TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5b4c…c0e3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
61
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 53 out of 100; worst Valorant at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLBlast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT1752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)backed Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.16
Colorado Rockies vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+50.4%+$5.12
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.19
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.08
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$7.37
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.09
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+93.6%+$14.13
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.25
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$13.02
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.3
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$9.8
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+90.5%+$9.22
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$7.37
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$9.03
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.15
New York Mets vs. San Diego Padresbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$14.7
All 17 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick65cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.08
Spread: Scotland (-1.5)backed Haiti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$5.47
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+83.5%+$17.01
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.35
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+29.5%+$5.97
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.24
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+37.9%+$3.93
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.37
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+44.4%+$9.01
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$7.17
Czechia leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$3.16
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+41.8%+$4.28
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$13.02
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+43.5%+$6.63
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+41.9%+$8.49
All 15 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT1566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.1wins0.00per pick66cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.68
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$6.76
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.61
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.6
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$7.06
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$7.86
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$12.46
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$9.8
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.16
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.07
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy - Map 1 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$12.53
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$7.75
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs BIG (+1.5)backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+33.9%+$5.21
All 15 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-37.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$10.59
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.28
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoebacked Jiri Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$8.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+43.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Level UP vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - The International Europe Open Qualifier 1 Playoffsbacked Yellow Submarine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+43.9%+$4.49
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.