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-27.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb351…d62abacked Under66c25.9$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.81862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34f1…0ecabacked Under66c25.18$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.561070%7 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+16.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5574…f9fbbacked Under66c25$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.51764.7%11 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick67cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0381…f76cbacked Under66c24.4$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.3955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15ef…1778backed Under66c24$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.16540%2 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.27per pick67cpaid-42.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ca2…1798backed Under77c24$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.529960.6%60 W · 39 L+0.4wins0.00per pick60cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xffd8…5069backed Under66c24$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.16650%3 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-27.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb822…93bcbacked Under66c23.7$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.063100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+40%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x79a9…fc5dbacked Under66c23.4$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.96666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick63cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2625…e320backed Under66c23.1$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.851668.8%11 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x233c…6996backed Under66c23$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.821457.1%8 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick66cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x06e4…0d44backed Under66c22.9$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.79560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b19…17f5backed Under66c22.7$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.64560%3 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick68cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb6c…0b33backed Under66c22.2$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.551145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.16per pick61cpaid-28.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x22f9…c076backed Under66c22.2$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.55366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ddf…3ff6backed Under66c21.9$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.45757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick66cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c64…8220backed Under66c21.89$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.44850%4 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb032…11dabacked Under66c21.8$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.41250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b41…c98abacked Under67c21.7$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.26742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.25per pick68cpaid-37.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xed4d…86c3backed Under66c21.5$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.31666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+16.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5135…ff8abacked Under66c21.4$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.28850%4 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf555…e73abacked Under66c21.4$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.28450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-28.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x392c…fb30backed Under66c21.4$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.284100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.46per pick53cpaid+90.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0cb6…7715backed Under66c21.29$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.24650%3 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-27.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8c8…ccffbacked Under66c20.5$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.891060%6 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c5b…59b8backed Under66c19.7$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.71136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.8wins-0.25per pick61cpaid-43.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe1e2…167cbacked Under66c19.29$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.