MLB · resolved market
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 10.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa7869235d343ee56afdf6c8aa455d04d5ed7f13c6c91c822655424a4dee48344
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $460,552
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $521,427
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $460,552 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Under | 51c | 281,117$143,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137,747.09 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72d8…5213backed Over | 49c | 205,000$100,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100,450 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +9.2wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 49c | 67,138$32,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,897.76 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Under | 52c | 61,567$32,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,552.29 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Over | 48c | 50,000$24,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,000 | 311 | 49.2%153 W · 158 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 47c | 17,539$8,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,331.08 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 52c | 15,491$8,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,435.64 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Over | 50c | 11,623$5,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,811.36 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Over | 49c | 5,555$2,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,721.95 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Under | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350 | 246 | 51.6%127 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 50c | 4,611$2,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,293.19 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,469.99 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 46c | 2,953$1,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,363.89 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 48c | 2,644$1,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,266.9 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 49c | 2,189$1,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,072.61 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba4…6de0backed Over | 49c | 2,050$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.68 | 209 | 45%94 W · 115 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Under | 54c | 1,800$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 38c | 1,652$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.95 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Over | 48c | 1,587$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.73 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 42c | 1,418$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.97 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 36c | 1,137$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.38 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 55c | 1,105$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.12 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked Over | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Under | 59c | 897$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.77 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39e9…e2dfbacked Over | 49c | 800$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 72 | 59.7%43 W · 29 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Under | 50c | 748.66$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.29 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f6…0981backed Over | 49c | 614.37$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 158 | 57.6%91 W · 67 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 51c | 523.51$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.52 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x525b…c7c7backed Over | 48c | 508.9$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d1…cdc9backed Under | 55c | 448$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.6 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -6.8wins | -0.19per pick | 45cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Over | 49c | 404$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.96 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 47c | 392.02$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.81 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0254…33eabacked Under | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.22per pick | 67cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…2fe4backed Under | 54c | 370$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.2 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f6…bab8backed Over | 49c | 319.65$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.63 | 139 | 51.8%72 W · 67 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Over | 48c | 313$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.24 | 726 | 48.1%349 W · 377 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd325…8c5fbacked Over | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 252 | 60.3%152 W · 100 L | +16.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 51c | 294$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.94 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…6471backed Under | 62c | 260$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.8 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 45c | 250$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Over | 49c | 244.89$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 41c | 239.27$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.72 | 6,302 | 48.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L | +181.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Under | 52c | 221.15$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.15 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Over | 49c | 214.35$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.03 | 473 | 50.7%240 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 48c | 210$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Over | 48c | 209$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.32 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbecc…5672backed Over | 48c | 208.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Over | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec11…953fbacked Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…509dbacked Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4cb…f380backed Under | 73c | 190$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.35 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 52c | 178.3$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.58 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 43c | 150.4$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.69 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 48c | 148.48$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.79 | 3,456 | 51.2%1,771 W · 1,685 L | +107.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 37c | 136.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.29 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…8588backed Under | 59c | 134.54$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 47c | 132.84$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.37 | 2,944 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,543 L | +4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff7…bf32backed Over | 50c | 118.34$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.17 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…2751backed Over | 51c | 118$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.18 | 174 | 46%80 W · 94 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 48c | 118$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.64 | 5,126 | 54.7%2,804 W · 2,322 L | +231.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x523c…2c05backed Under | 54c | 110$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 130 | 53.1%69 W · 61 L | -11.0wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Under | 55c | 109.01$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.53 | 435 | 60%261 W · 174 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa11f…1252backed Over | 48c | 104.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.12 | 186 | 51.1%95 W · 91 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61d3…189abacked Over | 48c | 104.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.12 | 238 | 54.2%129 W · 109 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5e…95e3backed Over | 48c | 104.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.12 | 267 | 52.8%141 W · 126 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5727…12fdbacked Over | 48c | 101.78$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Over | 49c | 100.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.76 | 1,042 | 49.4%515 W · 527 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 449 | 49.2%221 W · 228 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08a1…10dcbacked Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 218 | 51.4%112 W · 106 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67a5…3516backed Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c2…5509backed Over | 48c | 99.44$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.73 | 221 | 54.3%120 W · 101 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Under | 52c | 96.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.49 | 252 | 49.2%124 W · 128 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ca…2d82backed Under | 52c | 92.44$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.37 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 48c | 91.65$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.99 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…a45dbacked Under | 60c | 88.2$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +68.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb922…1d3ebacked Under | 69c | 84.13$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.13 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Over | 48c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Under | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 1,197 | 53.9%645 W · 552 L | +42.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc91c…bde0backed Over | 49c | 76.49$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.48 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +30%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Over | 48c | 75$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba56…10e8backed Under | 52c | 74.13$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.58 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 47c | 71.04$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.39 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 48c | 69.42$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.32 | 624 | 54.2%338 W · 286 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Over | 47c | 69$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.43 | 997 | 44.1%440 W · 557 L | -38.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c97…5c66backed Over | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -5.8wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8837…17aabacked Under | 58c | 61.43$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Over | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 412 | 49.5%204 W · 208 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95fa…bf35backed Over | 50c | 58.24$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacee…afddbacked Under | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 217 | 51.6%112 W · 105 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd47a…67fabacked Under | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d6…1f24backed Under | 55c | 54.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.74 | 312 | 58%181 W · 131 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Over | 46c | 52.42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.37 | 705 | 46.8%330 W · 375 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…aa3cbacked Over | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 149 | 46.3%69 W · 80 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ff…4ce9backed Over | 48c | 50.89$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bdc…be3bbacked Over | 48c | 50.89$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 10.5this page
- 1st 5 Innings Spread: Kansas City Royals (-2.5)Texas Rangers won
- 1st 5 Innings Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-2.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-2.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-3.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City RoyalsTexas Rangers won
- Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 11.5Under won
- Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 6.5Under won
- Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 7.5Under won
- Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5Under won
- Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City RoyalsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.