TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

1st 5 Innings Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Kansas City Royalsof Texas Rangers, Kansas City Royals
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,365
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,386

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,365 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6d3c…d294backed Texas Rangers35c4,784$1,664 inLost-$1,663.755,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Kansas City Royals66c4,117$2,698 inWon+$1,419.4830647.4%145 W · 161 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Texas Rangers35c313.41$110 inLost-$110.12,94547.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L+3.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0336…4bb0backed Kansas City Royals64c312.5$200 inWon+$112.5862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+43.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6ea…66dbbacked Kansas City Royals63c216.86$137 inWon+$80.24966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+23.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x55af…8407backed Kansas City Royals64c156.25$100 inWon+$56.252857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+13.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Texas Rangers36c120$43 inLost-$43.162,94751.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Kansas City Royals64c86$55 inWon+$30.9667453%357 W · 317 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Kansas City Royals64c76.33$49 inWon+$27.2313649.3%67 W · 69 L+10.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+68.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc5a9…3a77backed Kansas City Royals64c56.08$36 inWon+$20.196344.4%28 W · 35 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Texas Rangers35c55.76$20 inLost-$19.7740341.4%167 W · 236 L-20.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Kansas City Royals64c51.07$33 inWon+$18.3911656.9%66 W · 50 L+8.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+17.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xaf5f…2184backed Kansas City Royals63c48.47$31 inWon+$17.932161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9422…f273backed Kansas City Royals65c30.76$20 inWon+$10.772653.8%14 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Kansas City Royals64c25$16 inWon+$91,80453.8%970 W · 834 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2d5…53d0backed Kansas City Royals65c23.34$15 inWon+$8.173444.1%15 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f55…8956backed Kansas City Royals64c15.63$10 inWon+$5.6314858.8%87 W · 61 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.