TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Atlanta Bravesof Atlanta Braves, Chicago White Sox
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$81,714
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$79,440

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,714 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x974c…3269backed Atlanta Braves39c20,918$8,091 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,826.511952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+26.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Chicago White Sox61c15,099$9,158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,157.84,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Chicago White Sox59c7,996$4,737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,737.492,10451.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Atlanta Braves69c7,953$5,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,454.1112,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Atlanta Braves41c7,526$3,061 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,465.552,29152.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L+24.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Chicago White Sox31c6,075$1,884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,884.1411,35652.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L+209.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Chicago White Sox40c4,244$1,708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,707.781,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Atlanta Braves40c4,167$1,667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,500.1792054%497 W · 423 L+23.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Chicago White Sox61c2,565$1,575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,574.912,29051%1,167 W · 1,123 L+23.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Chicago White Sox60c2,482$1,487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,486.991,05644.3%468 W · 588 L-25.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xad64…2f33backed Atlanta Braves41c2,439$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,439.016429.7%19 W · 45 L-7.1wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-27.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Chicago White Sox61c2,000$1,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,22044451.1%227 W · 217 L+1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf405…9df2backed Atlanta Braves69c1,450$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45025066.4%166 W · 84 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x55a6…eeb0backed Chicago White Sox52c1,346$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7004951%25 W · 24 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed Atlanta Braves39c1,280$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780.84837.5%18 W · 30 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Chicago White Sox59c1,182$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702.216,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Chicago White Sox59c1,000$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5901,83650.8%932 W · 904 L-3.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Chicago White Sox42c811.18$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.038,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Chicago White Sox57c756.26$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.5643954.7%240 W · 199 L+30.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+13.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x44b3…69aabacked Atlanta Braves41c734.7$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.74443.2%19 W · 25 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-18.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Chicago White Sox49c693.4$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.588,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Chicago White Sox31c608.85$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.7410,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9698…2504backed Atlanta Braves37c513.15$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.7810249%50 W · 52 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad88…3c1ebacked Atlanta Braves41c500$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29548354.7%264 W · 219 L+20.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x796f…00f6backed Atlanta Braves51c398.57$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.2927244.9%122 W · 150 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Atlanta Braves38c323.36$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.0595252.9%504 W · 448 L+17.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Atlanta Braves39c298.99$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.393,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Chicago White Sox60c296.68$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.016344.4%28 W · 35 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Atlanta Braves39c279.98$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.559,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85b3…33efbacked Atlanta Braves38c263.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.167860.3%47 W · 31 L+6.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x886f…aa8fbacked Atlanta Braves40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15011951.3%61 W · 58 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e4a…5ba6backed Atlanta Braves40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15011542.6%49 W · 66 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9a0…c52bbacked Atlanta Braves41c243.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.923145.5%105 W · 126 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1262…056fbacked Chicago White Sox62c213$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.0627348%131 W · 142 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Atlanta Braves9c209.69$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.461553.3%8 W · 7 L+4.2wins+0.28per pick25cpaid+187%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Atlanta Braves70c202.35$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.473355.3%405 W · 328 L+22.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Atlanta Braves51c198.32$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.552,01251.2%1,031 W · 981 L+43.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3451…a6e1backed Chicago White Sox35c197.17$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.012638.5%10 W · 16 L+3.7wins+0.14per pick24cpaid+97.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Chicago White Sox39c196.11$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.5110253.9%55 W · 47 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Atlanta Braves70c194.9$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.1347056.6%266 W · 204 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x974d…bd82backed Atlanta Braves42c190.48$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.484443.2%19 W · 25 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07cd…fbebbacked Atlanta Braves42c190.38$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.4243560%261 W · 174 L+13.0wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Chicago White Sox58c190.38$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.421,52148.6%739 W · 782 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c5c…e316backed Atlanta Braves14c182.5$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.1313240.2%53 W · 79 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-0.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x003f…3805backed Chicago White Sox45c171.35$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.365644.6%25 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67d3…b524backed Chicago White Sox60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013748.2%66 W · 71 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9950…1432backed Chicago White Sox61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015849.4%78 W · 80 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x920a…29e0backed Atlanta Braves34c157.72$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.31475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+69.