MLB · resolved market
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb7892f8e64d30d763c35328639b9db6326a97998392acaafe5a4191a92218cb0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Texas Rangersof Texas Rangers, Kansas City Royals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,115,849
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,201,726
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,115,849 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 592 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb91a…3987backed Kansas City Royals | 52c | 208,326$108,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108,329.52 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +15.2wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Texas Rangers | 48c | 192,897$92,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100,306.49 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Texas Rangers | 60c | 123,093$73,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,349.46 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5291…d4b6backed Kansas City Royals | 49c | 115,594$56,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56,077.64 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Kansas City Royals | 9c | 86,699$7,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,917.48 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Kansas City Royals | 36c | 77,309$28,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,068.12 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Texas Rangers | 49c | 61,600$30,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,415.86 | 311 | 49.2%153 W · 158 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Kansas City Royals | 51c | 50,490$25,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,750 | 238 | 46.6%111 W · 127 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Texas Rangers | 72c | 42,830$30,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,122.41 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Kansas City Royals | 52c | 27,949$14,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,533.73 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5762…90eebacked Kansas City Royals | 38c | 26,969$10,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,152.03 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Texas Rangers | 63c | 22,707$14,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,302.57 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Texas Rangers | 48c | 21,199$10,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,037.21 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Texas Rangers | 49c | 14,931$7,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,614.61 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed Texas Rangers | 61c | 14,718$8,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,810.8 | 484 | 51%247 W · 237 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b8f…449bbacked Texas Rangers | 77c | 14,483$11,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,385.74 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Texas Rangers | 68c | 14,205$9,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,541.54 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Kansas City Royals | 25c | 13,807$3,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,396.2 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kansas City Royals | 32c | 13,376$4,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,329.71 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Texas Rangers | 48c | 12,500$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,500 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Kansas City Royals | 21c | 10,868$2,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,232.85 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Texas Rangers | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 603 | 50.1%302 W · 301 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed Kansas City Royals | 26c | 7,994$2,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,071.62 | 188 | 60.1%113 W · 75 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +237.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x55a1…db28backed Texas Rangers | 50c | 7,000$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,500 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Kansas City Royals | 8c | 6,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 165 | 48.5%80 W · 85 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Texas Rangers | 48c | 5,349$2,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,781.62 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Texas Rangers | 48c | 5,208$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,708.16 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc667…34cebacked Kansas City Royals | 20c | 5,047$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.4 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +156.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Texas Rangers | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85f8…fe20backed Texas Rangers | 77c | 5,000$3,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f86…ef4ebacked Kansas City Royals | 51c | 4,612$2,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,336.9 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +6.8wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Texas Rangers | 64c | 4,569$2,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,633.24 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Kansas City Royals | 22c | 4,365$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.52 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Kansas City Royals | 31c | 4,314$1,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,338.52 | 94 | 48.9%46 W · 48 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Kansas City Royals | 51c | 4,123$2,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,102.7 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Texas Rangers | 72c | 4,025$2,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125.67 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda48…5926backed Texas Rangers | 71c | 3,889$2,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.86 | 123 | 39%48 W · 75 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc96…1245backed Kansas City Royals | 24c | 3,575$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.05 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed Kansas City Royals | 52c | 3,435$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 289 | 44.3%128 W · 161 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Texas Rangers | 80c | 3,360$2,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.7 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Texas Rangers | 49c | 3,247$1,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,658.56 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Texas Rangers | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0075…5f10backed Kansas City Royals | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +6.2wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x04cf…9f77backed Kansas City Royals | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,559.96 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Texas Rangers | 51c | 2,941$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,441.15 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Kansas City Royals | 48c | 2,917$1,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,397.6 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Texas Rangers | 49c | 2,770$1,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,412.58 | 246 | 39%96 W · 150 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed Texas Rangers | 76c | 2,666$2,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.84 | 45 | 73.3%33 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Texas Rangers | 49c | 2,575$1,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320.01 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Kansas City Royals | 52c | 2,500$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43f3…293cbacked