TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

St. Louis Cardinals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Arizona Diamondbacksof St. Louis Cardinals, Arizona Diamondbacks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$359,746
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$350,298

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $359,746 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 231 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7b21…a178backed St. Louis Cardinals52c42,015$21,794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,794.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Arizona Diamondbacks76c28,533$21,548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,984.64,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked St. Louis Cardinals49c26,871$13,228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,227.6511,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks34c19,489$6,537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,951.962,96948.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed St. Louis Cardinals47c17,885$8,406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,4061,66050.1%832 W · 828 L-22.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Arizona Diamondbacks37c13,315$4,879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,436.156,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x408f…b2f4backed Arizona Diamondbacks69c12,903$8,903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,999.94151.2%21 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Arizona Diamondbacks45c12,356$5,616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,740.058,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x88f1…b325backed St. Louis Cardinals40c10,331$4,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,1002669.2%18 W · 8 L+4.8wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+28.8%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x0612…bdbebacked Arizona Diamondbacks34c8,671$2,951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,719.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+193.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed St. Louis Cardinals34c7,427$2,492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,492.4710,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed St. Louis Cardinals47c7,070$3,323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,322.7148952.8%258 W · 231 L+16.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Arizona Diamondbacks53c5,654$2,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,657.375,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed St. Louis Cardinals47c5,000$2,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3501,06348.2%512 W · 551 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed St. Louis Cardinals68c4,114$2,815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,815.395045.2%429 W · 521 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2805…76edbacked St. Louis Cardinals38c4,005$1,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,519.6221242%89 W · 123 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Arizona Diamondbacks53c3,700$1,961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,73945748.6%222 W · 235 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Arizona Diamondbacks52c3,327$1,745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,581.151,49958.9%883 W · 616 L+75.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x270c…f66fbacked St. Louis Cardinals3c3,000$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.5287.1%2 W · 26 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick4cpaid+133.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2e7…91a2backed St. Louis Cardinals3c3,000$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.5563.6%2 W · 54 L0.0wins0.00per pick4cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e50…0ea8backed St. Louis Cardinals3c3,000$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.5577%4 W · 53 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick3cpaid+83%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad46…e6a6backed St. Louis Cardinals3c3,000$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.5697.2%5 W · 64 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick4cpaid+122.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d5c…d8f2backed Arizona Diamondbacks18c2,875$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,357.53070%21 W · 9 L+4.9wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+50.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed St. Louis Cardinals70c2,812$1,962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,962.1112,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Arizona Diamondbacks54c2,546$1,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,176.364,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37ab…cdafbacked St. Louis Cardinals2c2,500$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60450%2 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.47per pick3cpaid+1,566.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc827…ff0fbacked St. Louis Cardinals2c2,500$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60520%1 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick3cpaid+566.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks18c2,350$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,915.9513355.6%74 W · 59 L+9.8wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+8.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed St. Louis Cardinals37c2,220$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$819.9560043.3%260 W · 340 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Arizona Diamondbacks53c2,129$1,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000.631,40248.8%684 W · 718 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed St. Louis Cardinals47c1,932$908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$908.042,36947.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L-11.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xaa4c…9671backed Arizona Diamondbacks71c1,873$1,328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.943778.4%29 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick71cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b8f…cca7backed St. Louis Cardinals47c1,838$857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$856.6424639%96 W · 150 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Arizona Diamondbacks63c1,523$965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558.054,03557.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L+72.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2b0…5e5ebacked St. Louis Cardinals4c1,500$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.5180%0 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Arizona Diamondbacks44c1,472$644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$828.568,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks18c1,444$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,184.085,12754.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L+232.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1ca3…9613backed St. Louis Cardinals59c1,342$788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78822867.1%153 W · 75 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked St. Louis Cardinals47c1,304$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$616.031,45642.7%622 W · 834 L-39.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Arizona Diamondbacks22c1,257$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$982.969,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks7c1,233$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,153.112,01251.2%1,031 W · 981 L+43.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Arizona Diamondbacks62c1,152$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.214,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed Arizona Diamondbacks67c1,039$696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.861,13742.6%484 W · 653 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Arizona Diamondbacks38c1,000$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$617.361,79643.8%786 W · 1,010 L-33.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x767a…8ac5backed St. Louis Cardinals52c962.6$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.8234650.9%176 W · 170 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks53c943$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.2185952.6%452 W · 407 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x537a…7447backed Arizona Diamondbacks10c933.54$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$838.5410625.5%27 W · 79 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-18.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09af…9728backed Arizona Diamondbacks54c925.93$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.9389153.5%477 W · 414 L+24.