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Atlanta Braves69c156$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.9326857.1%153 W · 115 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Chicago White Sox59c136.71$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.912,94447.6%1,401 W · 1,543 L+4.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf609…e68bbacked Atlanta Braves44c123.95$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.993661.1%22 W · 14 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Atlanta Braves19c120$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.270744.7%316 W · 391 L-22.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Atlanta Braves20c120$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$963929.4%37 W · 355 L+1.5wins0.00per pick9cpaid-40.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Chicago White Sox60c119.44$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.071,00148.3%483 W · 518 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x26f1…6d2fbacked Chicago White Sox59c115$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.92425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-34%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9de1…2dd4backed Chicago White Sox60c108.33$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Atlanta Braves39c100.5$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.34,47748.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L-47.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x089c…33dabacked Chicago White Sox63c100.29$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.926852.9%36 W · 32 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fd6…d4a0backed Atlanta Braves39c100$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613050%15 W · 15 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+19.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Chicago White Sox43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.8758746%270 W · 317 L-12.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Atlanta Braves35c97.27$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.2216248.8%79 W · 83 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Chicago White Sox62c88.95$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.151,20653.7%648 W · 558 L+29.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x71ac…5fd6backed Atlanta Braves41c84.49$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.853458.8%20 W · 14 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked Chicago White Sox61c81.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,27951.2%655 W · 624 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x962e…1d75backed Atlanta Braves70c79.73$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.922268.2%15 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed Atlanta Braves40c75$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451,16749%572 W · 595 L+17.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Atlanta Braves38c73.24$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.412,29649.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2715…56dbbacked Chicago White Sox56c71.42$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Atlanta Braves57c62$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.725,78643.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L-192.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x27b1…6a0bbacked Atlanta Braves69c57.97$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.9746952.5%246 W · 223 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x683b…c863backed Chicago White Sox60c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.20per pick57cpaid-35.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0905…e5c0backed Chicago White Sox59c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.51,66143.5%722 W · 939 L-0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4b2…e2c0backed Chicago White Sox61c42$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.622759.3%16 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Chicago White Sox60c40$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241,06249.2%523 W · 539 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Chicago White Sox57c40$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.81,92717.2%331 W · 1,596 L-320.3wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-64.3%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0x49c5…3de7backed Chicago White Sox65c40$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.834149.3%168 W · 173 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked Chicago White Sox61c36.87$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.491,01447.7%484 W · 530 L-28.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Atlanta Braves41c36.59$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.5962554.2%339 W · 286 L+18.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Atlanta Braves38c33$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.4645252.4%237 W · 215 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Atlanta Braves68c31.32$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.0258054.5%316 W · 264 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3534…a1b3backed Atlanta Braves65c30.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.777051.4%36 W · 34 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Chicago White Sox59c28.98$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.13,83242.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0477…631cbacked Chicago White Sox60c25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1517155.6%95 W · 76 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb70c…da62backed Chicago White Sox60c25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Chicago White Sox68c20.44$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.91,80353.8%970 W · 833 L+17.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36aa…a683backed Chicago White Sox61c20.39$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4444347.9%212 W · 231 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90a7…5ac0backed Atlanta Braves55c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$926747.9%128 W · 139 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x761b…e8f7backed Chicago White Sox65c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.91145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfee8…9197backed Chicago White Sox59c19.76$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6622350.7%113 W · 110 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Atlanta Braves61c19.5$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.6170546.8%330 W · 375 L-13.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60d2…4268backed Chicago White Sox59c17$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0314753.1%78 W · 69 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9be1…9947backed Chicago White Sox61c16.66$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.161450%7 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1718…b4bfbacked Chicago White Sox61c16.66$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.16944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick58cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b4c…c0e3backed Chicago White Sox61c16.66$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.161752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f7d…b3ffbacked Chicago White Sox61c16.66$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.162466.7%16 W · 8 L+3.0wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+26.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7fc5…9fcfbacked Chicago White Sox61c16.66$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.166749.3%33 W · 34 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.