TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd6ea…66db

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
27
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: MLB, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 54 out of 100; worst Tennis at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+23.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Reds: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
KBO: Lotte Giants vs. Samsung Lionsbacked Lotte Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+121.6%+$121.62
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$177.36
1st 5 Innings Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)backed Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$84.57
1st 5 Innings Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$110.2
1st 5 Innings Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)backed Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$80.24
1st 5 Innings Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)backed Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$136.91
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$201
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+94.2%+$111.73
All 9 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Cricket — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Global Super League: Desert Vipers vs Perth Scorchers XI - Who wins the toss?backed Perth Scorchers XI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Royal Challengers Bangalorebacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$14.94
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Lucknow Super Giants - Who wins the toss?backed Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.64
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Punjab Kings - Who wins the toss?backed Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+100%+$45.6
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Kolkata Knight Riders - Who wins the toss?backed Kolkata Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.6
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Mumbai Indians - Who wins the toss?backed Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+100%+$45.65
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Rajasthan Royals - Who wins the toss?backed Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+101%+$44.27
All 8 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+30%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nakashima vs. Mensik: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.28
Mubadala Citi DC Open (Doubles): Ngounoue/Smith vs Li/Tausonbacked Li/Tauson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+201.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 114.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+201.2%+$120.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+65%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indiana Fever vs. Phoenix Mercurybacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,766Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+65%+$1,147.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Qarabağ Ağdam FK (-2.5)backed ÍF Vestri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlético San Luis vs. Club Tijuana: Club Tijuana O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.14
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.