Kansas City Royals | 52c | 2,252$1,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170.8 | 195 | 50.8%99 W · 96 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x973b…a912backed Texas Rangers | 49c | 2,037$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,036.87 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 42cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab4e…c4a0backed Texas Rangers | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Kansas City Royals | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Texas Rangers | 60c | 1,871$1,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.12 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b87…8a0dbacked Kansas City Royals | 32c | 1,839$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.72 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 36cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca21…b07cbacked Texas Rangers | 66c | 1,830$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.9 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Texas Rangers | 49c | 1,800$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Texas Rangers | 68c | 1,768$1,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.98 | 319 | 58.6%187 W · 132 L | +27.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dd…5e95backed Kansas City Royals | 47c | 1,665$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Texas Rangers | 66c | 1,660$1,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.4 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Kansas City Royals | 51c | 1,633$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.82 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Kansas City Royals | 34c | 1,561$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.74 | 440 | 58.9%259 W · 181 L | +29.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Kansas City Royals | 14c | 1,533$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.12 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Kansas City Royals | 25c | 1,394$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.98 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…5ee4backed Texas Rangers | 47c | 1,371$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.69 | 285 | 53.3%152 W · 133 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Texas Rangers | 75c | 1,322$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.47 | 346 | 50.9%176 W · 170 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Texas Rangers | 67c | 1,274$859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.17 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f6…0981backed Kansas City Royals | 50c | 1,257$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.03 | 158 | 57.6%91 W · 67 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42c5…034dbacked Kansas City Royals | 51c | 1,234$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.34 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf5…829cbacked Kansas City Royals | 52c | 1,212$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.22 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +6.3wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Kansas City Royals | 14c | 1,187$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.09 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Kansas City Royals | 40c | 1,150$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.45 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a41…0123backed Kansas City Royals | 21c | 1,122$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.58 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Kansas City Royals | 52c | 1,116$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.21 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdef…7f98backed Texas Rangers | 50c | 1,090$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Texas Rangers | 68c | 1,089$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.21 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Texas Rangers | 66c | 1,056$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.6 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…73f9backed Texas Rangers | 72c | 1,042$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.67 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 51cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…6623backed Texas Rangers | 49c | 1,016$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.1 | 398 | 46.5%185 W · 213 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b94…b660backed Kansas City Royals | 52c | 1,015$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.6 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dd…23ffbacked Kansas City Royals | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 394 | 40.9%161 W · 233 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Texas Rangers | 49c | 999.99$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Kansas City Royals | 52c | 999.92$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.96 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…5273backed Kansas City Royals | 52c | 970.87$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.85 | 536 | 44.6%239 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked Kansas City Royals | 52c | 960.38$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5453…65cebacked Texas Rangers | 49c | 950.96$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.99 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Texas Rangers | 48c | 938$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.76 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d87…4e0dbacked Texas Rangers | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 283 | 50.2%142 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a6…0009backed Texas Rangers | 64c | 860.21$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.87 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…6471backed Kansas City Royals | 48c | 844.17$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.6 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Texas Rangers | 48c | 839.98$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.79 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb575…d35bbacked Kansas City Royals | 32c | 824.13$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.11 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Texas Rangers | 49c | 800$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39e9…e2dfbacked Kansas City Royals | 52c | 800$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416 | 72 | 59.7%43 W · 29 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6862…8c75backed Texas Rangers | 49c | 795.92$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.92 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…a8efbacked Kansas City Royals | 31c | 792.31$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.2 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Kansas City Royals | 51c | 784.31$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 383 | 53.5%205 W · 178 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Kansas City Royals | 23c | 775.3$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.32 | 547 | 15.9%87 W · 460 L | -40.7wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc09b…3c1cbacked Texas Rangers | 48c | 764.58$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royalsthis page
- 1st 5 Innings Spread: Kansas City Royals (-2.5)Texas Rangers won
- 1st 5 Innings Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-2.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-2.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-3.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 10.5Under won
- Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 11.5Under won
- Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 6.5Under won
- Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 7.5Under won
- Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5Under won
- Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City RoyalsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.