MLB · resolved market
KBO: Lotte Giants vs. Samsung Lions
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5d20de89edda1e69031e2ff55297a6ce18600d7edcf5c70af4edce693e13fc8a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lotte Giantsof Lotte Giants, Samsung Lions
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,754
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,013
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,754 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Lotte Giants | 42c | 3,189$1,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,860.27 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Samsung Lions | 72c | 2,089$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3572…9d39backed Samsung Lions | 54c | 2,085$1,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,136.09 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc095…8666backed Lotte Giants | 56c | 1,989$1,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865.93 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64f3…34b6backed Samsung Lions | 51c | 1,353$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.91 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lotte Giants | 30c | 763.57$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.02 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Samsung Lions | 70c | 703.56$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.69 | 457 | 48.6%222 W · 235 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Lotte Giants | 58c | 530.92$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.56 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Samsung Lions | 33c | 524.87$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.76 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2688…9197backed Lotte Giants | 30c | 484.97$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.48 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Samsung Lions | 42c | 420.02$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.94 | 301 | 40.5%122 W · 179 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Lotte Giants | 52c | 376$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.84 | 946 | 55.3%523 W · 423 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf9…8292backed Lotte Giants | 32c | 309.01$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.01 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d3…8a20backed Lotte Giants | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 63 | 71.4%45 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Samsung Lions | 47c | 263.73$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.64 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Samsung Lions | 51c | 259.88$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.05 | 1,014 | 50.4%511 W · 503 L | +52.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Samsung Lions | 63c | 239.53$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.02 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +23.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b89…baa4backed Samsung Lions | 17c | 237.71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.28 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ea…66dbbacked Lotte Giants | 45c | 221.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.62 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Samsung Lions | 70c | 214.28$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b89…9f72backed Samsung Lions | 62c | 210$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.74 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Samsung Lions | 43c | 210$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.21 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Lotte Giants | 73c | 208$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.16 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Samsung Lions | 36c | 201.83$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.42 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Lotte Giants | 30c | 200$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Lotte Giants | 49c | 182.76$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.05 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92c9…c500backed Lotte Giants | 37c | 182.37$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.55 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Samsung Lions | 51c | 177$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.27 | 777 | 52.1%405 W · 372 L | +36.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x912f…b25bbacked Lotte Giants | 61c | 175.48$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.65 | 96 | 62.5%60 W · 36 L | +11.7wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf39d…aa9dbacked Lotte Giants | 23c | 130.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.43 | 94 | 24.5%23 W · 71 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25a4…69f6backed Samsung Lions | 67c | 120$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.4 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Lotte Giants | 56c | 117.14$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.84 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Samsung Lions | 63c | 114.92$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.85 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Samsung Lions | 46c | 114.74$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.11 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +22.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8d…d241backed Lotte Giants | 38c | 114.03$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.8 | 36 | 77.8%28 W · 8 L | +8.1wins | +0.23per pick | 55cpaid | +40%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7a96…b71dbacked Samsung Lions | 51c | 110.04$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.12 | 107 | 42.1%45 W · 62 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Lotte Giants | 31c | 88.05$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.03 | 1,804 | 53.8%970 W · 834 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Lotte Giants | 28c | 84.24$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.24 | 590 | 38.8%229 W · 361 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11c9…9befbacked Lotte Giants | 76c | 79.29$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ca…e628backed Lotte Giants | 33c | 76.9$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Lotte Giants | 30c | 76.34$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.44 | 882 | 47.7%421 W · 461 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Samsung Lions | 55c | 65$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.01 | 474 | 46.6%221 W · 253 L | +26.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…3facbacked Lotte Giants | 29c | 61.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2802…347dbacked Samsung Lions | 22c | 61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Lotte Giants | 33c | 60.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.51 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5430…fbbbbacked Lotte Giants | 30c | 59.38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.38 | 808 | 55.3%447 W · 361 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…a760backed Samsung Lions | 68c | 58.06$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.48 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.5wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Samsung Lions | 66c | 56.24$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.12 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17b6…8ef6backed Samsung Lions | 51c | 48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x304a…05ecbacked Lotte Giants | 31c | 47.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.86 | 94 | 25.5%24 W · 70 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Samsung Lions | 64c | 47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Samsung Lions | 50c | 45.77$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.66 | 557 | 58%323 W · 234 L | +24.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Samsung Lions | 62c | 43.73$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Samsung Lions | 70c | 43.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.48 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d74…96b8backed Samsung Lions | 48c | 41.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Samsung Lions | 55c | 40.7$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.39 | 486 | 53.7%261 W · 225 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7734…017dbacked Lotte Giants | 30c | 40.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.3 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Lotte Giants | 30c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed Lotte Giants | 78c | 39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 1,100 | 79.6%876 W · 224 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Lotte Giants | 30c | 38.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.87 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Lotte Giants | 64c | 37$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7a…ebe3backed Lotte Giants | 28c | 36.93$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.59 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Lotte Giants | 50c | 36.9$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.63 | 639 | 54.5%348 W · 291 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Lotte Giants | 61c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc547…c570backed Lotte Giants | 53c | 33.4$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.7 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed Lotte Giants | 36c | 33.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.33 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d4…1ffcbacked Samsung Lions | 51c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Samsung Lions | 72c | 30.44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.86 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60b1…2ad6backed Samsung Lions | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea0…86b1backed Samsung Lions | 67c | 29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +6.0wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Samsung Lions | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 160 | 44.4%71 W · 89 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2af9…620ebacked Samsung Lions | 71c | 28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed Lotte Giants | 45c | 25.37$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.84 | 166 | 61.4%102 W · 64 L | +9.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…5d02backed Samsung Lions | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Samsung Lions | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 455 | 50.3%229 W · 226 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed Samsung Lions | 67c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 403 | 51.4%207 W · 196 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30e5…2300backed Samsung Lions | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.46per pick | 71cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.