MLB · resolved market
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x20c1c2a41a07585037ca930ca4ffa8341dfbb7d8baff816e4b58b53dc5b250de
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $473,743
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $477,239
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $473,743 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Under | 46c | 426,956$195,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231,693.29 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Over | 54c | 120,000$64,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64,800 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Over | 54c | 100,000$54,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,000 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Over | 54c | 75,000$40,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,500 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Over | 55c | 50,000$27,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,500 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 54c | 20,000$10,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,800 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 54c | 16,000$8,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,700 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed Over | 55c | 15,000$8,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,248.93 | 484 | 51%247 W · 237 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 54c | 6,738$3,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,661.76 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 45c | 6,519$2,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,585.72 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 55c | 6,069$3,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,349.8 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Over | 56c | 5,555$3,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,110.79 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Over | 56c | 5,420$3,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,017.4 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 45c | 4,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,199.99 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…51dcbacked Over | 55c | 3,636$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 55c | 3,516$1,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,918.97 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Over | 56c | 3,498$1,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,958.82 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 45c | 3,060$1,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,693.91 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 55c | 2,264$1,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,245.25 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed Over | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +7.4wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf3…aa3abacked Under | 52c | 1,896$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910.96 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | -8.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 51c | 1,836$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928.72 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 56c | 1,765$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.86 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 1,630$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.99 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 55c | 1,612$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.04 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 41c | 1,303$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.38 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Under | 59c | 1,265$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b1…4b99backed Over | 57c | 1,054$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 175 | 46.9%82 W · 93 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e6…d471backed Over | 57c | 1,000$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Under | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Over | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 54c | 972$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.88 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 55c | 950.87$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.98 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 44c | 840$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.6 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Over | 63c | 795.22$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe22a…cb75backed Under | 49c | 600$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 269 | 48.7%131 W · 138 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Over | 57c | 544.89$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.59 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 45c | 520.61$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.33 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 57c | 487.58$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.92 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Under | 47c | 421.14$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.52 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Over | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec11…953fbacked Under | 50c | 343.14$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.57 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 44c | 300$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.92 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Under | 44c | 299.98$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.99 | 586 | 52.7%309 W · 277 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 43c | 286.47$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.3 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b9…de6dbacked Over | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…969ebacked Over | 47c | 264.31$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 198 | 42.9%85 W · 113 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…6471backed Under | 56c | 262.12$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.27 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31ac…2a39backed Over | 51c | 229.27$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.08 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | -6.9wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -44%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 44c | 215.49$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.37 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Over | 56c | 214.28$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…0201backed Under | 61c | 205.24$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.24 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Over | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…8588backed Under | 59c | 188.92$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05e0…e2cbbacked Over | 44c | 181.82$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Over | 51c | 178.45$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.2 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…babfbacked Under | 41c | 163.41$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.41 | 314 | 49.4%155 W · 159 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a41…0123backed Under | 58c | 142.22$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.26 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 51c | 141.25$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.4 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 45c | 141.09$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.89 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 55c | 140$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 55c | 139.43$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.17 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 57c | 137.19$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.2 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Over | 21c | 136.89$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.75 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd6…3806backed Under | 51c | 129.87$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 177 | 52.5%93 W · 84 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…a45dbacked Under | 59c | 124.32$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +68.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacee…afddbacked Under | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 217 | 51.6%112 W · 105 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…2751backed Over | 57c | 118$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.26 | 174 | 46%80 W · 94 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 57c | 118$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.02 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.5 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.4 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37b2…8681backed Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e6f…cb64backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Over | 51c | 99.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 141 | 61%86 W · 55 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8337…1b5bbacked Under | 45c | 99.87$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.93 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +17%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6924…1455backed Under | 54c | 96.83$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.49 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab4…5a40backed Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Over | 57c | 88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.16 | 726 | 48.1%349 W · 377 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8837…17aabacked Under | 55c | 85.18$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.13 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked Under | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Under | 45c | 81.78$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.98 | 726 | 55.4%402 W · 324 L | +40.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 44c | 78.78$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.84 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over | 43c | 77.38$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.65 | 1,147 | 31.6%362 W · 785 L | -97.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 58c | 73.17$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.78 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3894…decfbacked Under | 50c | 69.39$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.7 | 375 | 51.2%192 W · 183 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Over | 56c | 65$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 303 | 40.6%123 W · 180 L | -16.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71d1…a991backed Under | 39c | 64.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.05 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb602…1ab1backed Over | 56c | 62.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 45c | 61.33$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +22.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Over | 56c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 465 | 57.2%266 W · 199 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Under | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x392a…da0cbacked Under | 55c | 53.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.29 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49e1…7bf6backed Over | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.15 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 45c | 48.91$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.9 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Over | 51c | 47.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.59 | 1,042 | 49.4%515 W · 527 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Over | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 412 | 49.5%204 W · 208 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x000a…6cf7backed Under | 51c | 42.86$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 252 | 60.7%153 W · 99 L | +17.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8d…aeedbacked Under | 65c | 41.54$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.63 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Under | 54c | 39.87$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.23 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5this page
- 1st 5 Innings Spread: Kansas City Royals (-2.5)Texas Rangers won
- 1st 5 Innings Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-2.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-2.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-3.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City RoyalsTexas Rangers won
- Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 10.5Under won
- Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 11.5Under won
- Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 6.5Under won
- Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 7.5Under won
- Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City RoyalsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.