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2002…a75ebacked St. Louis Cardinals42c791.98$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.1415751.6%81 W · 76 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Arizona Diamondbacks53c780$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.61,55548.9%761 W · 794 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4b1…d21fbacked St. Louis Cardinals47c728.74$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.947642.1%32 W · 44 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Arizona Diamondbacks17c701.26$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581.224,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7e8…5c8cbacked St. Louis Cardinals42c680.44$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.1511057.3%63 W · 47 L+6.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x68cb…0000backed Arizona Diamondbacks44c666.07$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.5248660.5%294 W · 192 L+40.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Arizona Diamondbacks34c650.08$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.93,45751.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L+108.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Arizona Diamondbacks48c623.26$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.451,73349%849 W · 884 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa73a…656abacked Arizona Diamondbacks30c604.4$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.4557758.1%335 W · 242 L+28.5wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb64f…c3a9backed Arizona Diamondbacks36c600$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38416253.1%86 W · 76 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed Arizona Diamondbacks44c586.01$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.2243459%256 W · 178 L+19.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+5.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f82…9ae1backed St. Louis Cardinals43c581.4$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25022948.9%112 W · 117 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64ef…befcbacked St. Louis Cardinals46c559.63$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.4329046.6%135 W · 155 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Arizona Diamondbacks17c545.78$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.221,01450.4%511 W · 503 L+52.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+21.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4483…c565backed Arizona Diamondbacks56c532.23$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.2325751.8%133 W · 124 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked St. Louis Cardinals53c530.4$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.678,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35f1…e67bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks57c527.68$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.681346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+43%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6884…6ccfbacked Arizona Diamondbacks57c525.5$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.517961.5%110 W · 69 L+16.7wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+17.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks53c505$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.352,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe53f…62d7backed Arizona Diamondbacks10c504.8$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.821146.4%98 W · 113 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+15.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7677…37c0backed Arizona Diamondbacks53c500$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23532850%164 W · 164 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6e0…ff0fbacked St. Louis Cardinals46c500$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23030647.4%145 W · 161 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf74b…fd13backed St. Louis Cardinals44c486.4$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.5320%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ce8…4dd6backed Arizona Diamondbacks33c478.79$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.793551.4%18 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Arizona Diamondbacks16c468.22$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.326,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa057…d092backed Arizona Diamondbacks47c459.49$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.142,14439.6%849 W · 1,295 L+0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19b7…9ee6backed Arizona Diamondbacks41c442.71$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.221,03851.7%537 W · 501 L+1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Arizona Diamondbacks52c436.48$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.513,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1083…42f1backed St. Louis Cardinals47c414.59$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Arizona Diamondbacks58c403.8$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.161,87940.6%763 W · 1,116 L-39.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc92c…6f15backed Arizona Diamondbacks53c377.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.3627357.1%156 W · 117 L+0.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd23e…e4a3backed Arizona Diamondbacks54c370.37$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.3711750.4%59 W · 58 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x419b…6ea1backed Arizona Diamondbacks54c370.37$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.373043.3%13 W · 17 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-17.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c58…e330backed Arizona Diamondbacks8c368.32$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.2188053.8%473 W · 407 L+41.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x39c2…dc0bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks57c353.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.367354.8%40 W · 33 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b5c…fc49backed Arizona Diamondbacks73c326$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.633256.3%18 W · 14 L+3.5wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+26.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks48c322.01$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.411,72350.3%867 W · 856 L+55.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Arizona Diamondbacks17c314.74$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.921,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a34…6c6cbacked St. Louis Cardinals25c300$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755330.2%16 W · 37 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x70e9…836abacked St. Louis Cardinals44c300$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.3521323.5%50 W · 163 L-9.2wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0daf…17a9backed Arizona Diamondbacks24c297.58$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.3914559.3%86 W · 59 L+13.4wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+19.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xae34…3a8abacked Arizona Diamondbacks64c285$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.9935668.8%245 W · 111 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13d0…4a70backed Arizona Diamondbacks56c269$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.6334639.6%137 W · 209 L-12.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0f4…6fa9backed Arizona Diamondbacks22c252.01$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.131,77758.4%1,037 W · 740 L+91.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks46c239.01$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.2979147.9%379 W · 412 L+3.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x757e…aea4backed St. Louis Cardinals52c239.01$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xffae…adaebacked St. Louis Cardinals48c235.03$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.8158943.1%254 W · 335 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Arizona Diamondbacks70c234.51$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.2255758%323 W · 234 L+24.4wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Arizona Diamondbacks50c231.1$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.4549762.2%309 W · 188 L+38.4wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3563…a0a2backed Arizona Diamondbacks30c228.97$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.372,22355.4%1,231 W · 992 L+73.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5440…f13bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks56c211.71$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.71757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked St. Louis Cardinals24c210$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.8152053.8%280 W · 240 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.