TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$473,743
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$477,239

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $473,743 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4bff…fc26backed Under46c426,956$195,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231,693.2943647%205 W · 231 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Over54c120,000$64,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64,80035854.5%195 W · 163 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Over54c100,000$54,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54,0005248.1%25 W · 27 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbad…9c95backed Over54c75,000$40,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,5006058.3%35 W · 25 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+15.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Over55c50,000$27,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,50085645.3%388 W · 468 L+18.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+36.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over54c20,000$10,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,8001,29250.2%648 W · 644 L+18.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over54c16,000$8,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,7001,15149.2%566 W · 585 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde49…fe85backed Over55c15,000$8,249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,248.9348451%247 W · 237 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over54c6,738$3,662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,661.7611,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Under45c6,519$2,934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,585.728,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over55c6,069$3,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,349.86,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Over56c5,555$3,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,110.7947953.2%255 W · 224 L+18.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Over56c5,420$3,017 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,017.41,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under45c4,000$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,199.9927254.4%148 W · 124 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe649…51dcbacked Over55c3,636$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+26.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over55c3,516$1,919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,918.975,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16bb…8492backed Over56c3,498$1,959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,958.8286548.7%421 W · 444 L-8.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under45c3,060$1,366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,693.918,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over55c2,264$1,245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,245.251,57248.3%759 W · 813 L-6.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f5…c161backed Over52c1,923$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005457.4%31 W · 23 L+7.4wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+40.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbbf3…aa3abacked Under52c1,896$986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$910.9610246.1%47 W · 55 L-8.3wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-16.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over51c1,836$929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$928.723,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over56c1,765$986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$985.864,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under50c1,630$820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$809.9912,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over55c1,612$887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$887.048,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over41c1,303$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.3810,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Under59c1,265$743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.44366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+13.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57b1…4b99backed Over57c1,054$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60017546.9%82 W · 93 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa8e6…d471backed Over57c1,000$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5693655.6%20 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58b9…ee8bbacked Under45c1,000$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55075248.8%367 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Over55c1,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5501,83650.8%932 W · 904 L-3.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over54c972$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.881,52148.6%739 W · 782 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over55c950.87$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.982,29152.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L+24.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under44c840$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.62,29051%1,167 W · 1,123 L+23.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcba5…cd88backed Over63c795.22$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50066050.2%331 W · 329 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe22a…cb75backed Under49c600$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30626948.7%131 W · 138 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Over57c544.89$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.5987750.4%442 W · 435 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under45c520.61$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.334,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over57c487.58$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.924,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Under47c421.14$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.522,02139.5%798 W · 1,223 L-25.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked Over55c363.64$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012049.2%59 W · 61 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec11…953fbacked Under50c343.14$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.574136.6%15 W · 26 L-5.0wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-19.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under44c300$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.9299447.3%470 W · 524 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b8d…bb92backed Under44c299.98$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.9958652.7%309 W · 277 L+14.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under43c286.47$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.39,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6b9…de6dbacked Over56c267.86$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502343.5%10 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+31.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf429…969ebacked Over47c264.31$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12519842.9%85 W · 113 L-10.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc1be…6471backed Under56c262.12$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.272045%9 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x31ac…2a39backed Over51c229.27$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.084725.5%12 W · 35 L-6.9wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-44%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Over44c215.49$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.376,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Over56c214.28$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12094549%463 W · 482 L-38.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb4…0201backed Under61c205.24$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.24666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Over56c200$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1121,00148.3%483 W · 518 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc58d…8588backed Under59c188.92$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.462100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x05e0…e2cbbacked Over44c181.82$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8011244.6%50 W · 62 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Over51c178.45$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.22,14750.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L+27.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18b6…babfbacked Under41c163.41$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.4131449.4%155 W · 159 L-9.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a41…0123backed Under58c142.22$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.261735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-46.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over51c141.25$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.41,92717.2%331 W · 1,596 L-320.3wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-64.3%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Under45c141.09$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.892,94547.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L+3.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Over55c140$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$771,75350.8%890 W · 863 L+29.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over55c139.43$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.172,29649.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Over57c137.19$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.22365.2%15 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa057…d092backed Over21c136.89$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.752,14439.6%849 W · 1,295 L+0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2cd6…3806backed Under51c129.87$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.6417752.5%93 W · 84 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb87…a45dbacked Under59c124.32$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.122100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+68.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xacee…afddbacked Under41c121.95$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.9521751.6%112 W · 105 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+15.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd208…2751backed Over57c118$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.2617446%80 W · 94 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Over57c118$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.025,12754.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L+232.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.52,37649.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Over55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.41,06249.2%523 W · 539 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37b2…8681backed Over55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553542.9%15 W · 20 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e6f…cb64backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508251.2%42 W · 40 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cb5…6be6backed Over51c99.99$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5114161%86 W · 55 L+9.9wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+14.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8337…1b5bbacked Under45c99.87$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.931963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+17%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6924…1455backed Under54c96.83$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.491764.7%11 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaab4…5a40backed Over55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016251.9%84 W · 78 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Over57c88$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.1672648.1%349 W · 377 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8837…17aabacked Under55c85.18$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.131250%6 W · 6 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1513…831abacked Under59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.756753.7%36 W · 31 L-0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e2f…f9babacked Under45c81.78$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.9872655.4%402 W · 324 L+40.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+6.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under44c78.78$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.845,78643.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L-192.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over43c77.38$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.651,14731.6%362 W · 785 L-97.5wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-27.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over58c73.17$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.783,45751.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L+108.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3894…decfbacked Under50c69.39$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.737551.2%192 W · 183 L-0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x167a…d542backed Over56c65$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.430340.6%123 W · 180 L-16.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-11.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x71d1…a991backed Under39c64.05$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.054951%25 W · 24 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb602…1ab1backed Over56c62.5$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352763%17 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+15%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Over45c61.33$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.678052.2%407 W · 373 L+22.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Over56c60$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.646557.2%266 W · 199 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Under46c54.35$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.3562554.2%339 W · 286 L+18.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x392a…da0cbacked Under55c53.98$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.296657.6%38 W · 28 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under42c50$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292,54545.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L-73.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x49e1…7bf6backed Over56c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.152441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-21.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under45c48.91$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.93,83242.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Over51c47.76$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.591,04249.4%515 W · 527 L+13.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33c9…5124backed Over57c43.86$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2541249.5%204 W · 208 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x000a…6cf7backed Under51c42.86$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2125260.7%153 W · 99 L+17.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+9.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7e8d…aeedbacked Under65c41.54$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.631172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.24per pick49cpaid+48.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Under54c39.87$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.234,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.