TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8ea0…86b1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
84
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: MLB, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 61 out of 100; worst Asian League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3574.3%26 W · 9 L+6.0wins+0.17per pick57cpaid+29.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
MLB — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+62.5%+$10.76
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+111.8%+$14.45
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+39.9%+$4.75
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+71.5%+$11.8
Detroit Tigers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$11.96
Detroit Tigers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.01
Washington Nationals vs. Athleticsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$10.25
Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)backed San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.72
San Francisco Giants vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+64.9%+$10.58
San Francisco Giants vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+63.7%+$6.87
Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)backed Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7
San Francisco Giants vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+84%+$12.18
San Francisco Giants vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.35
Cincinnati Reds vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+38.5%+$7.39
Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)backed Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$8.91
Baltimore Orioles vs. Houston Astrosbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+38%+$7.31
Baltimore Orioles vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+29.2%+$5.64
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)backed Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+73.7%+$11.57
Miami Marlins vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+154.5%+$47.97
Miami Marlins vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$12.18
Cincinnati Reds vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$15.95
New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 10.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.61
New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+89.8%+$13.72
San Diego Padres vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 13.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.1
Texas Rangers vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.81
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT3458.8%20 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Livesport Prague Open: Veronika Podrez vs Carol Young Suh Leebacked Veronika Podrez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.18
Hamburg European Open, Qualification: Arantxa Rus vs Chloe Paquetbacked Chloe Paquet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.04
Hamburg European Open, Qualification: Eva Vedder vs Mona Barthelbacked Eva Vedder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.91
Estoril Open: Tiago Torres vs Nikoloz Basilashvilibacked Nikoloz Basilashvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.89
Hamburg European Open, Qualification: Jule Niemeier vs Elena Malyginabacked Jule Niemeier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+52.8%+$9.74
Hamburg European Open, Qualification: Varvara Lepchenko vs Elina Avanesyanbacked Elina Avanesyan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+78.7%+$11.51
Livesport Prague Open: Alisa Oktiabreva vs Oceane Dodinbacked Alisa Oktiabreva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.38
Iasi Open: Mayar Sherif vs Paula Badosabacked Mayar Sherif · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+37.8%+$27.92
Pozoblanco: Chris Rodesch vs Ilya Ivashkabacked Chris Rodesch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+74.4%+$9.39
ITF Gandia: Eric Vanshelboim vs Javier Barranco Cosanobacked Javier Barranco Cosano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.59
Rome: Francesca Jones vs Lucia Bronzettibacked Lucia Bronzetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.68
ITF Louisville: Mees Rottgering vs Ozan Barisbacked Ozan Baris · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$4.53
Istanbul 2: Hanne Vandewinkel vs Lanlana Tararudeebacked Lanlana Tararudee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+45.7%+$8.75
Granby: Aleksandar Vukic vs August Holmgrenbacked Aleksandar Vukic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+47.3%+$8.85
Estoril Open, Qualification: Pedro Martinez vs Timofey Skatovbacked Timofey Skatov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.23
Hamburg European Open, Qualification: Eva Vedder vs Georgina Garcia Perezbacked Eva Vedder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+39%+$6.94
Hamburg European Open, Qualification: Valeriya Strakhova vs Chloe Paquetbacked Chloe Paquet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+48.6%+$8.75
ITF Slobozia: Oleksandr Ovcharenko vs Radu David Turcanubacked Radu David Turcanu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$15.12
ITF Uslar: Oleksii Krutykh vs Adrian Oetzbachbacked Oleksii Krutykh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.59
Estoril Open, Qualification: Orlando Luz vs Clement Taburbacked Clement Tabur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Sofia Costoulas vs Ayla Aksubacked Sofia Costoulas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+36%+$5.88
Bunschoten: Guy Den Ouden vs Tom Gentzschbacked Tom Gentzsch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.7
Estoril Open, Qualification: Andrea Pellegrino vs Gonzalo Buenobacked Gonzalo Bueno · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+49.9%+$5.41
ITF Castelo Branco: Pablo Perez Ramos vs Tiago Cacaobacked Pablo Perez Ramos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.46
ITF Darmstadt: Nastasja Schunk vs Irene Burillo Escorihuelabacked Nastasja Schunk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+98.8%+$13.46
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick63cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+114.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NBA Summer League: Memphis Grizzlies vs. Golden State Warriorsbacked Golden State Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+128.7%+$15.62
NBA Summer League: Toronto Raptors vs. Denver Nuggetsbacked Denver Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+101.1%+$13.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-25.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+48.2%+$9.15
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.69
All 2 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20I Series Zimbabwe vs Bangladesh: Zimbabwe vs Bangladeshbacked Bangladesh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+26.8%+$5.94
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will IK Sirius win on 2026-07-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.68
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.